NASDAQ$CINF

Cincinnati Financial Corp · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cincinnati Financial reported a mixed first quarter, with investment income offsetting underwriting losses due to widespread spring storms.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation reported a first-quarter 2023 net income of $225 million, or $1.42 per share, a significant improvement compared to the net loss in the first quarter of 2022. However, non-GAAP operating income decreased by 46% to $141 million, or $0.89 per share. The increase in net income was primarily due to higher net investment gains, which offset a decrease in property casualty underwriting income. The combined ratio for the property casualty segment was 100.7%, impacted by elevated catastrophe losses.

  • Net income was $225 million, or $1.42 per share, compared to a net loss of $266 million, or $1.66 per share, in the first quarter of 2022.
  • Non-GAAP operating income decreased by 46% to $141 million, or $0.89 per share, compared with $260 million, or $1.62 per share, in the first quarter of last year.
  • Book value per share increased to $68.33 at March 31, 2023, up $1.12 since year-end.
  • The property casualty combined ratio was 100.7%, up from 89.9% for the first quarter of 2022, impacted by higher catastrophe losses.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.24B

Previous: $1.22B+84.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.89

Previous: $1.58-43.7%
Combined Ratio

100.7%

Previous: 89.9%+12.0%
Book Value Per Share

$68.33

Previous: $75.43-9.4%
Net Written Premiums

$2.02B

Previous: $1.9B+6.3%
Property Casualty Underwriting Profit

-$10M

Previous: $165M-106.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$4M

Previous: -$4M+0.0%
Free Cash Flow

$221M

Previous: -$277M+179.8%
Net Income

$225M

Previous: -$273M+182.4%
Operating Income

$490M

Previous: -$139M+452.5%
Gross Profit

$495M

Previous: -$135M+466.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$955M

Previous: $987M-3.2%
Total Assets

$30.5B

Previous: $30.3B+0.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Cincinnati Financial · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.24B

Q1 2023+84.4%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cincinnati Financial · $1.65B total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • Commercial Lines Insurance
    $1.06B+9.8%
  • Personal Lines Insurance
    $465M+15.4%
  • Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance
    $127M+12.4%

Forward guidance

No specific forward guidance was provided in the press release.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 69 earnings

Positive

+10.9%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.2%-2.2%-4.0%
Q4 2025-3.3%-3.5%-2.6%
Q3 2025-3.8%-1.9%+6.9%
Q2 2025-2.0%-0.3%+1.8%
Q1 2025+2.9%+5.7%+10.4%
Q4 2024+2.8%+1.0%+4.7%
Q3 2024+1.7%+2.2%+12.7%
Q2 2024+3.3%+8.5%+10.6%
Q1 2024-7.5%-3.5%-1.9%
Q4 2023-4.2%-2.6%+4.9%
Q3 2023-0.8%+1.3%+4.4%
Q2 2023+5.8%+4.6%+0.6%
Q1 2023+4.6%+1.8%-3.4%
Q4 2022+10.9%+9.2%+13.7%
Q3 2022-3.2%-2.6%+8.3%
Q2 2022-14.0%-16.5%-11.3%
Q1 2022-9.1%-9.5%-4.9%
Q4 2021+7.2%+5.1%+10.7%
Q3 2021+2.5%-2.1%-4.7%
Q2 2021+1.4%+2.6%+7.2%
Q1 2021+2.8%+6.0%+12.2%
Q4 2020+4.8%+6.0%+23.4%
Q3 2020-4.6%-8.6%+1.5%
Q2 2020+0.2%-6.4%-5.7%
Q1 2020-8.6%-22.4%-21.8%
Q4 2019+6.4%+7.6%-7.4%
Q3 2019-2.0%-2.3%-7.2%
Q2 2019+1.0%-0.0%+6.0%
Q1 2019+7.6%+9.2%+14.6%
Q4 2018+2.1%+1.8%+2.3%
Q3 2018+7.2%+9.8%+10.4%
Q2 2018+4.4%+6.1%+7.3%
Q1 2018-4.7%-6.2%-6.0%
Q4 2017-3.1%+2.4%+6.1%
Q3 2017-6.2%-7.4%-4.3%
Q2 2017+5.3%+4.5%+0.6%
Q1 2017+1.7%-1.0%-2.7%
Q4 2016-0.3%+1.9%+5.0%
Q3 2016-1.4%-2.4%+5.5%
Q2 2016-0.1%-0.3%+2.6%
Q1 2016+2.7%
Q4 2015+3.9%
Q3 2015+2.7%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014-0.4%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q2 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014-2.8%
Q4 2013-4.3%
Q3 2013+0.1%
Q2 2013+0.9%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q3 2012+2.9%
Q2 2012+2.6%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011-2.1%
Q1 2010-2.5%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q3 2009-2.3%
Q3 2010-2.3%
Q4 2009-0.6%
Q2 2010-0.6%
Q2 2009-0.6%

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