NASDAQ$CINF

Cincinnati Financial Corp · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Cincinnati Financial reported a strong Q4 2024 with a 15% increase in earned premiums, reaching $2.365 billion. However, net income declined to $405 million due to a $916 million decrease in after-tax net investment gains. Non-GAAP operating income increased 38% to $497 million, driven by higher underwriting profits and investment income.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.54B

Previous: $3.36B-24.4%
EPS (adj)

$3.14

Previous: $2.28+37.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$4M

Previous: $8M-150.0%
Free Cash Flow

$638M

No prior period
Net Income

$405M

Previous: $1.18B-65.8%
Operating Income

$0.00

Previous: $359M-100.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Cincinnati Financial · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.54B

Q4 2024-24.4%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cincinnati Financial · $1.73B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Commercial Lines Insurance
    $1.06B+3.3%
  • Personal Lines Insurance
    $528M+22.2%
  • Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance
    $136M+7.9%

Forward guidance

The company expects continued premium growth, disciplined underwriting, and strong agency relationships to drive performance in 2025. Market conditions remain challenging, but Cincinnati Financial is focused on maintaining profitability through pricing precision and claims management.

Tailwinds

  • Continued premium growth in all segments
  • Strong underwriting profitability with a lower combined ratio
  • Investment income growth from fixed-maturity securities
  • Increased agency appointments supporting expansion
  • Solid capital position with growing book value per share

Headwinds

  • Potential for continued investment losses due to market volatility
  • Challenges in maintaining underwriting margins in a competitive market
  • Increased catastrophe losses impacting profitability
  • Regulatory pressures on insurance pricing and policy terms
  • Macroeconomic risks affecting overall insurance demand

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 69 earnings

Positive

+10.9%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.2%-2.2%-4.0%
Q4 2025-3.3%-3.5%-2.6%
Q3 2025-3.8%-1.9%+6.9%
Q2 2025-2.0%-0.3%+1.8%
Q1 2025+2.9%+5.7%+10.4%
Q4 2024+2.8%+1.0%+4.7%
Q3 2024+1.7%+2.2%+12.7%
Q2 2024+3.3%+8.5%+10.6%
Q1 2024-7.5%-3.5%-1.9%
Q4 2023-4.2%-2.6%+4.9%
Q3 2023-0.8%+1.3%+4.4%
Q2 2023+5.8%+4.6%+0.6%
Q1 2023+4.6%+1.8%-3.4%
Q4 2022+10.9%+9.2%+13.7%
Q3 2022-3.2%-2.6%+8.3%
Q2 2022-14.0%-16.5%-11.3%
Q1 2022-9.1%-9.5%-4.9%
Q4 2021+7.2%+5.1%+10.7%
Q3 2021+2.5%-2.1%-4.7%
Q2 2021+1.4%+2.6%+7.2%
Q1 2021+2.8%+6.0%+12.2%
Q4 2020+4.8%+6.0%+23.4%
Q3 2020-4.6%-8.6%+1.5%
Q2 2020+0.2%-6.4%-5.7%
Q1 2020-8.6%-22.4%-21.8%
Q4 2019+6.4%+7.6%-7.4%
Q3 2019-2.0%-2.3%-7.2%
Q2 2019+1.0%-0.0%+6.0%
Q1 2019+7.6%+9.2%+14.6%
Q4 2018+2.1%+1.8%+2.3%
Q3 2018+7.2%+9.8%+10.4%
Q2 2018+4.4%+6.1%+7.3%
Q1 2018-4.7%-6.2%-6.0%
Q4 2017-3.1%+2.4%+6.1%
Q3 2017-6.2%-7.4%-4.3%
Q2 2017+5.3%+4.5%+0.6%
Q1 2017+1.7%-1.0%-2.7%
Q4 2016-0.3%+1.9%+5.0%
Q3 2016-1.4%-2.4%+5.5%
Q2 2016-0.1%-0.3%+2.6%
Q1 2016+2.7%
Q4 2015+3.9%
Q3 2015+2.7%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014-0.4%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q2 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014-2.8%
Q4 2013-4.3%
Q3 2013+0.1%
Q2 2013+0.9%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q3 2012+2.9%
Q2 2012+2.6%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011-2.1%
Q1 2010-2.5%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q3 2009-2.3%
Q3 2010-2.3%
Q4 2009-0.6%
Q2 2010-0.6%
Q2 2009-0.6%

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