NASDAQ$CINF
Cincinnati Financial Corp · Q1 2021 earnings
Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Cincinnati Financial reported a net income of $620 million, or $3.82 per share, compared to a net loss of $1.226 billion, or $7.56 per share, in the first quarter of 2020.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation reported a strong first quarter in 2021, marked by a significant increase in net income and non-GAAP operating income. The company's combined ratio improved, and net written premiums grew, reflecting price increases and premium growth initiatives. The book value per share also saw an increase.
- First-quarter net income was $620 million, or $3.82 per share, compared to a net loss of $1.226 billion, or $7.56 per share, in the first quarter of 2020.
- Non-GAAP operating income increased by 62% to $222 million, or $1.37 per share, compared to $137 million, or 84 cents per share, in the first quarter of last year.
- Book value per share at March 31, 2021, was $69.16, up $2.12 since year-end.
- The property casualty combined ratio for the first quarter of 2021 was 91.2%, improved from 98.5% for the first quarter of 2020.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Cincinnati Financial · Revenue · Quarterly
$2.23B
Revenue by segment
Cincinnati Financial · $1.46B total across 4 segments · Q1 2021
- Commercial Lines Insurance$887M+2.7%60.6%
- Personal Lines Insurance$377M+4.7%25.8%
- Life Insurance$111M+50.0%7.6%
- Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance$89M+12.7%6.1%
Forward guidance
Cincinnati Financial's ample capital allows the company to execute on long-term strategies and continue to pay dividends to shareholders through the normal variability of investment and insurance markets.
Tailwinds
- Board of directors expressed confidence in financial strength by raising the cash dividend.
- Value creation ratio was 4.1% for the first quarter, on track to meet annual average target of 10% to 13%.
- Achieved best first-quarter combined ratio result in eight years.
- Pricing segmentation and product and geographic diversification initiatives are proving effective.
- Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses improved 5.3 points compared with last year’s first quarter to a satisfactory 86.2%.
Headwinds
- Severe winter weather impacted communities from Washington state to the East Coast, leading to significant catastrophe losses.
- Experienced nearly $150 million in catastrophe losses in the first quarter of 2021, contributing 10.4 points to the combined ratio.
- Economic factors do not yet indicate a full recovery from pandemic effects, impacting new business written by agencies.
- Unfavorable prior accident year reserve development in excess and surplus lines due to an updated estimate for salaries and expenses to adjust claims.
- Less favorable mortality experience in the life insurance subsidiary due in part to higher pandemic-related death claims.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021
+0.0%
Avg return
Earnings day
-0.1%
Avg return
5 days after
+2.7%
Avg return
30 days after
51%
35 / 69 earnings
Positive
+10.9%
Q4 2022
Best reaction
-14.0%
Q2 2022
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -3.2% | -2.2% | -4.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | -3.3% | -3.5% | -2.6% | |
| Q3 2025 | -3.8% | -1.9% | +6.9% | |
| Q2 2025 | -2.0% | -0.3% | +1.8% | |
| Q1 2025 | +2.9% | +5.7% | +10.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | +2.8% | +1.0% | +4.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | +1.7% | +2.2% | +12.7% | |
| Q2 2024 | +3.3% | +8.5% | +10.6% | |
| Q1 2024 | -7.5% | -3.5% | -1.9% | |
| Q4 2023 | -4.2% | -2.6% | +4.9% | |
| Q3 2023 | -0.8% | +1.3% | +4.4% | |
| Q2 2023 | +5.8% | +4.6% | +0.6% | |
| Q1 2023 | +4.6% | +1.8% | -3.4% | |
| Q4 2022 | +10.9% | +9.2% | +13.7% | |
| Q3 2022 | -3.2% | -2.6% | +8.3% | |
| Q2 2022 | -14.0% | -16.5% | -11.3% | |
| Q1 2022 | -9.1% | -9.5% | -4.9% | |
| Q4 2021 | +7.2% | +5.1% | +10.7% | |
| Q3 2021 | +2.5% | -2.1% | -4.7% | |
| Q2 2021 | +1.4% | +2.6% | +7.2% | |
| Q1 2021 | +2.8% | +6.0% | +12.2% | |
| Q4 2020 | +4.8% | +6.0% | +23.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | -4.6% | -8.6% | +1.5% | |
| Q2 2020 | +0.2% | -6.4% | -5.7% | |
| Q1 2020 | -8.6% | -22.4% | -21.8% | |
| Q4 2019 | +6.4% | +7.6% | -7.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | -2.0% | -2.3% | -7.2% | |
| Q2 2019 | +1.0% | -0.0% | +6.0% | |
| Q1 2019 | +7.6% | +9.2% | +14.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | +2.1% | +1.8% | +2.3% | |
| Q3 2018 | +7.2% | +9.8% | +10.4% | |
| Q2 2018 | +4.4% | +6.1% | +7.3% | |
| Q1 2018 | -4.7% | -6.2% | -6.0% | |
| Q4 2017 | -3.1% | +2.4% | +6.1% | |
| Q3 2017 | -6.2% | -7.4% | -4.3% | |
| Q2 2017 | +5.3% | +4.5% | +0.6% | |
| Q1 2017 | +1.7% | -1.0% | -2.7% | |
| Q4 2016 | -0.3% | +1.9% | +5.0% | |
| Q3 2016 | -1.4% | -2.4% | +5.5% | |
| Q2 2016 | -0.1% | -0.3% | +2.6% | |
| Q1 2016 | +2.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +3.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +2.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +2.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -2.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -2.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -4.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -1.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +2.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +1.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -2.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -2.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -2.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | -0.6% | — | — |
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