NASDAQ$CINF

Cincinnati Financial Corp · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cincinnati Financial reported a net income of $534 million, or $3.38 per share, and non-GAAP operating income increased by 103% to $191 million, or $1.21 per share, compared to the second quarter of last year. The property casualty combined ratio was 97.6%, down from 103.2% in the second quarter of 2022.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation reported a significant increase in net income for the second quarter of 2023, driven by higher insurance underwriting profits and a rise in investment portfolio income. The company's combined ratio improved, and net written premiums grew, reflecting disciplined growth and strategic expansion.

  • Net income for the second quarter of 2023 was $534 million, or $3.38 per share, compared to a net loss of $818 million, or $5.12 per share, in the second quarter of 2022.
  • Non-GAAP operating income increased by 103% to $191 million, or $1.21 per share, compared to $94 million, or $0.59 per share, in the second quarter of last year.
  • The property casualty combined ratio improved to 97.6% in the second quarter of 2023, down from 103.2% in the second quarter of 2022.
  • Net written premiums grew by 9% in the second quarter of 2023, driven by premium growth initiatives, price increases, and a higher level of insured exposures.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.61B

Previous: $820M+217.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.21

Previous: $0.65+86.2%
Combined Ratio

97.6%

Previous: 103.2%-5.4%
Net Written Premiums

$2.15B

Previous: $1.96B+9.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$8M

Previous: -$8M+0.0%
Free Cash Flow

$526M

Previous: -$816M+164.5%
Net Income

$534M

Previous: -$808M+166.1%
Operating Income

$901M

Previous: -$822M+209.6%
Gross Profit

$908M

Previous: -$817M+211.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$748M

Previous: $1.1B-31.9%
Total Assets

$31.4B

Previous: $29.2B+7.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Cincinnati Financial · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.61B

Q2 2023+217.7%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cincinnati Financial · $1.69B total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • Commercial Lines Insurance
    $1.07B+7.2%
  • Personal Lines Insurance
    $494M+19.3%
  • Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance
    $133M+7.3%

Forward guidance

Cincinnati Financial aims to grow profitably through all market cycles by combining personal service with data-driven analytics, focusing on disciplined growth and precision in pricing and risk management.

Tailwinds

  • Strategic expansion of the independent agency force.
  • Overall insured exposure growth.
  • Price increases in commercial lines, excess and surplus lines, and personal lines.
  • Opportunities in Cincinnati Global Underwriting Ltd.SM and Cincinnati Re®.
  • Investments in pricing and risk management expertise.

Headwinds

  • Storms continued to increase in frequency, impacting policyholders across the country.
  • Weather-related catastrophes contributed approximately 12 points to the second quarter combined ratio of 97.6%.
  • Competition in the market is heating up.
  • Personal Lines Underwriting profit (loss) $(36) million
  • Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance Underwriting profit $11 million, down (42)%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 69 earnings

Positive

+10.9%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.2%-2.2%-4.0%
Q4 2025-3.3%-3.5%-2.6%
Q3 2025-3.8%-1.9%+6.9%
Q2 2025-2.0%-0.3%+1.8%
Q1 2025+2.9%+5.7%+10.4%
Q4 2024+2.8%+1.0%+4.7%
Q3 2024+1.7%+2.2%+12.7%
Q2 2024+3.3%+8.5%+10.6%
Q1 2024-7.5%-3.5%-1.9%
Q4 2023-4.2%-2.6%+4.9%
Q3 2023-0.8%+1.3%+4.4%
Q2 2023+5.8%+4.6%+0.6%
Q1 2023+4.6%+1.8%-3.4%
Q4 2022+10.9%+9.2%+13.7%
Q3 2022-3.2%-2.6%+8.3%
Q2 2022-14.0%-16.5%-11.3%
Q1 2022-9.1%-9.5%-4.9%
Q4 2021+7.2%+5.1%+10.7%
Q3 2021+2.5%-2.1%-4.7%
Q2 2021+1.4%+2.6%+7.2%
Q1 2021+2.8%+6.0%+12.2%
Q4 2020+4.8%+6.0%+23.4%
Q3 2020-4.6%-8.6%+1.5%
Q2 2020+0.2%-6.4%-5.7%
Q1 2020-8.6%-22.4%-21.8%
Q4 2019+6.4%+7.6%-7.4%
Q3 2019-2.0%-2.3%-7.2%
Q2 2019+1.0%-0.0%+6.0%
Q1 2019+7.6%+9.2%+14.6%
Q4 2018+2.1%+1.8%+2.3%
Q3 2018+7.2%+9.8%+10.4%
Q2 2018+4.4%+6.1%+7.3%
Q1 2018-4.7%-6.2%-6.0%
Q4 2017-3.1%+2.4%+6.1%
Q3 2017-6.2%-7.4%-4.3%
Q2 2017+5.3%+4.5%+0.6%
Q1 2017+1.7%-1.0%-2.7%
Q4 2016-0.3%+1.9%+5.0%
Q3 2016-1.4%-2.4%+5.5%
Q2 2016-0.1%-0.3%+2.6%
Q1 2016+2.7%
Q4 2015+3.9%
Q3 2015+2.7%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014-0.4%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q2 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014-2.8%
Q4 2013-4.3%
Q3 2013+0.1%
Q2 2013+0.9%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q3 2012+2.9%
Q2 2012+2.6%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011-2.1%
Q1 2010-2.5%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q3 2009-2.3%
Q3 2010-2.3%
Q4 2009-0.6%
Q2 2010-0.6%
Q2 2009-0.6%

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