NYSE$AA

Alcoa · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Alcoa reported Q4 2025 revenue of $3.4B with net income of $226M.

Fourth-quarter revenue was $3.4 billion with net income of $226 million. The company discussed alumina and aluminum pricing, smelting portfolio actions, and balance-sheet flexibility in the release.

  • Q4 revenue $3.4B.
  • Net income $226M.
  • Commodity prices and energy costs remain key drivers.
  • Portfolio optimization supports cash returns.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.4B

Previous: $3.49B-2.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.26

Previous: $1.04+21.2%
Bauxite Production (mdmt)

9.4

Previous: 9.3+1.1%
Alumina Production (kmt)

2.5M

Previous: 2.4M+3.8%
Aluminum Production (kmt)

604.0K

Previous: 571.0K+5.8%
Third-Party Bauxite Shipments (mdmt)

2.4

Previous: 2.4+0.0%
Third-Party Alumina Shipments (kmt)

2.3M

Previous: 2.3M+1.5%
Avg Realized 3rd-Party Alumina Price

$341.00

Previous: $636.00-46.4%
Avg Realized 3rd-Party Aluminum Price

$3.75K

Previous: $3.01K+24.7%
Intersegment Alumina Shipments (kmt)

1.2M

Previous: 1.2M-1.8%
Produced Alumina Shipments (kmt)

2.5M

Previous: 2.5M+1.9%
Adj. Operating Cost per Ton Alumina

$314.00

Previous: $310.00+1.3%
Total Aluminum Shipments (kmt)

667.0K

Previous: 641.0K+4.1%
Produced Aluminum Shipments (kmt)

625.0K

Previous: 566.0K+10.4%
Adj. Operating Cost per Ton Aluminum

$2.48K

Previous: $2.68K-7.4%
Days Working Capital

35

Previous: 34+2.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$243M

Previous: -$169M-43.8%
Net Income

$226M

Previous: $202M+11.9%
Operating Income

$87M

Previous: $338M-74.3%
Gross Profit

$433M

Previous: $772M-43.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Alcoa · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.4B

Q4 2025-2.5%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Alcoa · $2.77B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Aluminum Sales
    $1.65B-16.6%
  • Alumina Sales
    $1.12B+34.4%

Forward guidance

The release discusses Alcoa's outlook for upcoming periods, including capital allocation, operating priorities, and market risks, without relying solely on numeric EPS bridges.

Tailwinds

  • Alcoa cites operational execution and demand trends supporting the outlook.
  • Balance sheet and liquidity actions aim to fund growth and shareholder returns.

Headwinds

  • Macro, pricing, and input-cost volatility could pressure margins.
  • Segment mix and one-time items may affect quarter-to-quarter comparability.
  • Commodity and activity levels drive earnings volatility.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

22 / 53 earnings

Positive

+15.7%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-16.6%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.1%-2.7%-11.2%
Q4 2025-3.1%-5.0%-4.2%
Q3 2025+13.9%+10.3%+1.9%
Q2 2025-0.2%-6.4%+6.1%
Q1 2025-7.0%-3.0%+17.3%
Q4 2024-3.7%-11.9%-11.3%
Q3 2024-2.3%+0.5%+6.6%
Q2 2024-7.8%-10.7%-16.9%
Q1 2024-1.7%+0.7%+14.2%
Q4 2023-4.0%-0.9%-1.7%
Q3 2023-12.7%-15.7%-5.6%
Q2 2023-6.7%-3.7%-17.3%
Q1 2023-4.6%-9.8%-14.4%
Q4 2022-9.7%-5.7%-14.5%
Q3 2022-2.0%-1.4%+19.1%
Q2 2022+0.6%+4.2%+13.6%
Q1 2022-16.6%-22.2%-30.0%
Q4 2021+2.0%-3.4%+30.2%
Q3 2021+15.7%+10.9%+7.3%
Q2 2021-6.2%-0.5%+28.8%
Q1 2021+6.7%-1.2%+18.9%
Q4 2020-13.3%-16.2%+0.2%
Q3 2020-3.3%-0.7%+30.3%
Q2 2020+7.0%+0.9%+16.1%
Q1 2020-0.4%+0.7%+12.2%
Q4 2019-12.7%-13.2%-23.1%
Q3 2019+4.3%+5.2%+7.3%
Q2 2019+0.4%-1.5%-24.9%
Q1 2019-3.8%+1.5%-11.6%
Q4 2018+2.4%+1.3%-2.2%
Q3 2018+7.4%+9.0%-0.7%
Q2 2018-13.5%-13.9%-12.5%
Q1 2018+5.5%-9.1%-10.9%
Q4 2017-5.8%-5.9%-15.8%
Q3 2017-2.6%+0.3%-9.1%
Q2 2017+0.8%+0.7%+3.7%
Q1 2017+15.1%+6.4%+5.7%
Q4 2016+0.7%+1.0%-5.4%
Q3 2016-14.0%-16.1%+15.3%
Q2 2016+8.8%+11.2%+5.2%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015-9.8%
Q3 2015-6.2%
Q2 2015-4.3%
Q1 2015-1.7%
Q4 2014-1.9%
Q3 2014-3.5%
Q2 2014+6.5%
Q1 2014+4.2%
Q4 2013-6.7%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013+1.3%
Q1 2013+1.8%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro