NYSE$AA
Alcoa · Q1 2020 earnings
Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Alcoa reported first quarter 2020 results, addressing COVID-19 uncertainty while executing strategic actions.
Alcoa Corporation reported a net income of $80 million, or $0.43 per share, with revenue of $2.4 billion. The company is taking decisive actions to address the COVID-19 crisis, focusing on workforce safety and financial stability. It is curtailing smelting capacity and implementing cash initiatives to deliver $700 million in savings or deferrals.
- Net income of $80 million, or $0.43 per share
- Adjusted net loss of $42 million, or $0.23 per share, excluding special items
- Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items of $321 million
- Revenue of $2.4 billion
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Alcoa · Revenue · Quarterly
$2.38B
Revenue by segment
Alcoa · $1.04B total across 1 segment · Q1 2020
- Alumina Sales$1.04B—100.0%
Forward guidance
Alcoa has updated annual Aluminum segment shipments to between 2.9 and 3.0 million metric tons from its earlier outlook of between 3.0 and 3.1 million metric tons, due to the impact of the Intalco curtailment on the second half of 2020. The Company’s 2020 shipment outlook for Bauxite and Alumina remain unchanged from the prior full-year estimates. Total annual bauxite shipments are expected to range between 48.0 and 49.0 million dry metric tons. Total alumina shipments are projected between 13.6 and 13.7 million metric tons.
Tailwinds
- Company’s 2020 shipment outlook for Bauxite and Alumina remain unchanged from the prior full-year estimates.
- Total annual bauxite shipments are expected to range between 48.0 and 49.0 million dry metric tons.
- Total alumina shipments are projected between 13.6 and 13.7 million metric tons.
- In the Alumina segment, the Company expects benefits from lower costs for raw materials.
- In the Aluminum segment, the Company expects performance to be nearly flat, as improvements from lower alumina costs, smelter power costs and production costs are expected to be offset by lower Brazil Hydro sales prices and lower value add pricing and volumes.
Headwinds
- Alcoa has updated annual Aluminum segment shipments to between 2.9 and 3.0 million metric tons from its earlier outlook of between 3.0 and 3.1 million metric tons, due to the impact of the Intalco curtailment on the second half of 2020.
- In the second quarter of 2020, Alcoa expects lower quarterly results in the Bauxite segment primarily due to the non-recurrence of an annual sales contract true up.
- The Company recognized significant currency benefits related to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar in the first quarter 2020, and it continues to be exposed to impacts of currency rate fluctuations in the second quarter.
- The Company expects its annual operational tax rate will vary with market conditions and jurisdictional profitability and is withdrawing its prior outlook of 70 to 80 percent.
- The extent and duration of the coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic is unknown. The uncertainty around the future impact on the Company’s business, financial condition, operating results, and cash flows could cause actual results to differ from this outlook.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020
-1.6%
Avg return
Earnings day
-2.9%
Avg return
5 days after
+0.4%
Avg return
30 days after
42%
22 / 53 earnings
Positive
+15.7%
Q3 2021
Best reaction
-16.6%
Q1 2022
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +1.1% | -2.7% | -11.2% | |
| Q4 2025 | -3.1% | -5.0% | -4.2% | |
| Q3 2025 | +13.9% | +10.3% | +1.9% | |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2% | -6.4% | +6.1% | |
| Q1 2025 | -7.0% | -3.0% | +17.3% | |
| Q4 2024 | -3.7% | -11.9% | -11.3% | |
| Q3 2024 | -2.3% | +0.5% | +6.6% | |
| Q2 2024 | -7.8% | -10.7% | -16.9% | |
| Q1 2024 | -1.7% | +0.7% | +14.2% | |
| Q4 2023 | -4.0% | -0.9% | -1.7% | |
| Q3 2023 | -12.7% | -15.7% | -5.6% | |
| Q2 2023 | -6.7% | -3.7% | -17.3% | |
| Q1 2023 | -4.6% | -9.8% | -14.4% | |
| Q4 2022 | -9.7% | -5.7% | -14.5% | |
| Q3 2022 | -2.0% | -1.4% | +19.1% | |
| Q2 2022 | +0.6% | +4.2% | +13.6% | |
| Q1 2022 | -16.6% | -22.2% | -30.0% | |
| Q4 2021 | +2.0% | -3.4% | +30.2% | |
| Q3 2021 | +15.7% | +10.9% | +7.3% | |
| Q2 2021 | -6.2% | -0.5% | +28.8% | |
| Q1 2021 | +6.7% | -1.2% | +18.9% | |
| Q4 2020 | -13.3% | -16.2% | +0.2% | |
| Q3 2020 | -3.3% | -0.7% | +30.3% | |
| Q2 2020 | +7.0% | +0.9% | +16.1% | |
| Q1 2020 | -0.4% | +0.7% | +12.2% | |
| Q4 2019 | -12.7% | -13.2% | -23.1% | |
| Q3 2019 | +4.3% | +5.2% | +7.3% | |
| Q2 2019 | +0.4% | -1.5% | -24.9% | |
| Q1 2019 | -3.8% | +1.5% | -11.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | +2.4% | +1.3% | -2.2% | |
| Q3 2018 | +7.4% | +9.0% | -0.7% | |
| Q2 2018 | -13.5% | -13.9% | -12.5% | |
| Q1 2018 | +5.5% | -9.1% | -10.9% | |
| Q4 2017 | -5.8% | -5.9% | -15.8% | |
| Q3 2017 | -2.6% | +0.3% | -9.1% | |
| Q2 2017 | +0.8% | +0.7% | +3.7% | |
| Q1 2017 | +15.1% | +6.4% | +5.7% | |
| Q4 2016 | +0.7% | +1.0% | -5.4% | |
| Q3 2016 | -14.0% | -16.1% | +15.3% | |
| Q2 2016 | +8.8% | +11.2% | +5.2% | |
| Q1 2016 | +1.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -9.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -6.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -4.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -1.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -3.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +6.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +4.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -6.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +1.8% | — | — |
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