NASDAQ$GSHD

Goosehead Insurance Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Goosehead Insurance, Inc. announced strong fourth quarter and full year 2024 results, with significant increases in total revenue, net income, and adjusted EBITDA.

Goosehead Insurance, Inc. reported a strong fourth quarter for 2024, with total revenues increasing by 49% to $93.9 million and net income reaching $23.8 million, a substantial improvement from the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA also saw a significant rise of 164% to $37.4 million.

  • Total Revenues grew 49% over the prior-year period to $93.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2024.
  • Fourth quarter net income of $23.8 million improved from net income of $5.4 million a year ago, with EPS of $0.60 per share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $37.4 million increased 164% from $14.1 million in the prior-year period, with Adjusted EBITDA Margin increasing 17 percentage points to 40%.
  • Total written premiums placed for the fourth quarter increased 28% over the prior-year period to $965.6 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$93.9M

Previous: $63M+49.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.79

Previous: $0.28+182.1%
Total Written Premiums Placed

$966M

Previous: $756M+27.7%
Policies in Force

1.7M

Previous: 1.5M+12.7%
Client Retention

84.0%

Previous: 86.0%-2.3%
Premium Retention

98.0%

Previous: 101.0%-3.0%
Net Promoter Score

89

Previous: 92-3.3%
Corporate Sales Agents < 1 Year Tenured

253

Previous: 135+87.4%
Operating Franchises < 1 Year Tenured

90

Previous: 183-50.8%
Total Franchise Producers

2.1K

Previous: 2.0K+6.9%
QTD Corporate Agent Productivity < 1 Year

$12.8K

Previous: $13.8K-7.3%
QTD Franchise Productivity < 1 Year

$17.9K

Previous: $11K+62.7%
Net Income

$23.8M

Previous: $5.4M+341.1%
Operating Income

$27.9M

Previous: $6.68M+316.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Goosehead Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly

$93.9M

Q4 2024+49%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Goosehead Insurance · $58M total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • Core Revenue
    $52M+42.4%
  • Cost Recovery Revenue
    $3.46M+32.3%
  • Ancillary Revenue
    $2.51M+16.2%

Forward guidance

For the full year 2025, Goosehead Insurance expects total written premiums placed to be between $4.65 billion and $4.88 billion, representing 22% to 28% organic growth. Total revenues are expected to be between $350 million and $385 million, representing 11% to 22% organic growth.

Tailwinds

  • Expected total written premiums placed between $4.65 billion and $4.88 billion.
  • Anticipated organic growth in total written premiums placed ranging from 22% to 28%.
  • Projected total revenues between $350 million and $385 million.
  • Expected organic growth in total revenues ranging from 11% to 22%.
  • Continued investment in people and technology to expand competitive moat.

Headwinds

  • No specific negative forward guidance points were explicitly stated in the provided text.
  • Potential impact of macro headwinds on future performance.
  • Challenges in the insurance market could affect growth.
  • Ability to attract and retain qualified personnel and franchisees.
  • Uncertainties related to economic conditions and their impact on consumer spending.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

15 / 35 earnings

Positive

+25.8%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-18.6%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.5%+7.4%-8.6%
Q4 2025-6.4%-9.5%-16.2%
Q3 2025+8.1%+7.8%+3.9%
Q2 2025-0.5%+2.4%-6.7%
Q1 2025-12.0%-9.4%+2.7%
Q4 2024+15.9%+16.6%+14.2%
Q3 2024+13.2%+14.6%+32.2%
Q2 2024+25.8%+31.1%+19.0%
Q1 2024-11.5%-5.3%+7.2%
Q4 2023-18.6%-15.2%-19.7%
Q3 2023-5.8%-7.8%+4.3%
Q2 2023+4.5%+0.7%-10.1%
Q1 2023+7.3%+5.7%+0.6%
Q4 2022+17.5%+15.7%+29.4%
Q3 2022+15.2%+20.1%+15.0%
Q2 2022+20.4%+12.4%+10.8%
Q1 2022-3.2%+0.3%-9.4%
Q4 2021-0.8%+1.7%-10.8%
Q3 2021-4.2%-9.8%-12.3%
Q2 2021-6.5%-5.2%+8.1%
Q1 2021-3.2%-10.2%-20.9%
Q4 2020-10.6%-21.7%-30.6%
Q3 2020+14.5%+15.6%+14.8%
Q2 2020+21.7%+25.0%+18.9%
Q1 2020-0.1%+1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2019+1.7%+5.1%-6.9%
Q3 2019-16.9%-14.4%-20.8%
Q2 2019-3.7%-2.6%+2.7%
Q1 2019+16.6%+11.6%+22.3%
Q4 2018-7.6%-6.1%-0.1%
Q3 2017-11.9%-21.3%-26.3%
Q3 2018-11.6%-21.7%-29.6%
Q2 2017-4.8%-3.2%+15.6%
Q2 2018-3.2%-0.4%+10.8%
Q1 2018+7.7%+21.5%+43.5%
Q4 2017
Q1 2017

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