NASDAQ$GSHD
Goosehead Insurance Inc · Q4 2022 earnings
Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Reported a strong fourth quarter with significant revenue and earnings growth.
Goosehead Insurance reported a 43% increase in total revenues and a 49% increase in core revenues for the fourth quarter of 2022. Net income increased by 193%, and adjusted EBITDA grew by 123%. Total written premiums placed increased by 44%.
- Total revenues grew by 43% to $57.4 million.
- Core revenues increased by 49%.
- Net income increased by 193%, with EPS at $0.02 per share and adjusted EPS at $0.11 per share.
- Total written premiums placed increased by 44% to $585 million.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Goosehead Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly
$57.4M
Revenue by segment
Goosehead Insurance · $58M total across 3 segments · Q1 2023
- Core Revenue$52M+42.4%89.7%
- Cost Recovery Revenue$3.46M+32.3%6.0%
- Ancillary Revenue$2.51M+16.2%4.3%
Forward guidance
The Company’s outlook for full year 2023 is as follows:
Tailwinds
- Total written premiums placed for 2023 are expected to be between $2.83 billion and $2.96 billion, representing organic growth of 28% on the low end of the range to 34% on the high end of the range.
- Total revenues for 2023 are expected to be between $258 million and $267 million, representing organic growth of 23% on the low end of the range to 28% on the high end of the range.
- Adjusted EBITDA Margin is expected to expand for the full year 2023.
- Premiums were up 44% and 42% for the quarter and full year, respectively, as we saw continued benefit from auto and home rates that will likely persist well into 2023 given personal lines carrier loss experience.
- We expect to achieve further productivity gains and total producer growth as we progress through 2023.
Headwinds
- Adjusted EBITDA margin and a reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP metric are not provided because they cannot be calculated without unreasonable efforts.
- Conditions impacting insurance carriers or other parties with which Goosehead does business
- The economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic
- The loss of one or more key executives or an inability to attract and retain qualified personnel
- The failure to attract and retain highly qualified franchisees
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022
+1.7%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.5%
Avg return
5 days after
+1.5%
Avg return
30 days after
43%
15 / 35 earnings
Positive
+25.8%
Q2 2024
Best reaction
-18.6%
Q4 2023
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +11.5% | +7.4% | -8.6% | |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4% | -9.5% | -16.2% | |
| Q3 2025 | +8.1% | +7.8% | +3.9% | |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5% | +2.4% | -6.7% | |
| Q1 2025 | -12.0% | -9.4% | +2.7% | |
| Q4 2024 | +15.9% | +16.6% | +14.2% | |
| Q3 2024 | +13.2% | +14.6% | +32.2% | |
| Q2 2024 | +25.8% | +31.1% | +19.0% | |
| Q1 2024 | -11.5% | -5.3% | +7.2% | |
| Q4 2023 | -18.6% | -15.2% | -19.7% | |
| Q3 2023 | -5.8% | -7.8% | +4.3% | |
| Q2 2023 | +4.5% | +0.7% | -10.1% | |
| Q1 2023 | +7.3% | +5.7% | +0.6% | |
| Q4 2022 | +17.5% | +15.7% | +29.4% | |
| Q3 2022 | +15.2% | +20.1% | +15.0% | |
| Q2 2022 | +20.4% | +12.4% | +10.8% | |
| Q1 2022 | -3.2% | +0.3% | -9.4% | |
| Q4 2021 | -0.8% | +1.7% | -10.8% | |
| Q3 2021 | -4.2% | -9.8% | -12.3% | |
| Q2 2021 | -6.5% | -5.2% | +8.1% | |
| Q1 2021 | -3.2% | -10.2% | -20.9% | |
| Q4 2020 | -10.6% | -21.7% | -30.6% | |
| Q3 2020 | +14.5% | +15.6% | +14.8% | |
| Q2 2020 | +21.7% | +25.0% | +18.9% | |
| Q1 2020 | -0.1% | +1.3% | +4.3% | |
| Q4 2019 | +1.7% | +5.1% | -6.9% | |
| Q3 2019 | -16.9% | -14.4% | -20.8% | |
| Q2 2019 | -3.7% | -2.6% | +2.7% | |
| Q1 2019 | +16.6% | +11.6% | +22.3% | |
| Q4 2018 | -7.6% | -6.1% | -0.1% | |
| Q3 2017 | -11.9% | -21.3% | -26.3% | |
| Q3 2018 | -11.6% | -21.7% | -29.6% | |
| Q2 2017 | -4.8% | -3.2% | +15.6% | |
| Q2 2018 | -3.2% | -0.4% | +10.8% | |
| Q1 2018 | +7.7% | +21.5% | +43.5% | |
| Q4 2017 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2017 | — | — | — |
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