NASDAQ$GSHD

Goosehead Insurance Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Goosehead Insurance's first quarter revenues were reported as $20.4 million, with total written premiums increasing by 46%.

Goosehead Insurance reported a decrease in revenues to $20.4 million, but an increase of 46% in total written premiums. The company experienced a net loss of $156 thousand, with adjusted EPS at $0.00 per share.

  • Revenues were $20.4 million, but would have been $24.9 million under ASC 605.
  • Core Revenues were $18.2 million under ASC 606.
  • Net loss attributable to Goosehead Insurance, Inc. was $156 thousand, or $0.01 per share.
  • Total written premiums placed increased 46% to $214 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$20.4M

Previous: $23.1M-11.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.08

Previous: $0.18-55.6%
Policies in Force

530.0K

Previous: 365.0K+45.2%
Client Retention

88.0%

No prior period
Net Promoter Score

89

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$967K

Previous: -$1.25M+22.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.12M

Previous: $1.22M-191.8%
Net Income

-$156K

Previous: $2.47M-106.3%
Operating Income

$201K

Previous: $8.69M-97.7%
Gross Profit

$20.4M

Previous: $23.1M-11.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$10.8M

Previous: $18.4M-41.2%
Total Assets

$75.9M

Previous: $48.4M+56.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$498K

Previous: $368K+35.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Goosehead Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly

$20.4M

Q1 2020-11.7%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 7 of 11 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Goosehead Insurance · $58M total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • Core Revenue
    $52M+42.4%
  • Cost Recovery Revenue
    $3.46M+32.3%
  • Ancillary Revenue
    $2.51M+16.2%

Forward guidance

The Company is maintaining its full-year 2020 outlook with respect to written premiums and revenue.

Tailwinds

  • Total written premiums placed for 2020 are expected to be between $975 million and $1.035 billion, representing organic growth of 32% on the low end of the range to 40% on the high end of the range.
  • Total revenues for 2020 under ASC 606 revenue accounting are expected to be between $100 million and $105 million, representing organic growth of 29% on the low end of the range to 36% on the high end of the range.
  • Company's go to market strategy is unique.
  • Company is continuing investment in industry leading technology and human capital.
  • Company has unmatched sales and service capabilities.

Headwinds

  • Conditions impacting insurance carriers or other parties with which Goosehead does business.
  • The economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • The loss of one or more key executives or an inability to attract and retain qualified personnel.
  • The failure to attract and retain highly qualified franchisees.
  • The duration and impact of the current macro environment remains uncertain.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

15 / 35 earnings

Positive

+25.8%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-18.6%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.5%+7.4%-8.6%
Q4 2025-6.4%-9.5%-16.2%
Q3 2025+8.1%+7.8%+3.9%
Q2 2025-0.5%+2.4%-6.7%
Q1 2025-12.0%-9.4%+2.7%
Q4 2024+15.9%+16.6%+14.2%
Q3 2024+13.2%+14.6%+32.2%
Q2 2024+25.8%+31.1%+19.0%
Q1 2024-11.5%-5.3%+7.2%
Q4 2023-18.6%-15.2%-19.7%
Q3 2023-5.8%-7.8%+4.3%
Q2 2023+4.5%+0.7%-10.1%
Q1 2023+7.3%+5.7%+0.6%
Q4 2022+17.5%+15.7%+29.4%
Q3 2022+15.2%+20.1%+15.0%
Q2 2022+20.4%+12.4%+10.8%
Q1 2022-3.2%+0.3%-9.4%
Q4 2021-0.8%+1.7%-10.8%
Q3 2021-4.2%-9.8%-12.3%
Q2 2021-6.5%-5.2%+8.1%
Q1 2021-3.2%-10.2%-20.9%
Q4 2020-10.6%-21.7%-30.6%
Q3 2020+14.5%+15.6%+14.8%
Q2 2020+21.7%+25.0%+18.9%
Q1 2020-0.1%+1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2019+1.7%+5.1%-6.9%
Q3 2019-16.9%-14.4%-20.8%
Q2 2019-3.7%-2.6%+2.7%
Q1 2019+16.6%+11.6%+22.3%
Q4 2018-7.6%-6.1%-0.1%
Q3 2017-11.9%-21.3%-26.3%
Q3 2018-11.6%-21.7%-29.6%
Q2 2017-4.8%-3.2%+15.6%
Q2 2018-3.2%-0.4%+10.8%
Q1 2018+7.7%+21.5%+43.5%
Q4 2017
Q1 2017

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