NASDAQ$GSHD

Goosehead Insurance Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a strong third quarter with revenue growth and improved profitability.

Goosehead Insurance reported strong Q3 2023 results, with a 23% increase in total revenue to $71.0 million, a 30% increase in total written premium to $802.9 million, and a significant increase in net income to $11.3 million compared to $3.0 million in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA also saw substantial growth, reaching $22.4 million versus $11.0 million in the prior-year period.

  • Total revenues grew by 23% year-over-year to $71.0 million.
  • Core revenues increased by 22% year-over-year to $63.1 million.
  • Net income increased to $11.3 million, up from $3.0 million in the prior year.
  • Total written premiums placed increased by 30% year-over-year to $802.9 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$71M

Previous: $57.7M+23.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.46

Previous: $0.24+91.7%
Policies in Force

1.5M

Previous: 1.2M+17.6%
Client Retention

87.0%

Previous: 88.0%-1.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.96M

Previous: -$14.8M+73.2%
Free Cash Flow

$2.98M

Previous: -$12.8M+123.3%
Net Income

$6.93M

Previous: $1.98M+250.4%
Operating Income

$13.6M

Previous: $3.79M+259.4%
Gross Profit

$71M

Previous: $57.7M+23.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$35.2M

Previous: $46.1M-23.6%
Total Assets

$341M

Previous: $324M+5.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.46M

Previous: $5.4M+19.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Goosehead Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly

$71M

Q3 2023+23.1%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Goosehead Insurance · $58M total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • Core Revenue
    $52M+42.4%
  • Cost Recovery Revenue
    $3.46M+32.3%
  • Ancillary Revenue
    $2.51M+16.2%

Forward guidance

The company is reiterating its outlook for full year 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Total written premiums placed for 2023 are expected to be between $2.87 billion and $2.99 billion, representing growth of 29% on the low end of the range to 35% on the high end of the range.
  • Total revenues for 2023 are expected to be between $260 million and $267 million, representing growth of 24% on the low end of the range to 28% on the high end of the range.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Margin is expected to expand for the full year 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

15 / 35 earnings

Positive

+25.8%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-18.6%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.5%+7.4%-8.6%
Q4 2025-6.4%-9.5%-16.2%
Q3 2025+8.1%+7.8%+3.9%
Q2 2025-0.5%+2.4%-6.7%
Q1 2025-12.0%-9.4%+2.7%
Q4 2024+15.9%+16.6%+14.2%
Q3 2024+13.2%+14.6%+32.2%
Q2 2024+25.8%+31.1%+19.0%
Q1 2024-11.5%-5.3%+7.2%
Q4 2023-18.6%-15.2%-19.7%
Q3 2023-5.8%-7.8%+4.3%
Q2 2023+4.5%+0.7%-10.1%
Q1 2023+7.3%+5.7%+0.6%
Q4 2022+17.5%+15.7%+29.4%
Q3 2022+15.2%+20.1%+15.0%
Q2 2022+20.4%+12.4%+10.8%
Q1 2022-3.2%+0.3%-9.4%
Q4 2021-0.8%+1.7%-10.8%
Q3 2021-4.2%-9.8%-12.3%
Q2 2021-6.5%-5.2%+8.1%
Q1 2021-3.2%-10.2%-20.9%
Q4 2020-10.6%-21.7%-30.6%
Q3 2020+14.5%+15.6%+14.8%
Q2 2020+21.7%+25.0%+18.9%
Q1 2020-0.1%+1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2019+1.7%+5.1%-6.9%
Q3 2019-16.9%-14.4%-20.8%
Q2 2019-3.7%-2.6%+2.7%
Q1 2019+16.6%+11.6%+22.3%
Q4 2018-7.6%-6.1%-0.1%
Q3 2017-11.9%-21.3%-26.3%
Q3 2018-11.6%-21.7%-29.6%
Q2 2017-4.8%-3.2%+15.6%
Q2 2018-3.2%-0.4%+10.8%
Q1 2018+7.7%+21.5%+43.5%
Q4 2017
Q1 2017

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