NASDAQ$GSHD

Goosehead Insurance Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported revenues of $32.0 million and net income of $6.7 million.

Goosehead Insurance reported a strong third quarter with revenues up 51% to $32.0 million and net income of $6.7 million. The company saw significant growth in total written premiums and headcount, and raised its full-year outlook for total written premium and revenue.

  • Revenues grew 51% to $32.0 million.
  • Total written premiums placed increased 49% to $301 million.
  • Net income was $6.7 million.
  • Total franchises increased 52% compared to the prior year period to 1,261.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$32M

Previous: $21.2M+51.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.17

Previous: $0.08+112.5%
Policies in Force

657.0K

Previous: 448.0K+46.7%
Client Retention

88.0%

Previous: 88.0%+0.0%
Premium Retention

90.0%

Previous: 92.0%-2.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$4.77M

Previous: -$3.29M-45.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.5M

Previous: -$2.29M+34.5%
Net Income

$3.27M

Previous: $998K+227.4%
Operating Income

$6.97M

Previous: $3.67M+89.7%
Gross Profit

$32M

Previous: $21.2M+51.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$20M

Previous: $10.8M+84.4%
Total Assets

$120M

Previous: $44.4M+170.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.42M

Previous: $396K+257.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Goosehead Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly

$32M

Q3 2020+51.2%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 13 quarters(62%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Goosehead Insurance · $58M total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • Core Revenue
    $52M+42.4%
  • Cost Recovery Revenue
    $3.46M+32.3%
  • Ancillary Revenue
    $2.51M+16.2%

Forward guidance

The Company is raising its full-year 2020 outlook with respect to total written premiums and revenue.

Tailwinds

  • Total written premiums placed for 2020 are expected to be between $1.05 billion and $1.07 billion, representing organic growth of 42% on the low end of the range to 45% on the high end of the range.
  • Total revenues for 2020 under ASC 606 revenue accounting are expected to be between $109 million and $112 million, representing organic growth of 41% on the low end of the range to 45% on the high end of the range.
  • Company is raising its full-year 2020 outlook with respect to total written premiums.
  • Company is raising its full-year 2020 outlook with respect to revenue.
  • Company expects organic growth of 42% up to 45%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

15 / 35 earnings

Positive

+25.8%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-18.6%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.5%+7.4%-8.6%
Q4 2025-6.4%-9.5%-16.2%
Q3 2025+8.1%+7.8%+3.9%
Q2 2025-0.5%+2.4%-6.7%
Q1 2025-12.0%-9.4%+2.7%
Q4 2024+15.9%+16.6%+14.2%
Q3 2024+13.2%+14.6%+32.2%
Q2 2024+25.8%+31.1%+19.0%
Q1 2024-11.5%-5.3%+7.2%
Q4 2023-18.6%-15.2%-19.7%
Q3 2023-5.8%-7.8%+4.3%
Q2 2023+4.5%+0.7%-10.1%
Q1 2023+7.3%+5.7%+0.6%
Q4 2022+17.5%+15.7%+29.4%
Q3 2022+15.2%+20.1%+15.0%
Q2 2022+20.4%+12.4%+10.8%
Q1 2022-3.2%+0.3%-9.4%
Q4 2021-0.8%+1.7%-10.8%
Q3 2021-4.2%-9.8%-12.3%
Q2 2021-6.5%-5.2%+8.1%
Q1 2021-3.2%-10.2%-20.9%
Q4 2020-10.6%-21.7%-30.6%
Q3 2020+14.5%+15.6%+14.8%
Q2 2020+21.7%+25.0%+18.9%
Q1 2020-0.1%+1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2019+1.7%+5.1%-6.9%
Q3 2019-16.9%-14.4%-20.8%
Q2 2019-3.7%-2.6%+2.7%
Q1 2019+16.6%+11.6%+22.3%
Q4 2018-7.6%-6.1%-0.1%
Q3 2017-11.9%-21.3%-26.3%
Q3 2018-11.6%-21.7%-29.6%
Q2 2017-4.8%-3.2%+15.6%
Q2 2018-3.2%-0.4%+10.8%
Q1 2018+7.7%+21.5%+43.5%
Q4 2017
Q1 2017

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