NYSE$VST

Vistra Corp · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Vistra reported a net income of $731 million and ongoing operations adjusted EBITDA of $1,165 million.

Vistra reported Q4 2021 Net Income of $731 million, a significant increase compared to the previous year, driven by ERCOT securitization and hedging transactions. The company's Adjusted EBITDA from Ongoing Operations was $1,165 million, also benefiting from the ERCOT securitization.

  • Net Income for Q4 2021 was $731 million, a $757 million increase year-over-year.
  • Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2021 was $1,165 million, driven by ERCOT securitization.
  • Retail segment Adjusted EBITDA was $937 million, up $526 million year-over-year due to ERCOT securitization.
  • Generation segments' Adjusted EBITDA totaled $228 million, a decrease of $163 million year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.31B

Previous: $2.52B+31.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.45

Previous: -$0.05+3000.0%
Ongoing Operations Net Income

$733M

Previous: -$14M+5335.7%
Capital Expenditures

$243M

Previous: $421M-42.3%
Free Cash Flow

$44M

Previous: $566M-92.2%
Net Income

$731M

Previous: -$27M+2807.4%
Operating Income

-$1.52B

Previous: $1.52B-199.7%
Gross Profit

$1.59B

Previous: $809M+96.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.33B

Previous: $406M+226.4%
Total Assets

$29.7B

Previous: $25.2B+17.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$11M

Previous: $19M-42.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Vistra · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.31B

Q4 2021+31.3%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 4 of 16 quarters(25%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vistra · $1.23B total across 5 segments · Q4 2021

  • Retail
    $937M+128.0%
  • East
    $164M+3.8%
  • Texas
    $114M-40.3%
  • West
    $12M-14.3%
  • Asset Closure
    -$1M+66.7%

Forward guidance

Vistra is reaffirming its 2022 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA and Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG guidance ranges of $2,810 to $3,310 million and $2,070 to $2,570 million, respectively.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

19 / 38 earnings

Positive

+14.0%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-23.5%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.2%-7.3%-6.0%
Q4 2025-0.9%-7.8%-11.3%
Q3 2025-2.6%-5.4%-11.7%
Q2 2025+2.4%+4.3%-6.4%
Q1 2025-3.7%+0.9%+19.9%
Q4 2024-12.3%-14.3%-19.7%
Q3 2024+12.5%+12.7%+26.9%
Q2 2024+6.3%+8.8%-0.3%
Q1 2024+14.0%+10.3%+4.1%
Q4 2023+7.0%+11.8%+36.6%
Q3 2023-1.9%-2.4%+5.2%
Q2 2023+6.5%+5.2%+18.2%
Q1 2023+7.9%+4.9%+6.2%
Q4 2022-3.2%+10.9%+9.1%
Q3 2022+2.6%+1.4%+3.3%
Q2 2022-3.5%-1.8%-2.6%
Q1 2022-5.0%-4.4%+1.7%
Q4 2021+5.3%+2.5%+4.9%
Q3 2021+2.8%+1.2%+7.8%
Q2 2021-1.9%-2.2%+1.1%
Q1 2021-3.7%-3.5%-7.2%
Q4 2020-23.5%-27.8%-25.9%
Q3 2020+0.5%+2.8%+4.1%
Q2 2020+0.4%+2.3%-2.8%
Q1 2020-3.9%-0.4%+6.9%
Q4 2019-2.2%+2.2%-20.4%
Q3 2019-5.9%-5.0%-10.7%
Q2 2019+0.8%+2.4%+15.8%
Q1 2019-3.4%-7.6%-13.5%
Q4 2018+1.5%-2.6%-0.5%
Q3 2018+8.1%+7.0%+1.6%
Q2 2018+3.8%+0.7%+1.6%
Q1 2018+2.9%-0.6%+5.2%
Q4 2017-0.2%+3.0%+11.1%
Q3 2017+1.3%-1.3%-2.0%
Q2 2017+5.2%+5.5%+10.3%
Q1 2017-0.3%-0.6%+10.7%
Q4 2016-0.9%+4.5%+5.2%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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