NYSE$VST

Vistra Corp · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Vistra's Q3 2023 financial performance was reported, demonstrating strong earnings and strategic execution.

Vistra reported a net income of $502 million and an Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $1,613 million for the third quarter of 2023. The company's performance was driven by strong operating results and effective hedging strategies, particularly in Texas, which experienced a record-breaking summer. Vistra also raised its 2023 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA guidance and initiated 2024 guidance, reflecting confidence in its increased earning potential.

  • Vistra recorded a Net Income of $502 million and an Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $1,613 million in Q3 2023.
  • The company raised its 2023 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $3.95 billion to $4.10 billion.
  • Vistra initiated its 2024 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $3.7 billion to $4.1 billion.
  • The company's generation fleet achieved high commercial availability during the record-breaking summer in ERCOT.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.09B

Previous: $5.15B-20.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.25

Previous: $1.51-17.2%
Ongoing Operations Net Income

$519M

Previous: $667M-22.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.26B

Previous: -$909M-38.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$760M

Previous: -$241M-215.4%
Net Income

$502M

Previous: $668M-24.9%
Operating Income

$834M

Previous: $894M-6.7%
Gross Profit

$4.09B

Previous: $5.15B-20.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.17B

Previous: $535M+492.5%
Total Assets

$31.9B

Previous: $35.2B-9.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$20M

Previous: $14M+42.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Vistra · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.09B

Q3 2023-20.6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vistra · $1.5B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Texas
    $950M+8.8%
  • East
    $315M+128.3%
  • Retail
    $173M+8750.0%
  • West
    $87M+93.3%
  • Asset Closure
    -$24M

Forward guidance

Vistra initiated its 2024 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $3.7 billion to $4.1 billion and Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG guidance ranges of $1.9 billion to $2.3 billion.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

19 / 38 earnings

Positive

+14.0%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-23.5%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.2%-7.3%-6.0%
Q4 2025-0.9%-7.8%-11.3%
Q3 2025-2.6%-5.4%-11.7%
Q2 2025+2.4%+4.3%-6.4%
Q1 2025-3.7%+0.9%+19.9%
Q4 2024-12.3%-14.3%-19.7%
Q3 2024+12.5%+12.7%+26.9%
Q2 2024+6.3%+8.8%-0.3%
Q1 2024+14.0%+10.3%+4.1%
Q4 2023+7.0%+11.8%+36.6%
Q3 2023-1.9%-2.4%+5.2%
Q2 2023+6.5%+5.2%+18.2%
Q1 2023+7.9%+4.9%+6.2%
Q4 2022-3.2%+10.9%+9.1%
Q3 2022+2.6%+1.4%+3.3%
Q2 2022-3.5%-1.8%-2.6%
Q1 2022-5.0%-4.4%+1.7%
Q4 2021+5.3%+2.5%+4.9%
Q3 2021+2.8%+1.2%+7.8%
Q2 2021-1.9%-2.2%+1.1%
Q1 2021-3.7%-3.5%-7.2%
Q4 2020-23.5%-27.8%-25.9%
Q3 2020+0.5%+2.8%+4.1%
Q2 2020+0.4%+2.3%-2.8%
Q1 2020-3.9%-0.4%+6.9%
Q4 2019-2.2%+2.2%-20.4%
Q3 2019-5.9%-5.0%-10.7%
Q2 2019+0.8%+2.4%+15.8%
Q1 2019-3.4%-7.6%-13.5%
Q4 2018+1.5%-2.6%-0.5%
Q3 2018+8.1%+7.0%+1.6%
Q2 2018+3.8%+0.7%+1.6%
Q1 2018+2.9%-0.6%+5.2%
Q4 2017-0.2%+3.0%+11.1%
Q3 2017+1.3%-1.3%-2.0%
Q2 2017+5.2%+5.5%+10.3%
Q1 2017-0.3%-0.6%+10.7%
Q4 2016-0.9%+4.5%+5.2%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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