NYSE$VST

Vistra Corp · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Vistra reported strong Q2 2024 results with solid performance across its segments.

Vistra Corp. reported a Net Income of $467 million and Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $1,414 million for the second quarter of 2024. The company reaffirmed its midpoint guidance for 2024 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $4,800 million, excluding any potential contribution from the nuclear production tax credit.

  • GAAP second quarter 2024 Net Income of $467 million.
  • Cash Flow from Operations of $1,196 million.
  • Net Income from Ongoing Operations of $492 million.
  • Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $1,414 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.85B

Previous: $3.19B+20.6%
EPS

$0.90

Previous: $1.17-23.1%
Adjusted EBITDA

$1.41B

Previous: $1.07B+32.3%
Ongoing Operations Net Income

$498M

Previous: $409M+21.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$963M

Previous: -$926M-4.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$598M

Previous: -$450M-32.9%
Net Income

$365M

Previous: $476M-23.3%
Operating Income

$808M

Previous: $591M+36.7%
Gross Profit

$3.85B

Previous: $3.19B+20.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.62B

Previous: $643M+152.6%
Total Assets

$39.1B

Previous: $30.5B+28.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$32M

Previous: $21M+52.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Vistra · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.85B

Q2 2024+20.6%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vistra · $1.5B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Texas
    $950M+8.8%
  • East
    $315M+128.3%
  • Retail
    $173M+8750.0%
  • West
    $87M+93.3%
  • Asset Closure
    -$24M

Forward guidance

Vistra is confident that it will achieve Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA results toward the upper end of its guidance range for 2024. The company is increasing the range of its midpoint opportunity for 2025 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA by $200 million to $5,200 million to $5,700 million.

Tailwinds

  • Company expects to achieve Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA results toward the upper end of its guidance range for 2024.
  • Company increased the range of its midpoint opportunity for 2025 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA by $200 million to $5,200 million to $5,700 million.
  • Vistra has hedged approximately 94% of its expected generation volumes for the balance of 2024.
  • Vistra has hedged approximately 86% for 2025.
  • Vistra has hedged approximately 55% for 2026.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

19 / 38 earnings

Positive

+14.0%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-23.5%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.2%-7.3%-6.0%
Q4 2025-0.9%-7.8%-11.3%
Q3 2025-2.6%-5.4%-11.7%
Q2 2025+2.4%+4.3%-6.4%
Q1 2025-3.7%+0.9%+19.9%
Q4 2024-12.3%-14.3%-19.7%
Q3 2024+12.5%+12.7%+26.9%
Q2 2024+6.3%+8.8%-0.3%
Q1 2024+14.0%+10.3%+4.1%
Q4 2023+7.0%+11.8%+36.6%
Q3 2023-1.9%-2.4%+5.2%
Q2 2023+6.5%+5.2%+18.2%
Q1 2023+7.9%+4.9%+6.2%
Q4 2022-3.2%+10.9%+9.1%
Q3 2022+2.6%+1.4%+3.3%
Q2 2022-3.5%-1.8%-2.6%
Q1 2022-5.0%-4.4%+1.7%
Q4 2021+5.3%+2.5%+4.9%
Q3 2021+2.8%+1.2%+7.8%
Q2 2021-1.9%-2.2%+1.1%
Q1 2021-3.7%-3.5%-7.2%
Q4 2020-23.5%-27.8%-25.9%
Q3 2020+0.5%+2.8%+4.1%
Q2 2020+0.4%+2.3%-2.8%
Q1 2020-3.9%-0.4%+6.9%
Q4 2019-2.2%+2.2%-20.4%
Q3 2019-5.9%-5.0%-10.7%
Q2 2019+0.8%+2.4%+15.8%
Q1 2019-3.4%-7.6%-13.5%
Q4 2018+1.5%-2.6%-0.5%
Q3 2018+8.1%+7.0%+1.6%
Q2 2018+3.8%+0.7%+1.6%
Q1 2018+2.9%-0.6%+5.2%
Q4 2017-0.2%+3.0%+11.1%
Q3 2017+1.3%-1.3%-2.0%
Q2 2017+5.2%+5.5%+10.3%
Q1 2017-0.3%-0.6%+10.7%
Q4 2016-0.9%+4.5%+5.2%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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