NYSE$VST

Vistra Corp · Q3 2025 earnings

Q3 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Vistra reported Q3 2025 operating revenues of $5.0B with net income attributable to common stock of $604M.

Third-quarter operating revenues were $4.97 billion versus $6.29 billion a year ago, reflecting lower power prices and portfolio mix. Net income attributable to Vistra common stock was $604 million; diluted EPS was about $1.75. Retail and generation margins and nuclear fleet performance remained central themes.

  • Q3 operating revenues $4.97B.
  • Net income to common $604M.
  • Power portfolio and retail margin dynamics drove YoY revenue decline.
  • Capital returns and balance-sheet flexibility discussed.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.97B

Previous: $6.29B-20.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.75

Previous: $5.25-66.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$1.58B

Previous: $1.44B+9.9%
Ongoing Operations Net Income

$652M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$1.92B

Previous: -$1.65B-16.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.26B

Previous: $240M-626.7%
Net Income

$652M

Previous: $1.89B-65.5%
Operating Income

$1.04B

Previous: $2.59B-59.9%
Gross Profit

$4.97B

Previous: $6.29B-20.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$602M

Previous: $905M-33.5%
Total Assets

$38B

Previous: $37.9B+0.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Vistra · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.97B

Q3 2025-20.9%vs Q3 2024
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vistra · $1.5B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Texas
    $950M+8.8%
  • East
    $315M+128.3%
  • Retail
    $173M+8750.0%
  • West
    $87M+93.3%
  • Asset Closure
    -$24M

Forward guidance

The release discusses Vistra's outlook for upcoming periods, including capital allocation, operating priorities, and market risks, without relying solely on numeric EPS bridges.

Tailwinds

  • Vistra cites operational execution and demand trends supporting the outlook.
  • Balance sheet and liquidity actions aim to fund growth and returns.

Headwinds

  • Macro, pricing, and input-cost volatility could pressure margins.
  • Segment mix and one-time items may affect quarter-to-quarter comparability.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2025

Historical avgQ3 2025

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

19 / 38 earnings

Positive

+14.0%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-23.5%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.2%-7.3%-6.0%
Q4 2025-0.9%-7.8%-11.3%
Q3 2025-2.6%-5.4%-11.7%
Q2 2025+2.4%+4.3%-6.4%
Q1 2025-3.7%+0.9%+19.9%
Q4 2024-12.3%-14.3%-19.7%
Q3 2024+12.5%+12.7%+26.9%
Q2 2024+6.3%+8.8%-0.3%
Q1 2024+14.0%+10.3%+4.1%
Q4 2023+7.0%+11.8%+36.6%
Q3 2023-1.9%-2.4%+5.2%
Q2 2023+6.5%+5.2%+18.2%
Q1 2023+7.9%+4.9%+6.2%
Q4 2022-3.2%+10.9%+9.1%
Q3 2022+2.6%+1.4%+3.3%
Q2 2022-3.5%-1.8%-2.6%
Q1 2022-5.0%-4.4%+1.7%
Q4 2021+5.3%+2.5%+4.9%
Q3 2021+2.8%+1.2%+7.8%
Q2 2021-1.9%-2.2%+1.1%
Q1 2021-3.7%-3.5%-7.2%
Q4 2020-23.5%-27.8%-25.9%
Q3 2020+0.5%+2.8%+4.1%
Q2 2020+0.4%+2.3%-2.8%
Q1 2020-3.9%-0.4%+6.9%
Q4 2019-2.2%+2.2%-20.4%
Q3 2019-5.9%-5.0%-10.7%
Q2 2019+0.8%+2.4%+15.8%
Q1 2019-3.4%-7.6%-13.5%
Q4 2018+1.5%-2.6%-0.5%
Q3 2018+8.1%+7.0%+1.6%
Q2 2018+3.8%+0.7%+1.6%
Q1 2018+2.9%-0.6%+5.2%
Q4 2017-0.2%+3.0%+11.1%
Q3 2017+1.3%-1.3%-2.0%
Q2 2017+5.2%+5.5%+10.3%
Q1 2017-0.3%-0.6%+10.7%
Q4 2016-0.9%+4.5%+5.2%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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