NYSE$VST

Vistra Corp · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Vistra reported mixed results in Q2 2021, with net income of $35 million and ongoing operations adjusted EBITDA of $825 million, which includes impacts from Winter Storm Uri; excluding these impacts, ongoing operations adjusted EBITDA was $909 million.

Vistra's Q2 2021 results showed a net income of $35 million. The Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA was $825 million, but excluding the impacts of Winter Storm Uri, it reached $909 million. The company reaffirmed its 2021 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth guidance.

  • Delivered second quarter 2021 Net Income of $35 million and Net Income from Ongoing Operations of $49 million.
  • Second quarter 2021 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA was $909 million, which excludes the impacts from Winter Storm Uri and was in-line with management expectations for the period, but including Uri impacts, it was $825 million.
  • Reaffirmed 2021 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA and Ongoing Operations Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth guidance ranges of $1,475 to $1,875 million and $200 to $600 million, respectively.
  • Implemented post-Uri activities including investing nearly $50 million in 2021 for enhanced weatherization of power generating units in the ERCOT market.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.57B

Previous: $2.51B+2.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.15

Previous: $0.36-58.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$825M

Previous: $916M-9.9%
Ongoing Operations Net Income

$49M

Previous: $178M-72.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$546M

Previous: -$588M+7.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$510M

Previous: -$422M-20.9%
Net Income

$36M

Previous: $166M-78.3%
Operating Income

$62M

Previous: $377M-83.6%
Gross Profit

$2.57B

Previous: $2.51B+2.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$444M

Previous: $382M+16.2%
Total Assets

$27B

Previous: $26.3B+2.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$9M

Previous: $16M-43.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Vistra · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.57B

Q2 2021+2.2%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 4 of 16 quarters(25%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vistra · $821M total across 5 segments · Q2 2021

  • Retail
    $510M+27.2%
  • East
    $160M-12.6%
  • Texas
    $144M-44.6%
  • West
    $21M-70.8%
  • Asset Closure
    -$14M-7.7%

Forward guidance

Vistra is reaffirming its 2021 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA and Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG guidance ranges of $1,475 to $1,875 million and $200 to $600 million, respectively.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

19 / 38 earnings

Positive

+14.0%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-23.5%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.2%-7.3%-6.0%
Q4 2025-0.9%-7.8%-11.3%
Q3 2025-2.6%-5.4%-11.7%
Q2 2025+2.4%+4.3%-6.4%
Q1 2025-3.7%+0.9%+19.9%
Q4 2024-12.3%-14.3%-19.7%
Q3 2024+12.5%+12.7%+26.9%
Q2 2024+6.3%+8.8%-0.3%
Q1 2024+14.0%+10.3%+4.1%
Q4 2023+7.0%+11.8%+36.6%
Q3 2023-1.9%-2.4%+5.2%
Q2 2023+6.5%+5.2%+18.2%
Q1 2023+7.9%+4.9%+6.2%
Q4 2022-3.2%+10.9%+9.1%
Q3 2022+2.6%+1.4%+3.3%
Q2 2022-3.5%-1.8%-2.6%
Q1 2022-5.0%-4.4%+1.7%
Q4 2021+5.3%+2.5%+4.9%
Q3 2021+2.8%+1.2%+7.8%
Q2 2021-1.9%-2.2%+1.1%
Q1 2021-3.7%-3.5%-7.2%
Q4 2020-23.5%-27.8%-25.9%
Q3 2020+0.5%+2.8%+4.1%
Q2 2020+0.4%+2.3%-2.8%
Q1 2020-3.9%-0.4%+6.9%
Q4 2019-2.2%+2.2%-20.4%
Q3 2019-5.9%-5.0%-10.7%
Q2 2019+0.8%+2.4%+15.8%
Q1 2019-3.4%-7.6%-13.5%
Q4 2018+1.5%-2.6%-0.5%
Q3 2018+8.1%+7.0%+1.6%
Q2 2018+3.8%+0.7%+1.6%
Q1 2018+2.9%-0.6%+5.2%
Q4 2017-0.2%+3.0%+11.1%
Q3 2017+1.3%-1.3%-2.0%
Q2 2017+5.2%+5.5%+10.3%
Q1 2017-0.3%-0.6%+10.7%
Q4 2016-0.9%+4.5%+5.2%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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