NYSE$VST
Vistra Corp · Q2 2023 earnings
Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Reported second quarter results, demonstrating strong performance and updated guidance.
Vistra reported a strong second quarter with a Net Income of $476 million and an Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $1,008 million. The company updated its guidance for 2023, narrowing the range and raising the lower end of its Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA and FCFbG guidance. Vistra is progressing towards the acquisition of Energy Harbor Corp and achieved commercial operation of the 350-megawatt Phase III expansion of the Moss Landing Energy Storage Facility.
- Net Income was $476 million, with an Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $1,008 million.
- 2023 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA guidance was narrowed and the lower end raised by $200 million.
- Progress towards closing the acquisition of Energy Harbor Corp in the fourth quarter of 2023 continued.
- The 350-megawatt Phase III expansion of the Moss Landing Energy Storage Facility achieved commercial operation.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Vistra · Revenue · Quarterly
$3.19B
Revenue by segment
Vistra · $1.04B total across 5 segments · Q2 2023
- Retail$498M+23.6%48.0%
- East$211M+28.7%20.3%
- Texas$207M+14.4%19.9%
- West$63M+57.5%6.1%
- Asset Closure$59M+345.8%5.7%
Forward guidance
Vistra narrowed its 2023 guidance ranges for Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA to $3,600 million - $4,000 million and Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG to $1,900 million - $2,350 million.
Tailwinds
- The midpoint of the narrowed 2023 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA guidance is now $3,800 million.
- The midpoint of the narrowed 2023 Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG guidance range is now $2,125 million.
- Approximately 86% of expected generation volumes are hedged for the three-year period 2023-2025.
- The balance of 2023 is hedged at approximately 98% and 2024 at approximately 95%.
- Vistra's hedging program and forward price curves provide increasing confidence in previously announced Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA midpoint opportunities for 2024 and 2025 of $3,700 million to $3,800 million.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023
+0.3%
Avg return
Earnings day
+0.3%
Avg return
5 days after
+2.0%
Avg return
30 days after
50%
19 / 38 earnings
Positive
+14.0%
Q1 2024
Best reaction
-23.5%
Q4 2020
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -2.2% | -7.3% | -6.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | -0.9% | -7.8% | -11.3% | |
| Q3 2025 | -2.6% | -5.4% | -11.7% | |
| Q2 2025 | +2.4% | +4.3% | -6.4% | |
| Q1 2025 | -3.7% | +0.9% | +19.9% | |
| Q4 2024 | -12.3% | -14.3% | -19.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | +12.5% | +12.7% | +26.9% | |
| Q2 2024 | +6.3% | +8.8% | -0.3% | |
| Q1 2024 | +14.0% | +10.3% | +4.1% | |
| Q4 2023 | +7.0% | +11.8% | +36.6% | |
| Q3 2023 | -1.9% | -2.4% | +5.2% | |
| Q2 2023 | +6.5% | +5.2% | +18.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | +7.9% | +4.9% | +6.2% | |
| Q4 2022 | -3.2% | +10.9% | +9.1% | |
| Q3 2022 | +2.6% | +1.4% | +3.3% | |
| Q2 2022 | -3.5% | -1.8% | -2.6% | |
| Q1 2022 | -5.0% | -4.4% | +1.7% | |
| Q4 2021 | +5.3% | +2.5% | +4.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | +2.8% | +1.2% | +7.8% | |
| Q2 2021 | -1.9% | -2.2% | +1.1% | |
| Q1 2021 | -3.7% | -3.5% | -7.2% | |
| Q4 2020 | -23.5% | -27.8% | -25.9% | |
| Q3 2020 | +0.5% | +2.8% | +4.1% | |
| Q2 2020 | +0.4% | +2.3% | -2.8% | |
| Q1 2020 | -3.9% | -0.4% | +6.9% | |
| Q4 2019 | -2.2% | +2.2% | -20.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | -5.9% | -5.0% | -10.7% | |
| Q2 2019 | +0.8% | +2.4% | +15.8% | |
| Q1 2019 | -3.4% | -7.6% | -13.5% | |
| Q4 2018 | +1.5% | -2.6% | -0.5% | |
| Q3 2018 | +8.1% | +7.0% | +1.6% | |
| Q2 2018 | +3.8% | +0.7% | +1.6% | |
| Q1 2018 | +2.9% | -0.6% | +5.2% | |
| Q4 2017 | -0.2% | +3.0% | +11.1% | |
| Q3 2017 | +1.3% | -1.3% | -2.0% | |
| Q2 2017 | +5.2% | +5.5% | +10.3% | |
| Q1 2017 | -0.3% | -0.6% | +10.7% | |
| Q4 2016 | -0.9% | +4.5% | +5.2% | |
| Q3 2016 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2016 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2016 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | — | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | — | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | — | — | — |
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