NYSE$HCC

Warrior Met Coal Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a decrease in net income but an increase in sales volumes and production.

Warrior Met Coal reported a net income of $85.4 million for Q3 2023, a decrease from $98.4 million in Q3 2022. However, sales volumes increased by 51% to 2.3 million short tons, and production increased by 21% to 2.0 million short tons. The company also reduced debt leverage by $146.1 million.

  • Sales volumes rose 51% to 2.3 million short tons due to strong demand and improved transportation.
  • Production increased 21% to 2.0 million short tons due to higher capacity levels at Mine No. 4 and Mine No. 7.
  • Average net selling price decreased 26% to $184.71 per short ton due to record high steelmaking coal market pricing last year.
  • Debt leverage was reduced by nearly 50%, or $146.1 million, through tender offers for senior secured notes.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$423M

Previous: $390M+8.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.85

Previous: $2.10-11.9%
Average net selling price

$184.71

Previous: $248.13-25.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$107M

Previous: -$41.3M-157.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$21.1M

Previous: $57.1M-137.0%
Net Income

$85.4M

Previous: $98.4M-13.2%
Operating Income

$108M

Previous: $124M-13.4%
Gross Profit

$163M

Previous: $187M-12.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$687M

Previous: $746M-7.9%
Total Assets

$2.22B

Previous: $1.94B+14.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.2M

Previous: $2.6M-15.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Warrior Met Coal · Revenue · Quarterly

$423M

Q3 2023+8.5%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company has updated its guidance for the full year 2023, with the only updates attributed to mine development costs and interest income, net.

Tailwinds

  • Coal sales between 7.1 and 7.7 million short tons.
  • Coal production between 6.8 and 7.4 million short tons.
  • Capital expenditures for existing mines between $95 and $105 million.
  • Selling, general and administrative expenses between $42 and $48 million.
  • Net interest income between $20 and $24 million.

Headwinds

  • One planned longwall move in Q4.
  • HCC index pricing.
  • Exclusion of other non-recurring costs.
  • Terms of any new labor contract.
  • Inflationary pressures.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

15 / 37 earnings

Positive

+23.8%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-21.7%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.0%-2.6%+5.1%
Q4 2025+0.2%+1.1%-1.1%
Q3 2025+23.8%+24.8%+23.5%
Q1 2025-5.0%-0.5%-5.0%
Q4 2024-8.4%-7.8%-9.0%
Q3 2024+1.4%+5.3%+12.9%
Q2 2024-10.2%-12.0%-11.3%
Q1 2024-4.2%-5.3%+0.1%
Q4 2023-1.3%-3.1%-9.7%
Q3 2023-0.1%+0.7%+19.8%
Q2 2023-14.7%-8.7%-8.0%
Q1 2023+6.5%+14.6%+4.5%
Q4 2022+1.6%+5.8%-15.8%
Q3 2022-1.5%-0.0%+1.6%
Q2 2022-11.4%-7.0%-0.8%
Q1 2022-9.3%-11.2%+2.4%
Q4 2021+0.3%+0.8%+22.2%
Q3 2021-3.5%-7.7%-10.1%
Q2 2021-1.9%-10.7%+27.0%
Q1 2021-5.1%-9.0%+11.5%
Q4 2020-21.7%-23.2%-32.5%
Q3 2020-2.6%+6.7%+25.1%
Q2 2020-5.9%-1.7%+6.7%
Q1 2020+7.6%+15.4%+20.8%
Q4 2019-14.2%-16.7%-42.7%
Q3 2019-15.2%-10.8%-10.7%
Q2 2019-13.6%-14.1%-16.4%
Q1 2019+6.2%-8.5%-16.7%
Q4 2018+2.6%+1.9%-1.7%
Q3 2018-3.5%-4.0%-13.7%
Q2 2018-3.5%-3.6%-7.0%
Q1 2018+12.3%+14.8%+22.4%
Q4 2016+10.7%+9.0%+4.7%
Q4 2017+10.7%+9.0%+4.7%
Q3 2017+4.2%+5.7%-8.4%
Q2 2017+6.5%+8.2%+20.2%
Q1 2017+4.2%+5.0%-7.0%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro