NYSE$HCC

Warrior Met Coal Inc · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Warrior Met Coal reported Q1 2025 revenue of $299.9M, a net loss of $8.2M, diluted EPS of $-0.16.

For Q1 2025, Warrior Met Coal reported Revenue was $299.9M, net loss was $8.2M, diluted EPS was $-0.16. Management discusses segment trends, liquidity, and outlook in the quarterly filing.

  • Revenue $299.9M for Q1 2025.
  • Net loss $8.2M.
  • Diluted EPS $-0.16.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$300M

Previous: $504M-40.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.16

Previous: $2.62-106.1%
Tons sold

2.2M

Previous: 2.1M+2.0%
Tons produced

2.3M

Previous: 2.1M+9.9%
Average net selling price

$135.79

Previous: $233.91-41.9%
Cash cost of sales (FOB) per ton

$112.35

Previous: $133.48-15.8%
Cash cost of sales (FOB)

$244M

Previous: $284M-14.1%
Cash margin per ton

$23.44

Previous: $100.43-76.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$39.5M

Previous: $200M-80.3%
Adjusted EBITDA margin

13.2%

Previous: 39.8%-66.8%
Adjusted EBITDA per short ton

$18.18

Previous: $94.03-80.7%
Gross selling price realization

83.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$79.3M

Previous: -$102M+22.0%
Net Income

-$8.17M

Previous: $137M-106.0%
Operating Income

-$17.4M

Previous: $149M-111.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Warrior Met Coal · Revenue · Quarterly

$300M

Q1 2025-40.4%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Materials outlook linked to commodity prices, volumes, and cost inflation.

Tailwinds

  • Pricing or volume recovery in core markets.
  • Cost and productivity initiatives.

Headwinds

  • Steel, TiO2, or met coal price volatility.
  • Customer destocking and FX headwinds.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

15 / 37 earnings

Positive

+23.8%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-21.7%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.0%-2.6%+5.1%
Q4 2025+0.2%+1.1%-1.1%
Q3 2025+23.8%+24.8%+23.5%
Q1 2025-5.0%-0.5%-5.0%
Q4 2024-8.4%-7.8%-9.0%
Q3 2024+1.4%+5.3%+12.9%
Q2 2024-10.2%-12.0%-11.3%
Q1 2024-4.2%-5.3%+0.1%
Q4 2023-1.3%-3.1%-9.7%
Q3 2023-0.1%+0.7%+19.8%
Q2 2023-14.7%-8.7%-8.0%
Q1 2023+6.5%+14.6%+4.5%
Q4 2022+1.6%+5.8%-15.8%
Q3 2022-1.5%-0.0%+1.6%
Q2 2022-11.4%-7.0%-0.8%
Q1 2022-9.3%-11.2%+2.4%
Q4 2021+0.3%+0.8%+22.2%
Q3 2021-3.5%-7.7%-10.1%
Q2 2021-1.9%-10.7%+27.0%
Q1 2021-5.1%-9.0%+11.5%
Q4 2020-21.7%-23.2%-32.5%
Q3 2020-2.6%+6.7%+25.1%
Q2 2020-5.9%-1.7%+6.7%
Q1 2020+7.6%+15.4%+20.8%
Q4 2019-14.2%-16.7%-42.7%
Q3 2019-15.2%-10.8%-10.7%
Q2 2019-13.6%-14.1%-16.4%
Q1 2019+6.2%-8.5%-16.7%
Q4 2018+2.6%+1.9%-1.7%
Q3 2018-3.5%-4.0%-13.7%
Q2 2018-3.5%-3.6%-7.0%
Q1 2018+12.3%+14.8%+22.4%
Q4 2016+10.7%+9.0%+4.7%
Q4 2017+10.7%+9.0%+4.7%
Q3 2017+4.2%+5.7%-8.4%
Q2 2017+6.5%+8.2%+20.2%
Q1 2017+4.2%+5.0%-7.0%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015

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