NYSE$HCC

Warrior Met Coal Inc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income of $70.7 million and EPS of $1.35 per diluted share, driven by an increase in sales and production volumes.

Warrior Met Coal reported a strong second quarter in 2024, with net income of $70.7 million and EPS of $1.35 per diluted share. The company saw an increase in sales and production volumes, achieving its largest quarterly production in over three years. The company reaffirmed its outlook for 2024 and is progressing with the Blue Creek growth project.

  • Net income for Q2 2024 was $70.7 million, or $1.35 per diluted share.
  • Sales volumes increased by 18% compared to Q2 2023.
  • Production volumes increased by 13%, marking the largest quarterly production in over three years.
  • The company invested $84.1 million in the Blue Creek growth project and completed key milestones.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$397M

Previous: $380M+4.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.35

Previous: $1.63-17.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$223M

Previous: -$136M-64.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$153M

Previous: -$54M-182.5%
Net Income

$70.7M

Previous: $82.1M-13.9%
Operating Income

$70.9M

Previous: $90.4M-21.6%
Gross Profit

$135M

Previous: $149M-9.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$709M

Previous: $827M-14.3%
Total Assets

$2.56B

Previous: $2.24B+14.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.04M

Previous: $4.57M+10.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Warrior Met Coal · Revenue · Quarterly

$397M

Q2 2024+4.4%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company re-affirmed its guidance for the full year 2024 with a non-material change to interest expense.

Tailwinds

  • Coal sales between 7.4 - 8.2 million short tons
  • Coal production between 7.4 - 8.0 million short tons
  • Capital expenditures for existing mines $100 - $110 million
  • Mine development costs $28 - $38 million
  • Interest income $20 - $25 million

Headwinds

  • Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) $125 - $135 per short ton
  • Blue Creek project and other discretionary capital expenditures $335 - $390 million
  • Selling, general and administrative expenses $55 - $65 million
  • Interest expense $4 - $6 million
  • Income tax expense 14% - 18%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

15 / 37 earnings

Positive

+23.8%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-21.7%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.0%-2.6%+5.1%
Q4 2025+0.2%+1.1%-1.1%
Q3 2025+23.8%+24.8%+23.5%
Q1 2025-5.0%-0.5%-5.0%
Q4 2024-8.4%-7.8%-9.0%
Q3 2024+1.4%+5.3%+12.9%
Q2 2024-10.2%-12.0%-11.3%
Q1 2024-4.2%-5.3%+0.1%
Q4 2023-1.3%-3.1%-9.7%
Q3 2023-0.1%+0.7%+19.8%
Q2 2023-14.7%-8.7%-8.0%
Q1 2023+6.5%+14.6%+4.5%
Q4 2022+1.6%+5.8%-15.8%
Q3 2022-1.5%-0.0%+1.6%
Q2 2022-11.4%-7.0%-0.8%
Q1 2022-9.3%-11.2%+2.4%
Q4 2021+0.3%+0.8%+22.2%
Q3 2021-3.5%-7.7%-10.1%
Q2 2021-1.9%-10.7%+27.0%
Q1 2021-5.1%-9.0%+11.5%
Q4 2020-21.7%-23.2%-32.5%
Q3 2020-2.6%+6.7%+25.1%
Q2 2020-5.9%-1.7%+6.7%
Q1 2020+7.6%+15.4%+20.8%
Q4 2019-14.2%-16.7%-42.7%
Q3 2019-15.2%-10.8%-10.7%
Q2 2019-13.6%-14.1%-16.4%
Q1 2019+6.2%-8.5%-16.7%
Q4 2018+2.6%+1.9%-1.7%
Q3 2018-3.5%-4.0%-13.7%
Q2 2018-3.5%-3.6%-7.0%
Q1 2018+12.3%+14.8%+22.4%
Q4 2016+10.7%+9.0%+4.7%
Q4 2017+10.7%+9.0%+4.7%
Q3 2017+4.2%+5.7%-8.4%
Q2 2017+6.5%+8.2%+20.2%
Q1 2017+4.2%+5.0%-7.0%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015

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