NYSE$HCC

Warrior Met Coal Inc · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

HCC reported Q4 2025, revenue of $384M, net income of $23M.

For Q4 2025, HCC reported revenue of $384M, net income of $23M. Management discusses segment performance, capital allocation, and outlook in the earnings release.

  • Revenue $384M.
  • Net income $23M.
  • HCC highlights liquidity, operations, and forward priorities.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$384M

Previous: $297M+29.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.44

Previous: $0.15+193.3%
Tons sold

2.9M

Previous: 1.9M+52.8%
Tons produced

3.4M

Previous: 2.1M+60.9%
Average net selling price

$129.60

Previous: $154.54-16.1%
Cash cost of sales (FOB) per ton

$93.53

Previous: $119.55-21.8%
Cash cost of sales (FOB)

$270M

Previous: $226M+19.5%
Cash margin per ton

$36.07

Previous: $34.99+3.1%
Adjusted EBITDA

$92.9M

Previous: $53.2M+74.5%
Adjusted EBITDA margin

24.2%

Previous: 17.9%+35.2%
Adjusted EBITDA per short ton

$32.21

Previous: $28.20+14.2%
Gross selling price realization

75.0%

Previous: 86.0%-12.8%
Net Income

$23M

Previous: $1.14M+1924.6%
Operating Income

$34.6M

Previous: -$4.21M+923.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Warrior Met Coal · Revenue · Quarterly

$384M

Q4 2025+29.1%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The release discusses HCC's outlook for upcoming periods, including capital allocation, operating priorities, and market risks.

Tailwinds

  • HCC cites operational execution and demand trends supporting the outlook.
  • Balance sheet and capital actions aim to fund growth and shareholder returns.

Headwinds

  • Macro, pricing, and input-cost volatility could pressure margins.
  • Segment mix and one-time items may affect quarter-to-quarter comparability.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

15 / 37 earnings

Positive

+23.8%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-21.7%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.0%-2.6%+5.1%
Q4 2025+0.2%+1.1%-1.1%
Q3 2025+23.8%+24.8%+23.5%
Q1 2025-5.0%-0.5%-5.0%
Q4 2024-8.4%-7.8%-9.0%
Q3 2024+1.4%+5.3%+12.9%
Q2 2024-10.2%-12.0%-11.3%
Q1 2024-4.2%-5.3%+0.1%
Q4 2023-1.3%-3.1%-9.7%
Q3 2023-0.1%+0.7%+19.8%
Q2 2023-14.7%-8.7%-8.0%
Q1 2023+6.5%+14.6%+4.5%
Q4 2022+1.6%+5.8%-15.8%
Q3 2022-1.5%-0.0%+1.6%
Q2 2022-11.4%-7.0%-0.8%
Q1 2022-9.3%-11.2%+2.4%
Q4 2021+0.3%+0.8%+22.2%
Q3 2021-3.5%-7.7%-10.1%
Q2 2021-1.9%-10.7%+27.0%
Q1 2021-5.1%-9.0%+11.5%
Q4 2020-21.7%-23.2%-32.5%
Q3 2020-2.6%+6.7%+25.1%
Q2 2020-5.9%-1.7%+6.7%
Q1 2020+7.6%+15.4%+20.8%
Q4 2019-14.2%-16.7%-42.7%
Q3 2019-15.2%-10.8%-10.7%
Q2 2019-13.6%-14.1%-16.4%
Q1 2019+6.2%-8.5%-16.7%
Q4 2018+2.6%+1.9%-1.7%
Q3 2018-3.5%-4.0%-13.7%
Q2 2018-3.5%-3.6%-7.0%
Q1 2018+12.3%+14.8%+22.4%
Q4 2016+10.7%+9.0%+4.7%
Q4 2017+10.7%+9.0%+4.7%
Q3 2017+4.2%+5.7%-8.4%
Q2 2017+6.5%+8.2%+20.2%
Q1 2017+4.2%+5.0%-7.0%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015

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