NYSE$CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc · Q2 2024 earnings
Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
CF Industries reported net earnings of $420 million for the second quarter of 2024.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. reported second quarter 2024 net earnings of $420 million, or $2.30 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA was $752 million. The company continues to operate safely and expects gross ammonia production for the full year 2024 to be approximately 9.8 million tons.
- Second quarter 2024 net earnings of $420 million, or $2.30 per diluted share, EBITDA of $752 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $752 million.
- Trailing twelve months net cash from operating activities of $2.02 billion and free cash flow of $1.15 billion.
- Entered agreement with ExxonMobil for the transport and sequestration of up to 500,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide from Company’s Yazoo City, Mississippi, facility; start-up expected in 2028.
- Repurchased 4.0 million shares for $305 million during the second quarter of 2024.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
CF Industries · Revenue · Quarterly
$1.57B
Revenue by segment
CF Industries · $3.39B total across 5 segments · Q2 2022
- Ammonia Segment$1.12B+67.7%32.9%
- UAN Segment$976M+46.5%28.8%
- Granular Urea Segment$833M+0.1%24.6%
- AN Segment$253M+5.0%7.5%
- Other Segment$212M-8.6%6.3%
Forward guidance
Management expects the global supply-demand balance to remain constructive, led by nitrogen import requirements through year-end for Brazil and India and continued wide energy spreads between North America and high-cost production in Europe.
Tailwinds
- Nitrogen channel inventories in North America are below average based on strong demand for urea and UAN during the spring application season and higher-than-expected planted corn acres.
- Urea consumption in Brazil in 2024 is forecast to increase 3% year-over-year to more than 8.0 million metric tons.
- India is expected to be active importing urea through the second half of the year.
- Approximately 25% of ammonia and 30% of urea capacity were reported in shutdown/curtailment in Europe in early July 2024.
- Ongoing urea export controls by the Chinese government continues to limit urea export availability from the country.
Headwinds
- Softening farm economics in North America as corn and soybean prices have fallen due to higher forecasted production in 2024 in the United States and Brazil.
- Urea imports to Brazil in 2024 are expected to be in the range of 7.0-8.0 million metric tons as domestic production remains limited.
- Urea imports to India in 2024, including volumes supplied on a contractual basis, to be in a range of 5.0-6.0 million metric tons as recently revitalized plants and new facilities in the country operate at higher rates.
- Ammonia operating rates and overall domestic nitrogen product output in Europe will remain below historical averages over the long-term.
- Annual ammonia export volumes from Russia are projected to remain below pre-war levels.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024
+0.7%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.5%
Avg return
5 days after
+2.4%
Avg return
30 days after
57%
41 / 72 earnings
Positive
+11.4%
Q2 2018
Best reaction
-12.5%
Q2 2016
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -0.0% | +8.6% | -5.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | +4.8% | +0.3% | +30.3% | |
| Q3 2025 | -4.3% | -1.6% | -8.4% | |
| Q1 2025 | +0.8% | +8.7% | +14.2% | |
| Q4 2024 | -4.2% | -6.4% | -8.4% | |
| Q3 2024 | +1.1% | +6.2% | +10.2% | |
| Q2 2024 | +8.4% | +10.1% | +7.0% | |
| Q1 2024 | -6.5% | -5.6% | +1.0% | |
| Q4 2023 | -0.3% | +0.9% | +8.3% | |
| Q3 2023 | +0.7% | -0.7% | -4.3% | |
| Q2 2023 | -0.1% | -1.0% | -2.5% | |
| Q1 2023 | +3.5% | -2.7% | -14.1% | |
| Q4 2022 | -0.3% | -3.7% | -17.1% | |
| Q3 2022 | -2.4% | -3.2% | -3.2% | |
| Q2 2022 | +2.8% | +4.8% | +8.3% | |
| Q1 2022 | -0.4% | -9.7% | -4.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | +4.1% | +2.5% | +29.0% | |
| Q3 2021 | +3.7% | +10.9% | +5.0% | |
| Q2 2021 | +3.5% | +4.7% | -3.5% | |
| Q1 2021 | +5.1% | +10.1% | +11.6% | |
| Q4 2020 | -3.0% | +3.6% | +6.5% | |
| Q3 2020 | +1.2% | +7.2% | +46.4% | |
| Q2 2020 | +3.1% | +7.7% | +2.5% | |
| Q1 2020 | +0.8% | +0.5% | +19.8% | |
| Q4 2019 | -6.7% | -9.2% | -34.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | -3.2% | +1.6% | -1.4% | |
| Q2 2019 | +5.2% | +2.0% | -3.1% | |
| Q1 2019 | -2.9% | -2.2% | -10.1% | |
| Q4 2018 | -0.9% | -2.7% | +0.3% | |
| Q3 2018 | +10.4% | +7.0% | -8.8% | |
| Q2 2018 | +11.4% | +10.5% | +17.0% | |
| Q1 2018 | -1.0% | -2.4% | +4.7% | |
| Q4 2017 | +4.8% | +3.5% | -1.7% | |
| Q3 2017 | +1.5% | +3.2% | -1.0% | |
| Q2 2017 | +5.1% | +9.3% | +2.6% | |
| Q1 2017 | +2.7% | +5.3% | +0.1% | |
| Q4 2016 | -7.7% | -6.1% | -19.4% | |
| Q3 2016 | -9.2% | -6.4% | +14.0% | |
| Q2 2016 | -12.5% | -5.3% | +5.9% | |
| Q1 2016 | -2.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +10.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -9.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +4.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -1.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -2.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +4.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -4.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +3.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -8.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +4.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +2.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +5.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +5.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +2.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +0.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2007 | +5.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +5.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2008 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2008 | +1.3% | — | — |
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