NASDAQ$SMPL

The Simply Good Foods Company · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported fiscal fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2023 financial results and provided full fiscal year 2024 outlook.

Simply Good Foods reported a strong fourth quarter with net sales increasing by 16.9% to $320.4 million, net income increasing to $36.6 million, and adjusted diluted EPS increasing to $0.45. The company's performance was driven by volume and pricing improvements, as well as gross margin expansion due to lower ingredient and packaging costs.

  • Net sales increased by 16.9% to $320.4 million.
  • Net income increased to $36.6 million, compared to $30.1 million for the comparable period of fiscal 2022.
  • Earnings per diluted share increased to $0.36, compared to $0.30 in the year ago period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $67.3 million, versus $51.0 million in the year ago period.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$320M

Previous: $274M+16.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.45

Previous: $0.36+25.0%
Capital Expenditures

$1.48M

Previous: $536K+175.6%
Free Cash Flow

$59.2M

Previous: $42.7M+38.6%
Net Income

$36.6M

Previous: $30.1M+21.5%
Operating Income

$55.7M

Previous: $43.5M+28.1%
Gross Profit

$121M

Previous: $102M+18.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$87.7M

Previous: $67.5M+30.0%
Total Assets

$2.1B

Previous: $2.09B+0.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.02M

Previous: $3.01M+33.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Simply Good Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$320M

Q4 2023+16.9%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Simply Good Foods · $231M total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • Atkins
    $135M
  • Quest
    $95.8M

Forward guidance

Simply Good Foods expects net sales to increase at the high end of its long-term algorithm of 4-6%, including the benefit of a fifty-third week. Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to increase slightly greater than the net sales growth rate.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales expected to increase at the high end of the Company's long-term algorithm of 4-6%, including the benefit of a fifty-third week.
  • Adjusted EBITDA anticipated to increase slightly greater than the net sales growth rate.
  • Sales growth to be driven by volume.
  • Strong advertising and marketing plans in place.
  • Innovation, merchandising and promotions that should drive solid, overall, financial and marketplace results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

18 / 35 earnings

Positive

+16.8%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-17.5%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026
Q2 2026-0.3%-21.0%-14.9%
Q1 2026+6.7%+9.8%-10.5%
Q4 2025-17.5%-20.8%-19.2%
Q3 2025-2.9%-3.9%-14.7%
Q2 2025+9.2%+13.2%+7.9%
Q1 2025-6.5%-6.2%+0.3%
Q4 2024+3.8%+4.7%+21.0%
Q3 2024-0.1%-1.0%-6.6%
Q2 2024-1.2%+0.6%+14.6%
Q1 2024+3.8%+4.4%-4.3%
Q4 2023+11.3%+11.6%+21.7%
Q3 2023+5.8%+6.0%+10.1%
Q2 2023-5.9%-4.5%-2.2%
Q1 2023-7.2%-5.4%-5.6%
Q4 2022+16.8%+15.8%+17.8%
Q3 2022-5.8%-8.9%-20.8%
Q2 2022+10.1%+6.3%-0.2%
Q1 2022-8.0%-11.1%-16.1%
Q4 2021+13.1%+13.3%+13.7%
Q3 2021+2.7%+1.5%+2.7%
Q2 2021+1.9%+4.6%+12.0%
Q1 2021-1.2%-3.3%-6.0%
Q4 2020-4.3%-11.1%+6.2%
Q3 2020+0.6%+2.0%+15.1%
Q2 2020-9.3%-15.9%-3.1%
Q1 2020-13.7%-12.4%-16.9%
Q4 2019+1.7%+1.5%+17.0%
Q3 2019+7.2%+11.5%+7.3%
Q2 2019+3.8%+1.5%+2.1%
Q1 2019+1.0%+0.1%+2.5%
Q4 2018-8.7%-11.0%+1.2%
Q3 2018+12.5%+13.7%+14.5%
Q2 2018-0.2%+1.2%+6.5%
Q1 2018+0.2%+4.5%+7.4%
Q4 2017-0.3%-0.3%-6.0%
Q3 2017
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2016
Q3 2016

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