NASDAQ$SMPL

The Simply Good Foods Company · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2021 and provided full fiscal year 2021 outlook.

Simply Good Foods reported a 1.5% increase in net sales, driven by strong e-commerce and Quest performance. Net income increased to $19.1 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased 2.2% to $42.6 million. The company provided a full fiscal year 2021 outlook with net sales expected to be in the $930-940 million range and Adjusted EBITDA expected to be in the $180-185 million range.

  • Net sales increased 1.5% driven by strong e-commerce and Quest performance.
  • Net income was $19.1 million versus $10.7 million.
  • Earnings per diluted share (“EPS”) was $0.19 versus $0.11.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 2.2% to $42.6 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$231M

Previous: $227M+1.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.25

Previous: $0.23+8.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$42.6M

Previous: $41.7M+2.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$449K

Previous: -$481K+6.7%
Free Cash Flow

$18.7M

Previous: $10.2M+83.5%
Net Income

$19.1M

Previous: $10.7M+79.4%
Operating Income

$33.3M

Previous: $25.3M+31.9%
Gross Profit

$90.3M

Previous: $85.4M+5.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$91.3M

Previous: $46.1M+98.0%
Total Assets

$2.02B

Previous: $2B+1.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.48M

Previous: $2.12M+17.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Simply Good Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$231M

Q2 2021+1.5%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Simply Good Foods · $231M total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • Atkins
    $135M
  • Quest
    $95.8M

Forward guidance

Assuming consumer mobility in the United States remains at current levels and broad lockdowns are not reimposed, the Company anticipates full year fiscal 2021 net sales of $930-940 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $180-185 million. The Company anticipates 2021 Adjusted Diluted EPS to be in the range of $1.07 to $1.11 versus $0.91 in 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Overall marketplace trends will improve due to easier year ago comparisons.
  • Improving shopping trips in measured channels.
  • Increase in consumer mobility.
  • Portfolio of brands aligned with consumer mega-trends of both health and wellness, convenience and on-the-go nutrition.
  • Solid plans in place for both the Atkins and Quest brands, including, innovation, advertising and in-store merchandising and display that we anticipate will drive solid sales and earnings growth.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

18 / 35 earnings

Positive

+16.8%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-17.5%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026
Q2 2026-0.3%-21.0%-14.9%
Q1 2026+6.7%+9.8%-10.5%
Q4 2025-17.5%-20.8%-19.2%
Q3 2025-2.9%-3.9%-14.7%
Q2 2025+9.2%+13.2%+7.9%
Q1 2025-6.5%-6.2%+0.3%
Q4 2024+3.8%+4.7%+21.0%
Q3 2024-0.1%-1.0%-6.6%
Q2 2024-1.2%+0.6%+14.6%
Q1 2024+3.8%+4.4%-4.3%
Q4 2023+11.3%+11.6%+21.7%
Q3 2023+5.8%+6.0%+10.1%
Q2 2023-5.9%-4.5%-2.2%
Q1 2023-7.2%-5.4%-5.6%
Q4 2022+16.8%+15.8%+17.8%
Q3 2022-5.8%-8.9%-20.8%
Q2 2022+10.1%+6.3%-0.2%
Q1 2022-8.0%-11.1%-16.1%
Q4 2021+13.1%+13.3%+13.7%
Q3 2021+2.7%+1.5%+2.7%
Q2 2021+1.9%+4.6%+12.0%
Q1 2021-1.2%-3.3%-6.0%
Q4 2020-4.3%-11.1%+6.2%
Q3 2020+0.6%+2.0%+15.1%
Q2 2020-9.3%-15.9%-3.1%
Q1 2020-13.7%-12.4%-16.9%
Q4 2019+1.7%+1.5%+17.0%
Q3 2019+7.2%+11.5%+7.3%
Q2 2019+3.8%+1.5%+2.1%
Q1 2019+1.0%+0.1%+2.5%
Q4 2018-8.7%-11.0%+1.2%
Q3 2018+12.5%+13.7%+14.5%
Q2 2018-0.2%+1.2%+6.5%
Q1 2018+0.2%+4.5%+7.4%
Q4 2017-0.3%-0.3%-6.0%
Q3 2017
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2016
Q3 2016

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