NASDAQ$PTON

Peloton Interactive · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peloton's Q4 2021 results reflected growth in connected fitness subscriptions and digital subscriptions, with total revenue increasing. However, the company faced a net loss due to recall-related costs and increased operating expenses.

Peloton's Q4 2021 saw a 54% increase in total revenue, reaching $937 million, driven by strong growth in Connected Fitness and digital subscriptions. Despite this growth, the company reported a net loss of $313.2 million, or $1.05 per diluted share, and an Adjusted EBITDA loss of $45.1 million. The results were impacted by recall-related costs and increased operating expenses.

  • Connected Fitness subscriptions increased by 114% to 2.33 million, while paid Digital Subscriptions grew by 176% to 874,000.
  • Total revenue increased by 54% to $937 million.
  • Average Net Monthly Connected Fitness Churn was 0.73%, with a 12-month retention rate of 92%.
  • Net loss was $(313.2) million, or $(1.05) per diluted share, and Adjusted EBITDA was $(45.1) million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$937M

Previous: $607M+54.3%
EPS (adj)

-$1.05

Previous: $0.27-488.9%
Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions

2.3M

Previous: 1.1M+113.6%
Average Net Monthly Paid Connected Fitness Subscription Churn

0.7%

Previous: 0.5%+40.4%
Capital Expenditures

$73.1M

Previous: $46.3M+57.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$672M

Previous: $281M-339.2%
Net Income

-$313M

Previous: $89.1M-451.5%
Operating Income

-$302M

Previous: $90M-435.2%
Gross Profit

$254M

Previous: $289M-12.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.13B

Previous: $1.04B+9.6%
Total Assets

$4.49B

Previous: $2.98B+50.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$85.2M

Previous: $32.5M+162.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Peloton · Revenue · Quarterly

$937M

Q4 2021+54.3%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 7 of 11 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peloton · $937M total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • Connected Fitness Products
    $655M+34.9%
  • Subscription
    $282M+132.3%

Forward guidance

Peloton provided guidance for Q1 and full fiscal year 2022, focusing on subscription growth over near-term profitability. They anticipate revenue of $800 million for Q1 and $5.4 billion for the full year, with investments in scaling operations and new products impacting profitability in the near term but expecting a return to Adjusted EBITDA profitability for FY 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Maximize growth in Connected Fitness Subscriptions
  • Democratize access to Connected Fitness
  • Expand our content offering across both cardio and strength pillars
  • Successfully launch Tread in Q1 and position ourselves for additional product launches
  • Continue to build a world class team and infrastructure to support our global growth

Headwinds

  • Price decrease in our original Bike
  • Significant increases in commodity costs and freight rate increases
  • A sales mix shift to Tread
  • Investments in marketing to broaden our appeal
  • Accelerated investments in new products and features

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

14 / 27 earnings

Positive

+44.0%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-38.1%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+8.5%+3.5%+10.8%
Q2 2026-25.7%-26.4%-35.2%
Q1 2026+13.8%+11.2%-4.3%
Q3 2025-6.9%-2.4%+4.6%
Q2 2025+12.0%+15.3%-18.1%
Q1 2025+9.0%+15.2%+55.5%
Q4 2024+44.0%+43.5%+45.8%
Q3 2024+6.5%+27.0%+13.0%
Q2 2024-23.7%-21.2%-17.3%
Q1 2024+8.3%+1.2%+29.3%
Q4 2023-21.1%-16.2%-36.2%
Q3 2023-11.6%-11.3%-5.2%
Q2 2023+31.3%+22.1%+7.2%
Q1 2023+8.8%+11.0%+54.1%
Q4 2022-21.3%-28.9%-36.9%
Q3 2022-12.7%+12.3%-21.3%
Q2 2022+30.3%+16.6%-24.0%
Q1 2022-38.1%-44.2%-51.6%
Q4 2021-10.2%-13.8%-20.3%
Q3 2021+1.4%+10.2%+24.7%
Q2 2021+0.8%+0.4%-28.6%
Q1 2021+5.8%-11.3%-3.5%
Q4 2020-7.8%-6.3%+34.9%
Q3 2020+21.8%+18.2%+26.7%
Q2 2020-13.4%-14.6%-25.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%+5.7%+43.5%
Q1 2020-6.5%-4.4%+27.2%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018

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