NASDAQ$PTON

Peloton Interactive · Q2 2025 earnings

Q2 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Peloton's Q2 2025 performance exceeded guidance on key metrics, with improved member happiness and significant deleveraging.

Peloton's Q2 FY2025 results exceeded expectations, with paid connected fitness subscriptions, total revenue, gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA surpassing guidance. Member happiness improved, operating expenses decreased, and the company generated substantial cash flow. The balance sheet deleveraged, and full-year guidance was raised.

  • Exceeded guidance on key metrics, including Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions, Total Revenue, Total Gross Margin and Adjusted EBITDA.
  • Operating expenses were down 25% Y/Y, and generated over $100 million of both GAAP Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities and non-GAAP Free Cash Flow.
  • Achieved meaningful improvements in Member happiness, with improved Net Promoter Scores (NPS) and Member support satisfaction (MSAT).
  • Balance sheet is deleveraging substantially, with Total Debt decreasing $190.1 million Y/Y and Net Debt decreasing $281.4 million or 30% Y/Y.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$674M

Previous: $744M-9.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.24

Previous: -$0.54+55.6%
Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions

2.9M

Previous: 3.0M-4.3%
Average Net Monthly Paid Connected Fitness Subscription Churn

1.4%

Previous: 1.2%+16.7%
Ending Paid App Subscriptions

585.0K

Previous: 718.0K-18.5%
Members

6.2M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$700K

Previous: -$5.9M+88.1%
Net Income

-$92M

Previous: -$195M+52.8%
Operating Income

-$45.9M

Previous: -$187M+75.5%
Gross Profit

$318M

Previous: $299M+6.3%
R&D Expense

$60.3M

Previous: $79.9M-24.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Peloton · Revenue · Quarterly

$674M

Q2 2025-9.4%vs Q2 2024
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peloton · $596M total across 2 segments · Q1 2024

  • Subscription
    $415M+0.7%
  • Connected Fitness Products
    $181M-11.6%

Forward guidance

Peloton is raising its full year FY25 guidance range for Adjusted EBITDA by $60 million to $300 - $350 million from $240 - $290 million and its Free Cash Flow target to at least $200 million from $125 million.

Tailwinds

  • Raising full year FY25 guidance range for Adjusted EBITDA by $60 million to $300 - $350 million.
  • Raising FY25 Free Cash Flow target to at least $200 million.
  • Expectations for lower net churn due to continued favorability across subscription cancellations, pauses and reactivations.
  • Expectations for favorable Subscription Revenue from higher Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions.
  • Expectations for favorable Connected Fitness Products Revenue from higher Tread portfolio sales.

Headwinds

  • Expectations for lower gross additions, due to softer hardware sales.
  • Expectations for mix shift into Tread products, which have lower new subscription attachment rates than Bike products.
  • Q3 Revenue guidance of $605 million to $625 million reflects expectations for seasonally lower hardware sales compared to Q2.
  • Guidance for Q3 FY25 Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions of 2.85 to 2.87 million reflects expectations for seasonally lower hardware sales trends following the holiday season.
  • Average Net Monthly Paid Connected Fitness Subscription Churn Rate to remain relatively in-line with Q2.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2025

Historical avgQ2 2025

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

14 / 27 earnings

Positive

+44.0%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-38.1%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+8.5%+3.5%+10.8%
Q2 2026-25.7%-26.4%-35.2%
Q1 2026+13.8%+11.2%-4.3%
Q3 2025-6.9%-2.4%+4.6%
Q2 2025+12.0%+15.3%-18.1%
Q1 2025+9.0%+15.2%+55.5%
Q4 2024+44.0%+43.5%+45.8%
Q3 2024+6.5%+27.0%+13.0%
Q2 2024-23.7%-21.2%-17.3%
Q1 2024+8.3%+1.2%+29.3%
Q4 2023-21.1%-16.2%-36.2%
Q3 2023-11.6%-11.3%-5.2%
Q2 2023+31.3%+22.1%+7.2%
Q1 2023+8.8%+11.0%+54.1%
Q4 2022-21.3%-28.9%-36.9%
Q3 2022-12.7%+12.3%-21.3%
Q2 2022+30.3%+16.6%-24.0%
Q1 2022-38.1%-44.2%-51.6%
Q4 2021-10.2%-13.8%-20.3%
Q3 2021+1.4%+10.2%+24.7%
Q2 2021+0.8%+0.4%-28.6%
Q1 2021+5.8%-11.3%-3.5%
Q4 2020-7.8%-6.3%+34.9%
Q3 2020+21.8%+18.2%+26.7%
Q2 2020-13.4%-14.6%-25.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%+5.7%+43.5%
Q1 2020-6.5%-4.4%+27.2%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018

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