NASDAQ$PTON

Peloton Interactive · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong Q2 results, outperforming on paid subscribers to Connected Fitness and App, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Peloton reported Q2 2024 results, outperforming expectations for paid subscribers, gross margin, and free cash flow. While revenue growth remains a challenge, the company is focused on restoring positive free cash flow and revenue growth in the coming quarters.

  • Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions increased to 3.004 million.
  • Average Net Monthly Paid Connected Fitness Subscription Churn was 1.2%.
  • Ended the quarter with 718 thousand Peloton App subscribers.
  • Total revenue was $743.6 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$744M

Previous: $793M-6.2%
EPS

-$0.54

Previous: -$0.98+44.9%
Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions

3.0M

Previous: 3.0M-1.0%
Average Net Monthly Paid Connected Fitness Subscription Churn

1.2%

Previous: 1.1%+9.1%
Ending Paid App Subscriptions

718.0K

Previous: 852.0K-15.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$5.9M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$195M

Previous: -$335M+41.9%
Net Income

-$195M

Previous: -$335M+41.9%
Operating Income

-$187M

Previous: -$331M+43.5%
Gross Profit

$299M

Previous: $235M+27.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$738M

Previous: $871M-15.3%
Total Assets

$2.57B

Previous: $3.3B-22.2%
R&D Expense

$79.9M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$66.6M

Previous: $81.6M-18.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Peloton · Revenue · Quarterly

$744M

Q2 2024-6.2%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peloton · $596M total across 2 segments · Q1 2024

  • Subscription
    $415M+0.7%
  • Connected Fitness Products
    $181M-11.6%

Forward guidance

The company's Q3 outlook includes expectations for Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions, Paid App Subscriptions, Total Gross Margin, and Adjusted EBITDA. The full year guidance reflects hardware sales trends, Bike rental program growth, and Tread+ revenue, tempered by uncertainties in subscriber growth and the macroeconomic outlook.

Tailwinds

  • Expects a similar Paid Connected Fitness Churn rate similar to Q2.
  • Expects a sequential improvement in gross additions due to seasonality coupled with continued improvements to our conversion funnel.
  • Expects a sequential increase in Q3 total gross margin as a result of an improvement in Connected Fitness gross margin due to the introduction of Tread+ deliveries along with a smaller impact from seasonal mix-shift toward our Subscription segment.
  • Expects a sequential improvement in Q3 Adjusted EBITDA mainly due to lower sales and marketing expense.
  • Faster growth for our Bike rental program and revenue from deliveries of Tread+.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty surrounding our ability to efficiently grow Paid App subscribers
  • Performance of other new initiatives
  • An uncertain macroeconomic outlook.
  • Expectation that churn will follow our historical seasonal pattern, which includes a seasonal increase in paused subscriptions in Q4.
  • Current trends for hardware sales will persist through the remainder of fiscal year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

14 / 27 earnings

Positive

+44.0%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-38.1%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+8.5%+3.5%+10.8%
Q2 2026-25.7%-26.4%-35.2%
Q1 2026+13.8%+11.2%-4.3%
Q3 2025-6.9%-2.4%+4.6%
Q2 2025+12.0%+15.3%-18.1%
Q1 2025+9.0%+15.2%+55.5%
Q4 2024+44.0%+43.5%+45.8%
Q3 2024+6.5%+27.0%+13.0%
Q2 2024-23.7%-21.2%-17.3%
Q1 2024+8.3%+1.2%+29.3%
Q4 2023-21.1%-16.2%-36.2%
Q3 2023-11.6%-11.3%-5.2%
Q2 2023+31.3%+22.1%+7.2%
Q1 2023+8.8%+11.0%+54.1%
Q4 2022-21.3%-28.9%-36.9%
Q3 2022-12.7%+12.3%-21.3%
Q2 2022+30.3%+16.6%-24.0%
Q1 2022-38.1%-44.2%-51.6%
Q4 2021-10.2%-13.8%-20.3%
Q3 2021+1.4%+10.2%+24.7%
Q2 2021+0.8%+0.4%-28.6%
Q1 2021+5.8%-11.3%-3.5%
Q4 2020-7.8%-6.3%+34.9%
Q3 2020+21.8%+18.2%+26.7%
Q2 2020-13.4%-14.6%-25.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%+5.7%+43.5%
Q1 2020-6.5%-4.4%+27.2%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018

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