NASDAQ$PTON

Peloton Interactive · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peloton's Q1 2021 was marked by substantial growth in revenue and subscriptions, driven by strong demand and successful product launches.

Peloton Interactive, Inc. reported a significant increase in revenue and subscriptions for Q1 2021. Total revenue grew by 232% to $757.9 million, and ending Connected Fitness Subscriptions increased by 137% to over 1.33 million. The company launched Bike+ and announced the new Peloton Tread, contributing to its growth and profitability, with a net income of $69.3 million and an Adjusted EBITDA of $118.9 million.

  • Total revenue grew 232% year-over-year to $757.9 million, driven by strong demand for Bike and Bike+.
  • Ending Connected Fitness Subscriptions increased 137% year-over-year to over 1.33 million.
  • Net income was $69.3 million, with Adjusted EBITDA at $118.9 million, representing a 15.7% Adjusted EBITDA margin.
  • The company launched Bike+ and announced the new Peloton Tread, expanding its product offerings.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$758M

Previous: $228M+232.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.20

Previous: -$1.19+116.8%
Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions

1.3M

Previous: 562.8K+137.1%
Average Net Monthly Paid Connected Fitness Subscription Churn

0.7%

Previous: 0.9%-27.8%
Capital Expenditures

$49.2M

Previous: -$22.5M+318.7%
Free Cash Flow

$69.3M

Previous: -$72.3M+195.9%
Net Income

$69.3M

Previous: -$49.8M+239.2%
Operating Income

$68.9M

Previous: -$50.9M+235.4%
Gross Profit

$329M

Previous: $105M+212.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.43B

Previous: $1.38B+4.0%
Total Assets

$3.48B

Previous: $2.39B+45.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$29.6M

Previous: $18.7M+58.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Peloton · Revenue · Quarterly

$758M

Q1 2021+232.4%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 7 of 10 quarters(70%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peloton · $758M total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • Connected Fitness Products
    $601M+274.0%
  • Subscription
    $157M+132.9%

Forward guidance

Peloton anticipates continued growth and high demand, but expects to operate under supply constraints for the foreseeable future. They are also incurring additional shipping-related expenses in Q2 to alleviate delivery delays. For Q2, they expect revenue of $1.0 billion and an Adjusted EBITDA of $70 million, representing a 7.0% Adjusted EBITDA Margin. For the full fiscal year, they now expect revenue of at least $3.9 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of at least $300 million.

Tailwinds

  • Expect normalized order-to-delivery windows for the Bike by the end of the calendar year.
  • Expect leverage in fixed costs of content production to be offset by elevated engagement levels.
  • Expect higher penetration of Digital Subscriptions.
  • Expect continued fitness and wellness programming investments.
  • For the full fiscal year, they now expect revenue of at least $3.9 billion.

Headwinds

  • Expect to operate under supply constraints for the foreseeable future.
  • Bike+ wait times will likely be elevated for the next couple of quarters.
  • Incurring additional shipping-related expenses in Q2 to alleviate delivery delays.
  • Expect Q2 gross margin to temporarily decline to about 39%, implying a Connected Fitness Product Gross Margin of 35% and Subscription Contribution Margin of 63%.
  • Challenges associated with port congestion and COVID-19-related warehouse closures impacted Bike+ delivery dates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

14 / 27 earnings

Positive

+44.0%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-38.1%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+8.5%+3.5%+10.8%
Q2 2026-25.7%-26.4%-35.2%
Q1 2026+13.8%+11.2%-4.3%
Q3 2025-6.9%-2.4%+4.6%
Q2 2025+12.0%+15.3%-18.1%
Q1 2025+9.0%+15.2%+55.5%
Q4 2024+44.0%+43.5%+45.8%
Q3 2024+6.5%+27.0%+13.0%
Q2 2024-23.7%-21.2%-17.3%
Q1 2024+8.3%+1.2%+29.3%
Q4 2023-21.1%-16.2%-36.2%
Q3 2023-11.6%-11.3%-5.2%
Q2 2023+31.3%+22.1%+7.2%
Q1 2023+8.8%+11.0%+54.1%
Q4 2022-21.3%-28.9%-36.9%
Q3 2022-12.7%+12.3%-21.3%
Q2 2022+30.3%+16.6%-24.0%
Q1 2022-38.1%-44.2%-51.6%
Q4 2021-10.2%-13.8%-20.3%
Q3 2021+1.4%+10.2%+24.7%
Q2 2021+0.8%+0.4%-28.6%
Q1 2021+5.8%-11.3%-3.5%
Q4 2020-7.8%-6.3%+34.9%
Q3 2020+21.8%+18.2%+26.7%
Q2 2020-13.4%-14.6%-25.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%+5.7%+43.5%
Q1 2020-6.5%-4.4%+27.2%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018

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