NASDAQ$PTON

Peloton Interactive · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peloton had a solid Q1 FY24, performing at or above guidance and focusing on business performance and growth initiatives.

Peloton's Q1 FY24 revenue was $595.5 million, with a gross profit of $285.4 million and a gross margin of 47.9%. The company reported a net loss of $159.3 million and free cash flow of $(83.2) million. Peloton ended the quarter with 2.96 million paid connected fitness subscriptions and 763 thousand paid app subscriptions.

  • Total revenue was $595.5 million, within the guidance range of $580 million to $600 million.
  • Total Gross profit was $285.4 million, yielding a gross margin of 47.9%, ahead of the 46.5% guidance.
  • Ended the quarter with 2.96 million Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions and 763 thousand Peloton App subscribers.
  • Net cash used in operating activities was $(79.2) million and free cash flow was $(83.2) million, including $(23.5) million associated with the Bike seat post recall.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$596M

Previous: $617M-3.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.44

Previous: -$1.20+63.3%
Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions

3.0M

Previous: 3.0M-0.3%
Average Net Monthly Paid Connected Fitness Subscription Churn

1.5%

Previous: 1.1%+36.4%
Ending Paid App Subscriptions

763.0K

Previous: 875.0K-12.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$4.1M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$159M

Previous: -$409M+61.0%
Net Income

-$159M

Previous: -$409M+61.0%
Operating Income

-$132M

Previous: -$374M+64.6%
Gross Profit

$285M

Previous: $217M+31.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$749M

Previous: $939M-20.2%
Total Assets

$2.67B

Previous: $3.59B-25.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$74.2M

Previous: $182M-59.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Peloton · Revenue · Quarterly

$596M

Q1 2024-3.4%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peloton · $596M total across 2 segments · Q1 2024

  • Subscription
    $415M+0.7%
  • Connected Fitness Products
    $181M-11.6%

Forward guidance

Peloton anticipates seasonal growth in hardware sales and modest improvement in Paid Connected Fitness Subscription churn in Q2. They also expect a sequential improvement in Paid App gross additions, offset by increased churn due to the expiration of legacy content access. A sequential decline in Q2 total gross margin and Adjusted EBITDA is expected due to a mix-shift toward Connected Fitness and higher sales and marketing expenses.

Tailwinds

  • Seasonal growth in hardware sales is expected in Q2.
  • Modest sequential improvement to Paid Connected Fitness Subscription churn is anticipated.
  • Sequential improvement in Paid App gross additions is expected due to improvements to the conversion funnel.
  • Revenue growth acceleration in the second half of the fiscal year, fueled, in part, by the expected relaunch of Tread+.
  • Continued growth of our Bike rental program and strong growth in our International markets.

Headwinds

  • Uncertain macroeconomic environment.
  • Sequential increase in Paid App Subscription churn due to the expiration of legacy content access.
  • Sequential decline in Q2 total gross margin as a result of a seasonal mix-shift toward our Connected Fitness segment.
  • Sequential decline in Q2 Adjusted EBITDA due to higher sales and marketing expense.
  • Uncertainty related to the performance of the Tread+ relaunch and our ability to efficiently grow Paid App subscribers.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

14 / 27 earnings

Positive

+44.0%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-38.1%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+8.5%+3.5%+10.8%
Q2 2026-25.7%-26.4%-35.2%
Q1 2026+13.8%+11.2%-4.3%
Q3 2025-6.9%-2.4%+4.6%
Q2 2025+12.0%+15.3%-18.1%
Q1 2025+9.0%+15.2%+55.5%
Q4 2024+44.0%+43.5%+45.8%
Q3 2024+6.5%+27.0%+13.0%
Q2 2024-23.7%-21.2%-17.3%
Q1 2024+8.3%+1.2%+29.3%
Q4 2023-21.1%-16.2%-36.2%
Q3 2023-11.6%-11.3%-5.2%
Q2 2023+31.3%+22.1%+7.2%
Q1 2023+8.8%+11.0%+54.1%
Q4 2022-21.3%-28.9%-36.9%
Q3 2022-12.7%+12.3%-21.3%
Q2 2022+30.3%+16.6%-24.0%
Q1 2022-38.1%-44.2%-51.6%
Q4 2021-10.2%-13.8%-20.3%
Q3 2021+1.4%+10.2%+24.7%
Q2 2021+0.8%+0.4%-28.6%
Q1 2021+5.8%-11.3%-3.5%
Q4 2020-7.8%-6.3%+34.9%
Q3 2020+21.8%+18.2%+26.7%
Q2 2020-13.4%-14.6%-25.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%+5.7%+43.5%
Q1 2020-6.5%-4.4%+27.2%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018

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