NASDAQ$PTON

Peloton Interactive · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peloton's turnaround plan showed significant progress with improved free cash flow, gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA.

Peloton's Q1 2023 results indicate substantial progress in its turnaround efforts. The company demonstrated improvements in free cash flow, gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA. Peloton ended the quarter with $938 million of unrestricted cash and an unused revolving credit line of $500 million.

  • Implemented a restructuring plan to variablize cost structure and generate significant annual cost savings.
  • Secured $750 million in financing and maintained a liquid cash balance of roughly one billion dollars.
  • Simplified operations by exiting owned-manufacturing in Taiwan.
  • Entered into new partnerships with iconic retailers Amazon and Dick’s Sporting Goods.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$617M

Previous: $805M-23.4%
EPS (adj)

-$1.20

Previous: -$1.25+4.0%
Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions

3.0M

Previous: 2.5M+19.3%
Average Net Monthly Paid Connected Fitness Subscription Churn

1.1%

Previous: 0.8%+34.1%
Ending Paid App Subscriptions

875.0K

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$409M

Previous: -$463M+11.8%
Net Income

-$409M

Previous: -$376M-8.6%
Operating Income

-$374M

Previous: -$360M-4.0%
Gross Profit

$217M

Previous: $263M-17.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$939M

Previous: $613M+53.2%
Total Assets

$3.59B

Previous: $4.41B-18.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$182M

Previous: $52.9M+244.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Peloton · Revenue · Quarterly

$617M

Q1 2023-23.4%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peloton · $617M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Subscription
    $412M+35.6%
  • Connected Fitness Products
    $204M-59.2%

Forward guidance

Peloton anticipates near-term demand for Connected Fitness hardware to remain challenged due to macro economic uncertainties. The forecast incorporates a seasonal mix-shift toward the Connected Fitness segment, expected holiday promotional activity, a mix-shift of sales toward the rental program, as well as the impact from expanding third-party retail partnerships. Connected Fitness churn is expected to be similar to Q1.

Tailwinds

  • Seasonal mix-shift toward Connected Fitness segment
  • Expected holiday promotional activity
  • Mix-shift of sales toward rental program
  • Impact from expanding third-party retail partnerships
  • Connected Fitness churn expected to be similar to Q1

Headwinds

  • Near-term demand for Connected Fitness hardware likely to remain challenged
  • Macro economic uncertainties
  • Approximately $70 million of additional restructuring related cash charges expected in FY'23
  • A portion of restructuring cash charges expected to impact Q2
  • Uncertainty of the holiday selling season on overall performance

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

14 / 27 earnings

Positive

+44.0%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-38.1%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+8.5%+3.5%+10.8%
Q2 2026-25.7%-26.4%-35.2%
Q1 2026+13.8%+11.2%-4.3%
Q3 2025-6.9%-2.4%+4.6%
Q2 2025+12.0%+15.3%-18.1%
Q1 2025+9.0%+15.2%+55.5%
Q4 2024+44.0%+43.5%+45.8%
Q3 2024+6.5%+27.0%+13.0%
Q2 2024-23.7%-21.2%-17.3%
Q1 2024+8.3%+1.2%+29.3%
Q4 2023-21.1%-16.2%-36.2%
Q3 2023-11.6%-11.3%-5.2%
Q2 2023+31.3%+22.1%+7.2%
Q1 2023+8.8%+11.0%+54.1%
Q4 2022-21.3%-28.9%-36.9%
Q3 2022-12.7%+12.3%-21.3%
Q2 2022+30.3%+16.6%-24.0%
Q1 2022-38.1%-44.2%-51.6%
Q4 2021-10.2%-13.8%-20.3%
Q3 2021+1.4%+10.2%+24.7%
Q2 2021+0.8%+0.4%-28.6%
Q1 2021+5.8%-11.3%-3.5%
Q4 2020-7.8%-6.3%+34.9%
Q3 2020+21.8%+18.2%+26.7%
Q2 2020-13.4%-14.6%-25.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%+5.7%+43.5%
Q1 2020-6.5%-4.4%+27.2%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018

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