NASDAQ$PTON

Peloton Interactive · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Peloton significantly outperformed expectations for Connected Fitness subs, Connected Fitness Unit (CFU) orders, CFU deliveries, hardware revenue, subscription revenue, and Total Revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and Free Cash Flow.

Peloton's Q2 FY2023 results show significant outperformance in key areas, including Connected Fitness subscriptions, hardware revenue, subscription revenue, and free cash flow. The company has focused on restructuring, cost reduction, and new product launches. They are aiming for free cash flow breakeven by year-end FY23.

  • Significantly outperformed expectations for Connected Fitness subs, CFU orders, CFU deliveries, hardware revenue, subscription revenue, and Total Revenue.
  • Generated more revenue from subscriptions than from hardware sales for the third consecutive quarter, improving gross margins.
  • Improved free cash flow to $(94) million, with positive free cash flow of approximately $8 million when excluding supplier settlement costs.
  • Launched new products and initiatives, including Peloton Row, Guide, Fitness as a Service (FaaS), and partnerships with Amazon and Dick’s Sporting Goods.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$793M

Previous: $1.13B-30.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.98

Previous: -$1.39+29.5%
Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions

3.0M

Previous: 2.8M+9.6%
Average Net Monthly Paid Connected Fitness Subscription Churn

1.1%

Previous: 0.8%+39.2%
Ending Paid App Subscriptions

852.0K

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$335M

Previous: -$618M+45.7%
Net Income

-$335M

Previous: -$439M+23.7%
Operating Income

-$331M

Previous: -$426M+22.2%
Gross Profit

$235M

Previous: $280M-16.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$871M

Previous: $1.61B-45.8%
Total Assets

$3.3B

Previous: $5.48B-39.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$81.6M

Previous: $71.9M+13.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Peloton · Revenue · Quarterly

$793M

Q2 2023-30.1%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Peloton · $793M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Subscription
    $411M+21.9%
  • Connected Fitness Products
    $381M-52.1%

Forward guidance

Peloton anticipates lower Connected Fitness unit sales due to the end of the holiday season. They expect macroeconomic uncertainty to continue impacting consumer spending and believe demand for Connected Fitness hardware will remain challenged.

Tailwinds

  • Expect Connected Fitness churn to be similar to Q2.

Headwinds

  • Expect lower Connected Fitness unit sales as they exit the holiday selling season and promotional activity eases.
  • Believe macro-economic uncertainty is impacting consumer spending patterns.
  • Near-term demand for Connected Fitness hardware is likely to remain challenged.
  • Forecast incorporates a mix shift of CF unit sales from our first-party web channel towards our bike rental program and third-party retail partners.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

14 / 27 earnings

Positive

+44.0%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-38.1%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+8.5%+3.5%+10.8%
Q2 2026-25.7%-26.4%-35.2%
Q1 2026+13.8%+11.2%-4.3%
Q3 2025-6.9%-2.4%+4.6%
Q2 2025+12.0%+15.3%-18.1%
Q1 2025+9.0%+15.2%+55.5%
Q4 2024+44.0%+43.5%+45.8%
Q3 2024+6.5%+27.0%+13.0%
Q2 2024-23.7%-21.2%-17.3%
Q1 2024+8.3%+1.2%+29.3%
Q4 2023-21.1%-16.2%-36.2%
Q3 2023-11.6%-11.3%-5.2%
Q2 2023+31.3%+22.1%+7.2%
Q1 2023+8.8%+11.0%+54.1%
Q4 2022-21.3%-28.9%-36.9%
Q3 2022-12.7%+12.3%-21.3%
Q2 2022+30.3%+16.6%-24.0%
Q1 2022-38.1%-44.2%-51.6%
Q4 2021-10.2%-13.8%-20.3%
Q3 2021+1.4%+10.2%+24.7%
Q2 2021+0.8%+0.4%-28.6%
Q1 2021+5.8%-11.3%-3.5%
Q4 2020-7.8%-6.3%+34.9%
Q3 2020+21.8%+18.2%+26.7%
Q2 2020-13.4%-14.6%-25.4%
Q4 2019-0.5%+5.7%+43.5%
Q1 2020-6.5%-4.4%+27.2%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018

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