NASDAQ$PRGS

Progress Software Corporation · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Progress Software's Q4 2021 earnings significantly surpassed guidance, driven by the successful integration of Kemp and overall strong financial performance.

Progress Software reported a strong Q4 2021, with revenue of $140.1 million, a 14% increase year-over-year, and non-GAAP EPS of $0.92, a 1% increase year-over-year. The company's performance significantly exceeded guidance, driven by the acquisition of Kemp and strong financial results.

  • Revenue reached $140.1 million, reflecting a 14% year-over-year increase.
  • Non-GAAP revenue was $143.7 million, up 11% year-over-year.
  • ARR increased by 12% year-over-year, reaching $486 million.
  • Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share increased to $0.92, up 1% year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$144M

Previous: $129M+11.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.92

Previous: $0.91+1.1%
Annualized Recurring Revenue

$486M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$1.91M

Previous: $3.1M-38.3%
Free Cash Flow

$42M

Previous: $39.7M+5.9%
Net Income

$14.9M

Previous: $17.7M-15.5%
Operating Income

$20.4M

Previous: $18.5M+10.0%
Gross Profit

$119M

Previous: $104M+14.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$157M

Previous: $106M+48.5%
Total Assets

$1.36B

Previous: $1.04B+30.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$7.74M

Previous: $6.12M+26.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Progress Software · Revenue · Quarterly

$144M

Q4 2021+11.4%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Progress Software · $140M total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • Maintenance
    $98.9M+16.4%
  • Software Licenses
    $41.2M+10.1%

Forward guidance

Progress provided guidance for the fiscal year ending November 30, 2022, projecting GAAP revenue between $597 million and $607 million and non-GAAP revenue between $605 million and $615 million. They also expect GAAP diluted earnings per share between $1.93 and $2.03 and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share between $3.95 and $4.05.

Tailwinds

  • Projected GAAP revenue between $597 million and $607 million.
  • Projected non-GAAP revenue between $605 million and $615 million.
  • Expected GAAP diluted earnings per share between $1.93 and $2.03.
  • Expected non-GAAP diluted earnings per share between $3.95 and $4.05.
  • Anticipated cash from operations (GAAP) / Adjusted free cash flow (Non-GAAP) between $188 million and $193 million / $185 million and $190 million.

Headwinds

  • Expected negative currency translation impact on GAAP and non-GAAP revenue of approximately $7.5 million.
  • Expected negative currency translation impact on GAAP and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of approximately $0.03.
  • Potential for delays or size reductions in transactions.
  • Possible fluctuations in currency exchange rates.
  • Risk of decline in renewal rates for contracts.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+19.8%

Q1 2019

Best reaction

-15.5%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026
Q1 2026-9.3%-4.0%
Q4 2025+10.7%+11.1%+4.5%
Q3 2025+3.2%+8.4%-1.8%
Q2 2025+1.8%+0.3%-4.0%
Q1 2025+12.1%+9.0%+16.7%
Q4 2024-9.0%-15.8%-10.1%
Q3 2024+12.4%+16.6%+14.5%
Q2 2024+12.2%+10.8%+17.3%
Q1 2024-0.2%+1.0%-3.9%
Q4 2023+4.7%+7.2%+4.4%
Q3 2023-6.2%-6.4%-9.9%
Q2 2023+8.4%+10.0%+9.0%
Q1 2023-5.2%-2.4%-6.6%
Q4 2022-3.7%-3.4%+8.0%
Q3 2022+2.5%+3.0%+20.1%
Q2 2022-9.2%-11.4%-8.2%
Q1 2022+3.3%+5.3%+8.3%
Q4 2021-6.2%-3.1%-2.0%
Q3 2021+17.5%+8.3%+13.1%
Q2 2021+2.2%+2.7%+1.6%
Q1 2021+5.9%+4.5%+11.5%
Q4 2020-7.0%-10.2%-8.6%
Q3 2020-1.6%+1.3%-3.0%
Q2 2020+2.5%+5.6%-5.8%
Q1 2020-0.7%-3.7%+13.4%
Q4 2019+8.4%+4.2%-0.5%
Q3 2019-3.8%-6.2%-2.2%
Q2 2019+9.4%+1.7%+9.5%
Q1 2019+19.8%+20.6%+22.8%
Q4 2018-4.7%-4.1%+3.0%
Q3 2018-15.5%-17.5%-25.4%
Q2 2018+14.4%+8.3%+6.8%
Q1 2018-0.4%-3.6%-4.1%
Q4 2017+15.6%+15.9%+6.2%
Q3 2017+0.5%+3.4%+13.4%
Q2 2017+1.9%+2.7%+6.8%
Q1 2017+3.7%+3.0%+5.0%
Q4 2016-14.3%-12.6%-10.5%
Q3 2016-2.6%-1.5%-4.5%
Q2 2016+10.9%+12.2%+17.4%
Q1 2016-4.7%
Q4 2015-0.7%
Q3 2015-11.0%
Q2 2015+8.7%
Q1 2015-5.6%
Q4 2014-4.3%
Q3 2014+4.3%
Q2 2014+8.4%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q4 2013-5.2%
Q3 2013+4.4%
Q2 2013+7.3%
Q1 2013+1.4%
Q4 2012+2.2%
Q3 2012+7.9%
Q2 2012-0.9%
Q1 2012+1.1%
Q4 2008+4.3%
Q4 2011+4.3%
Q3 2011+2.6%
Q2 2011-1.4%
Q1 2010-2.3%
Q1 2011-4.7%
Q4 2010+5.8%
Q2 2010+5.8%
Q4 2009+5.4%
Q3 2009+5.4%
Q3 2010+5.4%

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