NASDAQ$PRGS

Progress Software Corporation · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Delivered a strong quarter with ARR up 18% and raised full year outlook.

Progress announced strong financial results for the third quarter of 2023, with revenue of $175.0 million, a 16% year-over-year increase. The company's ARR increased by 18% year-over-year to $577 million. Diluted earnings per share was $0.42, while non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $1.08.

  • Revenue of $175.0 million increased 16% year-over-year.
  • ARR of $577 million increased 18% year-over-year.
  • Operating margin was 17% and non-GAAP operating margin was 39%.
  • Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $1.08, an increase of 8%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$175M

Previous: $151M+15.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.08

Previous: $1.00+8.0%
Annualized Recurring Revenue

$577M

Previous: $495M+16.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.18M

Previous: -$3.09M-3.1%
Free Cash Flow

$15.9M

Previous: $18.7M-14.9%
Net Income

$19.1M

Previous: $21.8M-12.4%
Operating Income

$29.4M

Previous: $32M-8.3%
Gross Profit

$142M

Previous: $127M+11.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$138M

Previous: $224M-38.4%
Total Assets

$1.6B

Previous: $1.35B+18.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$10.1M

Previous: $8.64M+16.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Progress Software · Revenue · Quarterly

$175M

Q3 2023+15.7%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Progress Software · $175M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Maintenance
    $124M+20.1%
  • Software Licenses
    $50.5M+6.1%

Forward guidance

Progress provides the following guidance for the fiscal year ending November 30, 2023 and the fiscal fourth quarter ending November 30, 2023.

Tailwinds

  • FY 2023 Revenue: $688 - $694 million (GAAP)
  • FY 2023 Revenue: $692 - $698 million (Non-GAAP)
  • FY 2023 Diluted earnings per share: $1.36 - $1.42 (GAAP)
  • FY 2023 Diluted earnings per share: $4.20 - $4.26 (Non-GAAP)
  • FY 2023 Operating margin: 15% (GAAP)
  • FY 2023 Operating margin: 38% - 39% (Non-GAAP)
  • FY 2023 Cash from operations / Adjusted free cash flow: $175 - $181 million (GAAP)
  • FY 2023 Adjusted free cash flow: $177 - $183 million (Non-GAAP)
  • Q4 2023 Revenue: $171 - $177 million (GAAP & Non-GAAP)
  • Q4 2023 Diluted earnings per share: $0.13 - $0.19 (GAAP)
  • Q4 2023 Diluted earnings per share: $0.87 - $0.93 (Non-GAAP)

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+19.8%

Q1 2019

Best reaction

-15.5%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026
Q1 2026-9.3%-4.0%
Q4 2025+10.7%+11.1%+4.5%
Q3 2025+3.2%+8.4%-1.8%
Q2 2025+1.8%+0.3%-4.0%
Q1 2025+12.1%+9.0%+16.7%
Q4 2024-9.0%-15.8%-10.1%
Q3 2024+12.4%+16.6%+14.5%
Q2 2024+12.2%+10.8%+17.3%
Q1 2024-0.2%+1.0%-3.9%
Q4 2023+4.7%+7.2%+4.4%
Q3 2023-6.2%-6.4%-9.9%
Q2 2023+8.4%+10.0%+9.0%
Q1 2023-5.2%-2.4%-6.6%
Q4 2022-3.7%-3.4%+8.0%
Q3 2022+2.5%+3.0%+20.1%
Q2 2022-9.2%-11.4%-8.2%
Q1 2022+3.3%+5.3%+8.3%
Q4 2021-6.2%-3.1%-2.0%
Q3 2021+17.5%+8.3%+13.1%
Q2 2021+2.2%+2.7%+1.6%
Q1 2021+5.9%+4.5%+11.5%
Q4 2020-7.0%-10.2%-8.6%
Q3 2020-1.6%+1.3%-3.0%
Q2 2020+2.5%+5.6%-5.8%
Q1 2020-0.7%-3.7%+13.4%
Q4 2019+8.4%+4.2%-0.5%
Q3 2019-3.8%-6.2%-2.2%
Q2 2019+9.4%+1.7%+9.5%
Q1 2019+19.8%+20.6%+22.8%
Q4 2018-4.7%-4.1%+3.0%
Q3 2018-15.5%-17.5%-25.4%
Q2 2018+14.4%+8.3%+6.8%
Q1 2018-0.4%-3.6%-4.1%
Q4 2017+15.6%+15.9%+6.2%
Q3 2017+0.5%+3.4%+13.4%
Q2 2017+1.9%+2.7%+6.8%
Q1 2017+3.7%+3.0%+5.0%
Q4 2016-14.3%-12.6%-10.5%
Q3 2016-2.6%-1.5%-4.5%
Q2 2016+10.9%+12.2%+17.4%
Q1 2016-4.7%
Q4 2015-0.7%
Q3 2015-11.0%
Q2 2015+8.7%
Q1 2015-5.6%
Q4 2014-4.3%
Q3 2014+4.3%
Q2 2014+8.4%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q4 2013-5.2%
Q3 2013+4.4%
Q2 2013+7.3%
Q1 2013+1.4%
Q4 2012+2.2%
Q3 2012+7.9%
Q2 2012-0.9%
Q1 2012+1.1%
Q4 2008+4.3%
Q4 2011+4.3%
Q3 2011+2.6%
Q2 2011-1.4%
Q1 2010-2.3%
Q1 2011-4.7%
Q4 2010+5.8%
Q2 2010+5.8%
Q4 2009+5.4%
Q3 2009+5.4%
Q3 2010+5.4%

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