NASDAQ$MAT

Mattel Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mattel's financial performance surged in Q4 2023, marked by double-digit growth in sales and earnings, driven by strategic execution and entertainment success.

Mattel reported a strong fourth quarter, with net sales up 16% and significant improvements in operating and net income. The company's success was fueled by growth in key toy categories and the positive impact of the Barbie movie. Looking ahead, Mattel is launching a new cost savings program and expects to improve profitability and continue share repurchases in 2024.

  • Net sales increased by 16% as reported, or 14% in constant currency, compared to the prior year's fourth quarter.
  • Operating income rose by $61 million to $140 million, with adjusted operating income up by $68 million to $147 million.
  • Net income saw a significant increase of $131 million, reaching $147 million.
  • Earnings per share improved to $0.42, compared to $0.04 per share in the previous year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.62B

Previous: $1.4B+15.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.29

Previous: $0.18+61.1%
Vehicles Gross Billings

$475M

Previous: $403M+18.0%
Dolls Gross Billings

$763M

Previous: $589M+29.5%
Infant, Toddler, and Preschool Gross Billings

$292M

Previous: $267M+9.4%
Action Figures, Building Sets, Games, and Other Gross Billings

$311M

Previous: $301M+3.4%
Barbie Gross Billings

$473M

Previous: $372M+27.1%
Hot Wheels Gross Billings

$418M

Previous: $352M+18.6%
Fisher-Price Gross Billings

$245M

Previous: $246M-0.2%
Net Income

$147M

Previous: $16M+820.6%
Operating Income

$140M

Previous: $79M+77.3%
Gross Profit

$790M

Previous: $603M+31.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$30.9M

Previous: $13.1M+135.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Mattel · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.62B

Q4 2023+15.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mattel · $1.88B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • North America Net Sales
    $1.1B+10.2%
  • International Net Sales
    $772M+9.5%

Forward guidance

Mattel's full year 2024 guidance indicates expectations for comparable net sales, adjusted gross margin between 48.5% and 49%, adjusted EPS between $1.35 and $1.45, adjusted EBITDA between $975 million and $1,025 million, adjusted tax rate between 23% and 24%, capital expenditures between $175 million and $200 million, and free cash flow of approximately $500 million.

Tailwinds

  • Comparable Net Sales to FY2023
  • Adjusted Gross Margin of 48.5 - 49%
  • Adjusted EPS of $1.35 - $1.45
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $975 - $1,025 million
  • Free Cash Flow approximately $500 million

Headwinds

  • Macro-economic environment may impact consumer demand
  • Subject to market volatility
  • Subject to unexpected disruptions
  • Subject to other risks and uncertainties
  • Guidance considers what the company is aware of today

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

42 / 73 earnings

Positive

+21.9%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-25.0%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%-1.1%+0.3%
Q4 2025-25.0%-21.8%-23.7%
Q3 2025-2.8%+1.2%+5.4%
Q2 2025-0.5%-3.2%-3.0%
Q1 2025-0.6%+0.8%+20.5%
Q4 2024+15.3%+17.9%+16.2%
Q3 2024+2.5%+8.9%+3.2%
Q2 2024+1.3%+2.6%+2.9%
Q1 2024+3.0%-1.4%-5.9%
Q4 2023+1.9%+3.5%+6.9%
Q3 2023-8.1%-7.1%-7.1%
Q2 2023+0.3%+0.6%+3.3%
Q1 2023+7.4%+5.2%+6.9%
Q4 2022-11.8%-11.1%-19.5%
Q3 2022-2.3%-5.1%-8.0%
Q2 2022-4.5%-6.5%+3.0%
Q1 2022+11.6%+11.8%+11.8%
Q4 2021+11.8%+10.5%+3.3%
Q3 2021+2.9%+3.3%+13.9%
Q2 2021+3.6%+4.5%+4.7%
Q1 2021+1.0%+4.6%-3.5%
Q4 2020+0.1%+1.4%+13.8%
Q3 2020+13.7%+14.6%+20.8%
Q2 2020-0.2%-0.4%-1.9%
Q1 2020-1.0%+2.8%+18.1%
Q4 2019-3.9%-8.3%-43.1%
Q3 2019+16.7%+15.4%+14.7%
Q2 2019+13.5%+15.9%-24.4%
Q1 2019-3.2%-2.8%-12.8%
Q4 2018+21.9%+31.9%+16.0%
Q3 2018+0.1%+2.6%+0.0%
Q2 2018-5.3%-5.6%-6.6%
Q1 2018+5.1%+4.3%+13.0%
Q4 2017+4.4%+6.4%+4.6%
Q3 2017-9.4%-8.6%+19.8%
Q2 2017-6.1%-5.7%-21.3%
Q1 2017-13.2%-11.9%-11.8%
Q4 2016-16.7%-15.6%-17.4%
Q3 2016+5.7%+7.7%-0.6%
Q2 2016+1.1%+1.3%+1.5%
Q1 2016-8.2%
Q4 2015+10.4%
Q3 2015+6.1%
Q2 2015-5.0%
Q1 2015+5.4%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014-5.8%
Q2 2014-7.3%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-16.2%
Q3 2013+2.1%
Q2 2013-5.9%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012+5.6%
Q2 2012+10.3%
Q1 2012-6.8%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011+4.4%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010-1.1%
Q1 2009+1.6%
Q1 2010-2.2%
Q4 2007+1.3%
Q4 2009+1.3%
Q3 2008-0.3%
Q3 2009-0.3%
Q4 2008+1.8%
Q2 2008+1.8%
Q2 2009+1.8%

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