NASDAQ$MAT

Mattel Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mattel's Q4 2021 performance exceeded expectations, driven by strong sales growth and strategic progress.

Mattel reported a strong fourth quarter and full year for 2021. Q4 net sales increased by 10% as reported, and 11% in constant currency. Reported operating income increased by $69 million to $257 million. The company's 2022 guidance exceeds prior goals, with an even stronger outlook for 2023.

  • Net sales increased by 10% as reported, and 11% in constant currency, versus the prior year’s fourth quarter.
  • Reported Operating Income was $257 million, an increase of $69 million.
  • Adjusted Operating Income was $264 million, an increase of $64 million.
  • Reported Net Income of $226 million, an increase of $97 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.8B

Previous: $1.63B+10.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.53

Previous: $0.40+32.5%
Vehicles Gross Billings

$381M

Previous: $396M-3.8%
Dolls Gross Billings

$804M

Previous: $709M+13.3%
Infant, Toddler, and Preschool Gross Billings

$401M

Previous: $406M-1.0%
Action Figures, Building Sets, Games, and Other Gross Billings

$405M

Previous: $324M+25.0%
Barbie Gross Billings

$557M

Previous: $471M+18.1%
Hot Wheels Gross Billings

$326M

Previous: $346M-5.7%
Fisher-Price Gross Billings

$365M

Previous: $373M-2.0%
Free Cash Flow

$334M

Previous: $167M+100.2%
Net Income

$226M

Previous: $131M+73.2%
Operating Income

$257M

Previous: $193M+33.4%
Gross Profit

$884M

Previous: $835M+5.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$731M

Previous: $762M-4.0%
Total Assets

$6.39B

Previous: $5.52B+15.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$13.6M

Previous: $20.2M-32.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Mattel · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.8B

Q4 2021+10.4%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mattel · $1.66B total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • North America Net Sales
    $891M+14.3%
  • International Net Sales
    $772M+9.5%

Forward guidance

Mattel provided 2022 guidance and 2023 goals, anticipating continued growth and improved profitability.

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales +8%-10% (Constant Currency)
  • Adjusted EBITDA $1,100-$1,125 million
  • Adjusted EPS $1.42-$1.48
  • Capital Expenditures $175-$200 million
  • Net Sales + High-Single Digit % (Constant Currency) in 2023

Headwinds

  • Adjusted Gross Margin ~47%
  • Anticipated supply chain disruption
  • Market volatility
  • Macro-economic risks and uncertainties
  • Risks associated with COVID-19

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

42 / 73 earnings

Positive

+21.9%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-25.0%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%-1.1%+0.3%
Q4 2025-25.0%-21.8%-23.7%
Q3 2025-2.8%+1.2%+5.4%
Q2 2025-0.5%-3.2%-3.0%
Q1 2025-0.6%+0.8%+20.5%
Q4 2024+15.3%+17.9%+16.2%
Q3 2024+2.5%+8.9%+3.2%
Q2 2024+1.3%+2.6%+2.9%
Q1 2024+3.0%-1.4%-5.9%
Q4 2023+1.9%+3.5%+6.9%
Q3 2023-8.1%-7.1%-7.1%
Q2 2023+0.3%+0.6%+3.3%
Q1 2023+7.4%+5.2%+6.9%
Q4 2022-11.8%-11.1%-19.5%
Q3 2022-2.3%-5.1%-8.0%
Q2 2022-4.5%-6.5%+3.0%
Q1 2022+11.6%+11.8%+11.8%
Q4 2021+11.8%+10.5%+3.3%
Q3 2021+2.9%+3.3%+13.9%
Q2 2021+3.6%+4.5%+4.7%
Q1 2021+1.0%+4.6%-3.5%
Q4 2020+0.1%+1.4%+13.8%
Q3 2020+13.7%+14.6%+20.8%
Q2 2020-0.2%-0.4%-1.9%
Q1 2020-1.0%+2.8%+18.1%
Q4 2019-3.9%-8.3%-43.1%
Q3 2019+16.7%+15.4%+14.7%
Q2 2019+13.5%+15.9%-24.4%
Q1 2019-3.2%-2.8%-12.8%
Q4 2018+21.9%+31.9%+16.0%
Q3 2018+0.1%+2.6%+0.0%
Q2 2018-5.3%-5.6%-6.6%
Q1 2018+5.1%+4.3%+13.0%
Q4 2017+4.4%+6.4%+4.6%
Q3 2017-9.4%-8.6%+19.8%
Q2 2017-6.1%-5.7%-21.3%
Q1 2017-13.2%-11.9%-11.8%
Q4 2016-16.7%-15.6%-17.4%
Q3 2016+5.7%+7.7%-0.6%
Q2 2016+1.1%+1.3%+1.5%
Q1 2016-8.2%
Q4 2015+10.4%
Q3 2015+6.1%
Q2 2015-5.0%
Q1 2015+5.4%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014-5.8%
Q2 2014-7.3%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-16.2%
Q3 2013+2.1%
Q2 2013-5.9%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012+5.6%
Q2 2012+10.3%
Q1 2012-6.8%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011+4.4%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010-1.1%
Q1 2009+1.6%
Q1 2010-2.2%
Q4 2007+1.3%
Q4 2009+1.3%
Q3 2008-0.3%
Q3 2009-0.3%
Q4 2008+1.8%
Q2 2008+1.8%
Q2 2009+1.8%

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