NASDAQ$MAT

Mattel Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mattel's financial performance was impacted by retail inventory management in the first quarter of 2023, with net sales decreasing by 22% and operating loss reported at $115 million.

Mattel reported a decrease in net sales by 22% to $815 million for Q1 2023, with an operating loss of $115 million. The company's performance was affected by retail inventory management, though the underlying business fundamentals remain strong. Mattel expects to outpace the industry and achieve its full-year guidance, with continued share repurchases reflecting confidence in its strategy.

  • Net sales decreased by 22% as reported, or 21% in constant currency, versus the prior year.
  • Reported Operating Loss was $115 million, a decrease of $195 million, and Adjusted Operating Loss was $87 million, a decrease of $177 million.
  • Gross Margin decreased to 40.0%, versus 46.4% in the prior year, and Adjusted Gross Margin decreased to 40.0%, versus 46.6%.
  • Company reiterates 2023 guidance.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$815M

Previous: $1.04B-21.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.24

Previous: $0.08-400.0%
Vehicles Gross Billings

$284M

Previous: $282M+0.5%
Dolls Gross Billings

$306M

Previous: $396M-22.7%
Infant, Toddler, and Preschool Gross Billings

$150M

Previous: $206M-26.9%
Action Figures, Building Sets, Games, and Other Gross Billings

$172M

Previous: $281M-38.9%
Total Gross Billings

$911M

Previous: $1.16B-21.7%
Barbie Gross Billings

$177M

Previous: $298M-40.6%
Hot Wheels Gross Billings

$245M

Previous: $241M+1.4%
Fisher-Price Gross Billings

$126M

Previous: $189M-33.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$23.1M

Previous: -$16.7M-38.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$130M

Previous: $4.8M-2798.2%
Net Income

-$106M

Previous: $21.5M-596.3%
Operating Income

-$115M

Previous: $80.1M-243.7%
Gross Profit

$326M

Previous: $483M-32.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$462M

Previous: $537M-14.0%
Total Assets

$5.83B

Previous: $6.15B-5.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$16.9M

Previous: $19.3M-12.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Mattel · Revenue · Quarterly

$815M

Q1 2023-21.8%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mattel · $781M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • North America Net Sales
    $437M-27.4%
  • International Net Sales
    $344M-14.8%

Forward guidance

Mattel’s full year 2023 guidance remains:

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales Comparable (Constant Currency) $5,435 million
  • Adjusted Gross Margin ~ 47%
  • Adjusted EPS $1.10 - $1.20
  • Adjusted EBITDA $900 - $950 million
  • Free Cash Flow > $400 million

Headwinds

  • The company is operating in a challenging macro-economic environment with higher volatility, including inflation, that may impact consumer demand.
  • Mattel’s guidance takes into account what the company is aware of today but remains subject to further volatility and any unexpected disruption
  • Fluctuations in foreign exchange rates
  • Changes in global economic conditions and consumer demand
  • Labor market fluctuations, and other macro-economic risks and uncertainties.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

42 / 73 earnings

Positive

+21.9%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-25.0%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%-1.1%+0.3%
Q4 2025-25.0%-21.8%-23.7%
Q3 2025-2.8%+1.2%+5.4%
Q2 2025-0.5%-3.2%-3.0%
Q1 2025-0.6%+0.8%+20.5%
Q4 2024+15.3%+17.9%+16.2%
Q3 2024+2.5%+8.9%+3.2%
Q2 2024+1.3%+2.6%+2.9%
Q1 2024+3.0%-1.4%-5.9%
Q4 2023+1.9%+3.5%+6.9%
Q3 2023-8.1%-7.1%-7.1%
Q2 2023+0.3%+0.6%+3.3%
Q1 2023+7.4%+5.2%+6.9%
Q4 2022-11.8%-11.1%-19.5%
Q3 2022-2.3%-5.1%-8.0%
Q2 2022-4.5%-6.5%+3.0%
Q1 2022+11.6%+11.8%+11.8%
Q4 2021+11.8%+10.5%+3.3%
Q3 2021+2.9%+3.3%+13.9%
Q2 2021+3.6%+4.5%+4.7%
Q1 2021+1.0%+4.6%-3.5%
Q4 2020+0.1%+1.4%+13.8%
Q3 2020+13.7%+14.6%+20.8%
Q2 2020-0.2%-0.4%-1.9%
Q1 2020-1.0%+2.8%+18.1%
Q4 2019-3.9%-8.3%-43.1%
Q3 2019+16.7%+15.4%+14.7%
Q2 2019+13.5%+15.9%-24.4%
Q1 2019-3.2%-2.8%-12.8%
Q4 2018+21.9%+31.9%+16.0%
Q3 2018+0.1%+2.6%+0.0%
Q2 2018-5.3%-5.6%-6.6%
Q1 2018+5.1%+4.3%+13.0%
Q4 2017+4.4%+6.4%+4.6%
Q3 2017-9.4%-8.6%+19.8%
Q2 2017-6.1%-5.7%-21.3%
Q1 2017-13.2%-11.9%-11.8%
Q4 2016-16.7%-15.6%-17.4%
Q3 2016+5.7%+7.7%-0.6%
Q2 2016+1.1%+1.3%+1.5%
Q1 2016-8.2%
Q4 2015+10.4%
Q3 2015+6.1%
Q2 2015-5.0%
Q1 2015+5.4%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014-5.8%
Q2 2014-7.3%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-16.2%
Q3 2013+2.1%
Q2 2013-5.9%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012+5.6%
Q2 2012+10.3%
Q1 2012-6.8%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011+4.4%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010-1.1%
Q1 2009+1.6%
Q1 2010-2.2%
Q4 2007+1.3%
Q4 2009+1.3%
Q3 2008-0.3%
Q3 2009-0.3%
Q4 2008+1.8%
Q2 2008+1.8%
Q2 2009+1.8%

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