NASDAQ$MAT

Mattel Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mattel's financial performance was strong, exceeding expectations with increased consumer demand and strategic execution in navigating global supply chain disruptions.

Mattel reported strong Q3 2021 financial results, with net sales up 8% and significant gains in market share. The company successfully navigated global supply chain disruptions and raised its 2021 guidance for net sales and adjusted EBITDA.

  • Net sales increased by 8% as reported, and 7% in constant currency, compared to the prior year.
  • Reported operating income rose by $10 million, while adjusted operating income improved by $4 million.
  • The company successfully navigated ongoing global supply chain disruption and gained market share.
  • Mattel raised its 2021 guidance for net sales in constant currency and adjusted EBITDA.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.76B

Previous: $1.63B+8.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.84

Previous: $0.95-11.6%
Vehicles Gross Billings

$390M

Previous: $369M+5.5%
Dolls Gross Billings

$720M

Previous: $691M+4.2%
Infant, Toddler, and Preschool Gross Billings

$407M

Previous: $404M+0.7%
Action Figures, Building Sets, Games, and Other Gross Billings

$446M

Previous: $355M+25.9%
Barbie Gross Billings

$555M

Previous: $532M+4.3%
Hot Wheels Gross Billings

$330M

Previous: $313M+5.5%
Fisher-Price Gross Billings

$384M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$61.5M

Previous: -$49M-25.5%
Free Cash Flow

$734M

Previous: $267M+174.8%
Net Income

$795M

Previous: $316M+151.6%
Operating Income

$389M

Previous: $384M+1.3%
Gross Profit

$843M

Previous: $832M+1.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$149M

Previous: $452M-67.2%
Total Assets

$6.26B

Previous: $5.6B+11.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$16.2M

Previous: $16.5M-1.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Mattel · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.76B

Q3 2021+8%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mattel · $1.71B total across 2 segments · Q3 2021

  • North America Net Sales
    $1.04B+12.1%
  • International Net Sales
    $673M+2.7%

Forward guidance

Full-year Net Sales, in constant currency, are expected to increase by approximately 15% versus the prior year. Adjusted Gross Margin guidance remains unchanged at a range of 47.6% to 48.1%. Adjusted EBITDA guidance is increasing by $25 million to a range of $900 to $925 million.

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales are expected to increase by approximately 15% versus the prior year.
  • Adjusted Gross Margin guidance remains unchanged at a range of 47.6% to 48.1%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance is increasing by $25 million to a range of $900 to $925 million.
  • Capital expenditures guidance remains unchanged at a range of $150 to $175 million.
  • Company expects to grow for the balance of the year and have a strong holiday season.

Headwinds

  • Guidance takes into account anticipated supply chain disruption.
  • Guidance remains subject to market volatility.
  • Guidance remains subject to macro-economic risks and uncertainties.
  • Guidance remains subject to risks associated with COVID-19.
  • Unexpected supply chain disruption could negatively impact performance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

42 / 73 earnings

Positive

+21.9%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-25.0%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%-1.1%+0.3%
Q4 2025-25.0%-21.8%-23.7%
Q3 2025-2.8%+1.2%+5.4%
Q2 2025-0.5%-3.2%-3.0%
Q1 2025-0.6%+0.8%+20.5%
Q4 2024+15.3%+17.9%+16.2%
Q3 2024+2.5%+8.9%+3.2%
Q2 2024+1.3%+2.6%+2.9%
Q1 2024+3.0%-1.4%-5.9%
Q4 2023+1.9%+3.5%+6.9%
Q3 2023-8.1%-7.1%-7.1%
Q2 2023+0.3%+0.6%+3.3%
Q1 2023+7.4%+5.2%+6.9%
Q4 2022-11.8%-11.1%-19.5%
Q3 2022-2.3%-5.1%-8.0%
Q2 2022-4.5%-6.5%+3.0%
Q1 2022+11.6%+11.8%+11.8%
Q4 2021+11.8%+10.5%+3.3%
Q3 2021+2.9%+3.3%+13.9%
Q2 2021+3.6%+4.5%+4.7%
Q1 2021+1.0%+4.6%-3.5%
Q4 2020+0.1%+1.4%+13.8%
Q3 2020+13.7%+14.6%+20.8%
Q2 2020-0.2%-0.4%-1.9%
Q1 2020-1.0%+2.8%+18.1%
Q4 2019-3.9%-8.3%-43.1%
Q3 2019+16.7%+15.4%+14.7%
Q2 2019+13.5%+15.9%-24.4%
Q1 2019-3.2%-2.8%-12.8%
Q4 2018+21.9%+31.9%+16.0%
Q3 2018+0.1%+2.6%+0.0%
Q2 2018-5.3%-5.6%-6.6%
Q1 2018+5.1%+4.3%+13.0%
Q4 2017+4.4%+6.4%+4.6%
Q3 2017-9.4%-8.6%+19.8%
Q2 2017-6.1%-5.7%-21.3%
Q1 2017-13.2%-11.9%-11.8%
Q4 2016-16.7%-15.6%-17.4%
Q3 2016+5.7%+7.7%-0.6%
Q2 2016+1.1%+1.3%+1.5%
Q1 2016-8.2%
Q4 2015+10.4%
Q3 2015+6.1%
Q2 2015-5.0%
Q1 2015+5.4%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014-5.8%
Q2 2014-7.3%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-16.2%
Q3 2013+2.1%
Q2 2013-5.9%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012+5.6%
Q2 2012+10.3%
Q1 2012-6.8%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011+4.4%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010-1.1%
Q1 2009+1.6%
Q1 2010-2.2%
Q4 2007+1.3%
Q4 2009+1.3%
Q3 2008-0.3%
Q3 2009-0.3%
Q4 2008+1.8%
Q2 2008+1.8%
Q2 2009+1.8%

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