NASDAQ$MAT

Mattel Inc · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mattel achieved strong first quarter results driven by growth across regions, categories, and power brands.

Mattel reported its highest first quarter results on record for net sales, operating income, and EBITDA. Net sales increased by 19% to $1,041 million, and operating income rose by 136% to $80 million. The company reiterates its 2022 guidance and 2023 goals.

  • Net sales increased by 19% as reported, and 22% in constant currency.
  • Reported operating income increased by 136%, an increase of $46 million.
  • Reported EPS was $0.06, an improvement of $0.38 per share.
  • Company reiterates 2022 guidance and 2023 goals.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.04B

Previous: $874M+19.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.08

Previous: -$0.10+180.0%
Vehicles Gross Billings

$282M

Previous: $215M+31.0%
Dolls Gross Billings

$396M

Previous: $381M+3.9%
Infant, Toddler, and Preschool Gross Billings

$206M

Previous: $183M+12.2%
Action Figures, Building Sets, Games, and Other Gross Billings

$281M

Previous: $199M+40.9%
Total Gross Billings

$1.16B

Previous: $979M+18.9%
Barbie Gross Billings

$298M

Previous: $276M+7.9%
Hot Wheels Gross Billings

$241M

Previous: $185M+30.8%
Fisher-Price Gross Billings

$189M

Previous: $172M+10.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$16.7M

Previous: -$12.1M-37.4%
Free Cash Flow

$4.8M

Previous: -$127M+103.8%
Net Income

$21.5M

Previous: -$115M+118.6%
Operating Income

$80.1M

Previous: $31M+158.0%
Gross Profit

$483M

Previous: $409M+18.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$537M

Previous: $615M-12.8%
Total Assets

$6.15B

Previous: $5.1B+20.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$19.3M

Previous: $15.1M+27.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Mattel · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.04B

Q1 2022+19.1%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mattel · $1.01B total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • North America Net Sales
    $602M+25.5%
  • International Net Sales
    $404M+15.6%

Forward guidance

Mattel's 2022 guidance remains as follows: Net Sales +8 - 10% (Constant currency), Adjusted Gross Margin ~47%, Adjusted EBITDA $1,100 - $1,125 million, Adjusted EPS $1.42 - $1.48, Adjusted Tax Rate 26 - 28%, Capital Expenditures $175 - $200 million.

Tailwinds

  • Expect to grow net sales in 2022 by 8-10% in constant currency.
  • Driven by growth in leader categories, led by power brands and American Girl.
  • Expect to achieve strong growth in the second quarter.
  • Continue to improve free cash flow.
  • Improve conversion rate and leverage ratio for the full year.

Headwinds

  • Anticipated supply chain disruption that the company is aware of today but remains subject to any unexpected supply chain disruption.
  • Market volatility.
  • Other macro-economic risks and uncertainties, including those associated with COVID-19.
  • Unexpected supply chain disruption could negatively impact performance.
  • Market volatility and other macro-economic risks and uncertainties could negatively impact performance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

42 / 73 earnings

Positive

+21.9%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-25.0%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%-1.1%+0.3%
Q4 2025-25.0%-21.8%-23.7%
Q3 2025-2.8%+1.2%+5.4%
Q2 2025-0.5%-3.2%-3.0%
Q1 2025-0.6%+0.8%+20.5%
Q4 2024+15.3%+17.9%+16.2%
Q3 2024+2.5%+8.9%+3.2%
Q2 2024+1.3%+2.6%+2.9%
Q1 2024+3.0%-1.4%-5.9%
Q4 2023+1.9%+3.5%+6.9%
Q3 2023-8.1%-7.1%-7.1%
Q2 2023+0.3%+0.6%+3.3%
Q1 2023+7.4%+5.2%+6.9%
Q4 2022-11.8%-11.1%-19.5%
Q3 2022-2.3%-5.1%-8.0%
Q2 2022-4.5%-6.5%+3.0%
Q1 2022+11.6%+11.8%+11.8%
Q4 2021+11.8%+10.5%+3.3%
Q3 2021+2.9%+3.3%+13.9%
Q2 2021+3.6%+4.5%+4.7%
Q1 2021+1.0%+4.6%-3.5%
Q4 2020+0.1%+1.4%+13.8%
Q3 2020+13.7%+14.6%+20.8%
Q2 2020-0.2%-0.4%-1.9%
Q1 2020-1.0%+2.8%+18.1%
Q4 2019-3.9%-8.3%-43.1%
Q3 2019+16.7%+15.4%+14.7%
Q2 2019+13.5%+15.9%-24.4%
Q1 2019-3.2%-2.8%-12.8%
Q4 2018+21.9%+31.9%+16.0%
Q3 2018+0.1%+2.6%+0.0%
Q2 2018-5.3%-5.6%-6.6%
Q1 2018+5.1%+4.3%+13.0%
Q4 2017+4.4%+6.4%+4.6%
Q3 2017-9.4%-8.6%+19.8%
Q2 2017-6.1%-5.7%-21.3%
Q1 2017-13.2%-11.9%-11.8%
Q4 2016-16.7%-15.6%-17.4%
Q3 2016+5.7%+7.7%-0.6%
Q2 2016+1.1%+1.3%+1.5%
Q1 2016-8.2%
Q4 2015+10.4%
Q3 2015+6.1%
Q2 2015-5.0%
Q1 2015+5.4%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014-5.8%
Q2 2014-7.3%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-16.2%
Q3 2013+2.1%
Q2 2013-5.9%
Q1 2013+2.3%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012+5.6%
Q2 2012+10.3%
Q1 2012-6.8%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011+4.4%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010-1.1%
Q1 2009+1.6%
Q1 2010-2.2%
Q4 2007+1.3%
Q4 2009+1.3%
Q3 2008-0.3%
Q3 2009-0.3%
Q4 2008+1.8%
Q2 2008+1.8%
Q2 2009+1.8%

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