NASDAQ$LPRO

Open Lending Corporation · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results, facing industry challenges including vehicle sales decline and wholesale used car value drops.

Open Lending Corporation reported a decrease in certified loans, total revenue, gross profit, net loss, and adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2022 compared to Q4 2021. The company certified 34,550 loans and reported a total revenue of $26.8 million. Net loss was $4.2 million and Adjusted EBITDA was $8.5 million.

  • Facilitated 34,550 certified loans, a decrease from 42,639 in Q4 2021.
  • Total revenue was $26.8 million, down from $51.6 million in Q4 2021, impacted by a $12.8 million reduction in estimated future revenues.
  • Net loss was $4.2 million, compared to net income of $27.8 million in Q4 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $8.5 million, a decrease from $36.6 million in Q4 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$26.8M

Previous: $51.6M-48.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.03

Previous: $0.23-113.0%
Certified Loans

34.5K

Previous: 42.6K-19.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$13K

Previous: $202K-106.4%
Free Cash Flow

$22.4M

Previous: $26.5M-15.4%
Net Income

-$4.19M

Previous: $27.8M-115.0%
Operating Income

$4.77M

Previous: $35.2M-86.5%
Gross Profit

$21.9M

Previous: $46.9M-53.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$204M

Previous: $116M+75.6%
Total Assets

$380M

Previous: $319M+19.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.89M

Previous: $1.09M+73.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Open Lending · Revenue · Quarterly

$26.8M

Q4 2022-48.1%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 14 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Open Lending · $26.8M total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • Program Fees
    $18.3M-0.9%
  • Profit Share
    $6.07M-80.6%
  • Claims Admin & Other Service Fees
    $2.45M+25.4%

Forward guidance

The Company is issuing its first quarter 2023 guidance ranges as follows: Total Certified Loans 28,000 - 32,000, Total Revenue $30 - $34 million, Adjusted EBITDA $13 - $17 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.8%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

15 / 28 earnings

Positive

+26.7%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-57.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+17.3%+14.2%
Q4 2025+19.2%+19.0%+19.8%
Q3 2025-8.9%+3.1%+13.7%
Q1 2025+19.2%+29.0%+29.7%
Q4 2024-57.6%-63.0%-53.6%
Q3 2024-12.5%-6.5%-13.1%
Q2 2024-0.2%-4.4%-1.6%
Q1 2024+6.3%+12.6%+32.6%
Q4 2023-7.8%-11.3%-21.3%
Q3 2023-7.6%-10.1%+5.5%
Q2 2023-23.8%-20.9%-22.1%
Q1 2023+26.7%+27.8%+44.8%
Q4 2022-21.2%-16.0%-14.5%
Q3 2022+0.7%-5.7%+4.4%
Q2 2022-0.6%-1.2%-14.5%
Q1 2022-7.4%-17.9%-13.7%
Q4 2021+21.6%+26.0%+20.6%
Q3 2021-17.4%-11.3%-33.3%
Q2 2021+1.2%-8.9%+6.9%
Q1 2021-1.9%+0.7%+8.5%
Q4 2020+11.9%+21.7%+16.1%
Q3 2019+2.0%+1.8%+11.9%
Q3 2020+2.8%+7.9%+19.9%
Q1 2019+5.3%+8.7%+16.7%
Q4 2019+5.3%+8.7%+16.7%
Q2 2019+5.3%+8.7%+16.7%
Q1 2020+5.3%+8.7%+16.7%
Q2 2020-2.4%+0.3%+16.4%

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