NASDAQ$LPRO

Open Lending Corporation · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Open Lending's third quarter results for 2020 showed an increase in certified loans, revenue, and Adjusted EBITDA compared to the third quarter of 2019.

Open Lending reported an 8% increase in certified loans, a 35% increase in revenue, and a 29% increase in Adjusted EBITDA compared to the third quarter of 2019. Total revenue was $29.8 million compared to $22.1 million in the third quarter of 2019. The company had a GAAP net loss of $71.1 million, primarily attributable to a change in the estimated fair value of contingent consideration shares.

  • Facilitated 20,696 certified loans during the third quarter of 2020, compared to 19,087 certified loans in the third quarter of 2019.
  • Total revenue was $29.8 million, compared to $22.1 million in the third quarter of 2019.
  • Gross profit was $27.3 million, compared to $20.2 million in third quarter of 2019
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $19.7 million, compared to $15.3 million in the third quarter of 2019

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$29.8M

Previous: $66.8M-55.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.62

Previous: -$1.25+50.4%
Certified Loans

20.7K

Previous: 19.1K+8.4%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

66.0%

Previous: 69.0%-4.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.1M

Previous: $9K-12288.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$72.2M

Previous: $12.1M-697.6%
Net Income

-$71.1M

Previous: $14.7M-583.4%
Operating Income

$19.6M

Previous: $14.8M+32.0%
Gross Profit

$27.3M

Previous: $20.2M+35.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$115M

Previous: $9.98M+1053.4%
Total Assets

$295M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Open Lending · Revenue · Quarterly

$29.8M

Q3 2020-55.4%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 11 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Open Lending · $29.8M total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Profit Share
    $18.5M
  • Program Fees
    $10.1M
  • Claims Admin & Other Service Fees
    $1.13M

Forward guidance

Based on third quarter results and thoughts regarding the remainder of the year, the Company is reaffirming its previously issued guidance of the following:

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.8%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

15 / 28 earnings

Positive

+26.7%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-57.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+18.7%+15.6%+31.9%
Q4 2025+19.2%+19.0%+19.8%
Q3 2025-8.9%+3.1%+13.7%
Q1 2025+19.2%+29.0%+29.7%
Q4 2024-57.6%-63.0%-53.6%
Q3 2024-12.5%-6.5%-13.1%
Q2 2024-0.2%-4.4%-1.6%
Q1 2024+6.3%+12.6%+32.6%
Q4 2023-7.8%-11.3%-21.3%
Q3 2023-7.6%-10.1%+5.5%
Q2 2023-23.8%-20.9%-22.1%
Q1 2023+26.7%+27.8%+44.8%
Q4 2022-21.2%-16.0%-14.5%
Q3 2022+0.7%-5.7%+4.4%
Q2 2022-0.6%-1.2%-14.5%
Q1 2022-7.4%-17.9%-13.7%
Q4 2021+21.6%+26.0%+20.6%
Q3 2021-17.4%-11.3%-33.3%
Q2 2021+1.2%-8.9%+6.9%
Q1 2021-1.9%+0.7%+8.5%
Q4 2020+11.9%+21.7%+16.1%
Q3 2019+2.0%+1.8%+11.9%
Q3 2020+2.8%+7.9%+19.9%
Q4 2019+5.3%+8.7%+16.7%
Q2 2019+5.3%+8.7%+16.7%
Q1 2020+5.3%+8.7%+16.7%
Q1 2019+5.3%+8.7%+16.7%
Q2 2020-2.4%+0.3%+16.4%

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