NASDAQ$LPRO

Open Lending Corporation · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results, showing a decrease in certified loans, revenue, and net income compared to the same quarter last year, but performed near or above the high end of guidance, excluding the profit share estimate.

Open Lending reported a decrease in certified loans and revenue for Q3 2024 compared to Q3 2023. The company facilitated 27,435 certified loans, with a total revenue of $23.5 million. Net income decreased to $1.4 million, and adjusted EBITDA was $7.8 million. The results were near or above the high end of guidance, excluding the negative change in the profit share estimate.

  • Facilitated 27,435 certified loans, a decrease from 29,959 in Q3 2023.
  • Total revenue was $23.5 million, down from $26.0 million in Q3 2023, impacted by a $7.0 million reduction in estimated future profit share revenues.
  • Gross profit was $17.3 million, compared to $20.6 million in Q3 2023.
  • Net income was $1.4 million, a decrease from $3.0 million in Q3 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$23.5M

Previous: $26M-9.7%
EPS

$0.01

Previous: $0.02-50.0%
Certified Loans

27.4K

Previous: 30.0K-8.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$161K

Previous: -$103K-56.3%
Free Cash Flow

$1.28M

Previous: $2.9M-56.0%
Net Income

$1.44M

Previous: $3M-52.1%
Operating Income

$1.87M

Previous: $4.54M-58.9%
Gross Profit

$17.3M

Previous: $20.6M-15.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$250M

Previous: $233M+7.6%
Total Assets

$396M

Previous: $383M+3.2%
R&D Expense

$992K

Previous: $1.72M-42.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.19M

Previous: $2.66M-17.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Open Lending · Revenue · Quarterly

$23.5M

Q3 2024-9.7%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Open Lending · $26M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Program Fees
    $15.4M-29.4%
  • Profit Share
    $8.02M-69.8%
  • Claims Admin & Other Service Fees
    $2.57M+12.0%

Forward guidance

The Company is issuing its fourth quarter 2024 guidance ranges as follows: Total Certified Loans 20,000 - 24,000, Total Revenue $22 - $26 million, Adjusted EBITDA $7 - $10 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.8%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

15 / 28 earnings

Positive

+26.7%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-57.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+18.7%+15.6%+31.9%
Q4 2025+19.2%+19.0%+19.8%
Q3 2025-8.9%+3.1%+13.7%
Q1 2025+19.2%+29.0%+29.7%
Q4 2024-57.6%-63.0%-53.6%
Q3 2024-12.5%-6.5%-13.1%
Q2 2024-0.2%-4.4%-1.6%
Q1 2024+6.3%+12.6%+32.6%
Q4 2023-7.8%-11.3%-21.3%
Q3 2023-7.6%-10.1%+5.5%
Q2 2023-23.8%-20.9%-22.1%
Q1 2023+26.7%+27.8%+44.8%
Q4 2022-21.2%-16.0%-14.5%
Q3 2022+0.7%-5.7%+4.4%
Q2 2022-0.6%-1.2%-14.5%
Q1 2022-7.4%-17.9%-13.7%
Q4 2021+21.6%+26.0%+20.6%
Q3 2021-17.4%-11.3%-33.3%
Q2 2021+1.2%-8.9%+6.9%
Q1 2021-1.9%+0.7%+8.5%
Q4 2020+11.9%+21.7%+16.1%
Q3 2019+2.0%+1.8%+11.9%
Q3 2020+2.8%+7.9%+19.9%
Q4 2019+5.3%+8.7%+16.7%
Q2 2019+5.3%+8.7%+16.7%
Q1 2020+5.3%+8.7%+16.7%
Q1 2019+5.3%+8.7%+16.7%
Q2 2020-2.4%+0.3%+16.4%

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