NASDAQ$EYE

National Vision Holdings Inc. · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

National Vision reported first quarter results in line with expectations, reflecting a sequential improvement in the second half of the period.

National Vision Holdings reported a 4.2% increase in net revenue on a continuing operations basis to $542.5 million. Diluted EPS was $0.16 and Adjusted Diluted EPS was $0.30. The company is reaffirming its fiscal 2024 outlook.

  • Net revenue increased 4.2% to $542.5 million compared to the first quarter of 2023.
  • Comparable store sales growth was 1.4% and Adjusted Comparable Store Sales Growth was 0.4%.
  • The Company opened 14 new stores, and converted 20 Eyeglass World stores to America's Best stores, and ended the period with 1,201 stores.
  • Adjusted Operating Income increased 5.5% to $35.8 million compared with the first quarter of 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$543M

Previous: $562M-3.5%
EPS

$0.15

Previous: $0.31-51.6%
Comparable Store Sales Growth

1.4%

Previous: 3.0%-53.3%
Adjusted Comparable Store Sales Growth

0.4%

Previous: 0.8%-50.0%
Adjusted Operating Income

$33.9M

No prior period
Adjusted Operating Margin

7.0%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$56.7M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

11.8%

No prior period
Adjusted SG&A % of Net Revenue

47.7%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$20M

Previous: -$27.7M+27.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$8.33M

Previous: -$9.45M+11.9%
Net Income

$11.7M

Previous: $18.3M-36.0%
Operating Income

$24.4M

Previous: $33.3M-26.7%
Gross Profit

-$248M

Previous: -$253M+2.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$150M

Previous: $247M-39.2%
Total Assets

$2.16B

Previous: $2.31B-6.8%
R&D Expense

$0.00

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$2.47M

Previous: $4.32M-42.9%

Revenue & EPS history

National Vision · Revenue · Quarterly

$543M

Q1 2024-3.5%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

National Vision · $532M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Net Product Sales
    $436M+6.1%
  • Services and Plans
    $96.8M+9.4%

Forward guidance

The Company is reaffirming outlook for the 52 weeks ending December 28, 2024:

Tailwinds

  • New Stores: 65 - 70
  • Adjusted Comparable Store Sales Growth: 2.0% - 4.0%
  • Net Revenue: $1.965 - $2.005 billion
  • Adjusted Operating Income: $61 - $76 million
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS: $0.50 - $0.65

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

21 / 39 earnings

Positive

+16.9%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-38.8%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.8%-0.1%+9.9%
Q4 2025+9.1%+0.6%-11.0%
Q3 2025-3.6%-5.7%+14.4%
Q1 2025+16.9%+40.7%+57.8%
Q4 2024+11.6%+10.7%+12.1%
Q3 2024-4.7%-3.1%-8.0%
Q2 2024-21.6%-26.1%-30.7%
Q1 2024-15.2%-16.4%-19.3%
Q4 2023+14.7%+17.9%+11.0%
Q3 2023+9.4%+14.1%+11.5%
Q2 2023-5.9%-8.4%-19.5%
Q1 2023+5.9%+4.7%+14.7%
Q4 2022-38.8%-40.1%-49.6%
Q3 2022+12.7%+12.8%+5.3%
Q2 2022+9.2%+13.7%+12.7%
Q1 2022-31.5%-22.3%-17.8%
Q4 2021-4.7%+0.8%+16.4%
Q3 2021-16.4%-22.3%-23.8%
Q2 2021-0.8%+1.0%+7.8%
Q1 2021+6.5%+6.3%+2.9%
Q3 2020+2.5%+6.4%-2.1%
Q2 2020-1.8%+3.8%+16.1%
Q1 2020+10.0%+2.2%+32.5%
Q4 2019+4.0%+7.4%-41.1%
Q3 2019+11.8%+8.8%+23.8%
Q2 2019+8.2%+7.9%-4.8%
Q1 2019+3.3%+2.3%-1.5%
Q4 2018-1.4%-3.1%-7.7%
Q3 2018-1.7%-7.8%-27.8%
Q2 2017-8.4%-7.5%+2.6%
Q2 2018-8.4%-7.5%+2.6%
Q1 2018+2.3%+6.4%+10.4%
Q1 2016-2.2%-3.1%-6.9%
Q2 2016-2.2%-3.1%-6.9%
Q4 2017-2.2%-3.1%-6.9%
Q3 2016+1.8%+7.9%+19.4%
Q1 2017+1.8%+7.9%+19.4%
Q3 2017+1.8%+7.9%+19.4%
Q4 2016+1.8%+7.9%+19.4%

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