NASDAQ$EYE

National Vision Holdings Inc. · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported positive comparable sales growth amidst an uncertain macro environment, driven by strength in the managed care business.

National Vision Holdings, Inc. reported a 6.6% increase in net revenue to $562.4 million for the first quarter of 2023. Comparable store sales growth was 3.0%, and adjusted comparable store sales growth was 0.8%. Net income decreased to $18.3 million, with diluted EPS at $0.22. The company reaffirms its fiscal year 2023 outlook.

  • Net revenue increased by 6.6% to $562.4 million compared to Q1 2022.
  • Comparable store sales growth was 3.0%, and Adjusted Comparable Store Sales Growth was 0.8%.
  • Net income decreased 39.4% to $18.3 million compared to Q1 2022.
  • Adjusted Operating Income decreased 12.0% to $39.9 million compared to Q1 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$562M

Previous: $528M+6.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.31

Previous: $0.33-6.1%
Comparable Store Sales Growth

3.0%

Previous: -4.9%+161.2%
Adjusted Comparable Store Sales Growth

0.8%

Previous: -6.8%+111.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$27.7M

Previous: -$28.1M+1.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$9.45M

Previous: $2.05M-561.0%
Net Income

$18.3M

Previous: $30.1M-39.4%
Operating Income

$33.3M

Previous: $37.3M-10.8%
Gross Profit

-$253M

Previous: -$235M-7.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$247M

Previous: $315M-21.5%
Total Assets

$2.31B

Previous: $2.33B-0.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.32M

Previous: $3.73M+15.6%

Revenue & EPS history

National Vision · Revenue · Quarterly

$562M

Q1 2023+6.6%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

National Vision · $562M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Net Product Sales
    $465M+7.3%
  • Services and Plans
    $97.6M+3.3%

Forward guidance

The Company reaffirms the previously provided outlook for its key operating metrics, while updating its expectations for tax rate from 26% to 26% - 28%.

Tailwinds

  • New Stores: 65 - 70
  • Adjusted Comparable Store Sales Growth: 0% - 3%
  • Net Revenue: $2.075 - $2.135 billion
  • Adjusted Operating Income: $48 - $66 million
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS: $0.42 - $0.60

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

21 / 39 earnings

Positive

+16.9%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-38.8%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.8%-0.1%+9.9%
Q4 2025+9.1%+0.6%-11.0%
Q3 2025-3.6%-5.7%+14.4%
Q1 2025+16.9%+40.7%+57.8%
Q4 2024+11.6%+10.7%+12.1%
Q3 2024-4.7%-3.1%-8.0%
Q2 2024-21.6%-26.1%-30.7%
Q1 2024-15.2%-16.4%-19.3%
Q4 2023+14.7%+17.9%+11.0%
Q3 2023+9.4%+14.1%+11.5%
Q2 2023-5.9%-8.4%-19.5%
Q1 2023+5.9%+4.7%+14.7%
Q4 2022-38.8%-40.1%-49.6%
Q3 2022+12.7%+12.8%+5.3%
Q2 2022+9.2%+13.7%+12.7%
Q1 2022-31.5%-22.3%-17.8%
Q4 2021-4.7%+0.8%+16.4%
Q3 2021-16.4%-22.3%-23.8%
Q2 2021-0.8%+1.0%+7.8%
Q1 2021+6.5%+6.3%+2.9%
Q3 2020+2.5%+6.4%-2.1%
Q2 2020-1.8%+3.8%+16.1%
Q1 2020+10.0%+2.2%+32.5%
Q4 2019+4.0%+7.4%-41.1%
Q3 2019+11.8%+8.8%+23.8%
Q2 2019+8.2%+7.9%-4.8%
Q1 2019+3.3%+2.3%-1.5%
Q4 2018-1.4%-3.1%-7.7%
Q3 2018-1.7%-7.8%-27.8%
Q2 2017-8.4%-7.5%+2.6%
Q2 2018-8.4%-7.5%+2.6%
Q1 2018+2.3%+6.4%+10.4%
Q1 2016-2.2%-3.1%-6.9%
Q2 2016-2.2%-3.1%-6.9%
Q4 2017-2.2%-3.1%-6.9%
Q3 2016+1.8%+7.9%+19.4%
Q1 2017+1.8%+7.9%+19.4%
Q3 2017+1.8%+7.9%+19.4%
Q4 2016+1.8%+7.9%+19.4%

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