NYSE$RKT

Rocket Companies Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Rocket Companies reported a record closed origination volume and a substantial net income.

Rocket Companies announced strong second quarter results with record closed loan origination volume of $72.3 billion and net income of $3.5 billion. The company benefited from a scalable mortgage origination platform and favorable market conditions.

  • Generated record closed loan origination volume of $72.3 billion, a 126% year-over-year improvement.
  • Increased gain on sale margin due to favorable market conditions and capacity constraints.
  • Grew total revenue, net, by 268% compared to the first quarter of 2020.
  • Announced the “Changing the Course” initiative to provide Detroit residents with internet, technology, and digital literacy training.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$24.3M

Previous: $904M-97.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.44

Previous: -$0.53+371.7%
Closed Loan Volume

$72.3B

Previous: $32B+126.3%
Gain on Sale Margin

5.2%

Previous: 3.2%+60.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$42.2M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$3.42B

No prior period
Net Income

$3.46B

Previous: -$53.7M+6552.2%
Operating Income

$3.31B

Previous: $11.6M+28511.2%
Gross Profit

$3.82B

Previous: $751M+409.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.72B

No prior period
Total Assets

$28.9B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Rocket Companies · Revenue · Quarterly

$24.3M

Q2 2020-97.3%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 2 of 11 quarters(18%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rocket Companies · $4.72B total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Direct to Consumer
    $3.94B+420.3%
  • Partner Network
    $783M+575.0%

Forward guidance

The company provided outlook for the third quarter of 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Net rate lock volume of between $93 billion and $98 billion, representing an increase of 98% to 108% compared to Q3 2019.
  • Closed loan volume of between $82 billion and $85 billion, representing an increase of 105% to 112% compared to Q3 2019.
  • Gain on sale margins of 4.05% to 4.30%, an improvement of 23% to 31% compared to Q3 2019.
  • Strong consumer demand for home loans is expected to continue into the third quarter of 2020.
  • Company remains in a strong liquidity position following the IPO.

Headwinds

  • Approximately 4.7% of the total servicing portfolio were on a forbearance plan related to COVID-19 as of August 31, 2020.
  • Expenses increased by 24%, primarily driven by higher variable compensation.
  • Change in fair value of MSRs due to valuation assumptions can impact revenue.
  • Non-cash stock compensation expense affects net income.
  • Adjusted Revenue, Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA are non-GAAP measures and may not be comparable to those of other companies.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

12 / 24 earnings

Positive

+14.8%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-15.5%

Q1 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-5.4%-14.9%-20.1%
Q4 2025+2.4%-6.4%-23.1%
Q3 2025+6.0%+2.3%+25.3%
Q2 2025+0.0%+11.4%+21.8%
Q1 2025-4.7%+8.2%+9.6%
Q4 2024+9.1%+16.1%+1.6%
Q3 2024-10.3%-13.7%-20.6%
Q2 2024+6.5%+13.2%+21.4%
Q1 2024+7.6%+13.1%+12.5%
Q4 2023+5.1%+8.6%+28.5%
Q3 2023+14.8%+8.5%+31.2%
Q2 2023+8.5%+10.4%+2.1%
Q1 2023-2.2%-4.3%-4.2%
Q4 2022+1.9%+9.6%+11.5%
Q3 2022-4.5%-0.6%+27.2%
Q2 2022-2.9%-6.0%-25.7%
Q1 2022-11.9%-3.5%-0.6%
Q4 2021+10.4%+20.8%-6.1%
Q3 2021-2.4%-4.3%-10.9%
Q2 2021+9.4%+2.0%-5.7%
Q1 2021-15.5%-21.5%-12.1%
Q4 2020+7.5%+104.7%+17.7%
Q3 2020-1.8%+1.9%-3.0%
Q2 2020-13.7%-20.0%-25.1%
Q1 2020
Q4 2019
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019

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