NYSE$RKT

Rocket Companies Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Rocket Companies experienced substantial growth in Q4 2020, marked by a significant revenue increase and a special dividend announcement.

Rocket Companies reported a strong Q4 2020 with a 144% increase in revenue to $4.7 billion and a 277% increase in net income to $2.8 billion year-over-year. The company also announced a special dividend of $1.11 per Class A share.

  • Total revenue increased by 144% year-over-year to $4.7 billion.
  • Net income grew by 277% year-over-year to $2.8 billion.
  • Closed loan origination volume reached a record $107.2 billion, up 111% year-over-year.
  • Gain on sale margin increased to 4.41%, a 100 basis point increase year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.78B

Previous: $1.89B+152.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.14

Previous: $8.83-87.1%
Closed Loan Volume

$107B

Previous: $50.8B+110.9%
Gain on Sale Margin

4.4%

Previous: 3.4%+29.3%
Capital Expenditures

$33.2M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$1.95B

No prior period
Net Income

$2.84B

Previous: $894M+217.9%
Operating Income

$2.89B

Previous: $978M+195.5%
Gross Profit

$4.7B

Previous: $1.62B+189.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.97B

No prior period
Total Assets

$37.5B

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$42.6M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Rocket Companies · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.78B

Q4 2020+152.2%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 2 of 11 quarters(18%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rocket Companies · $4.52B total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Direct to Consumer
    $3.56B+126.8%
  • Partner Network
    $960M+321.1%

Forward guidance

Rocket Companies anticipates continued growth in Q1 2021, with expectations for closed loan volume between $98 billion and $103 billion and gain on sale margins between 3.60% and 3.90%.

Tailwinds

  • Closed loan volume of between $98 billion and $103 billion, or an increase of 90% to 99% compared to $51.7 billion in the first quarter of 2020.
  • Net rate lock volume of between $88 billion and $95 billion, which would represent an increase of 57% to 70% compared to $56.0 billion in the first quarter of 2020.
  • Gain on sale margins of 3.60% to 3.90%, which would be an improvement of 35 to 65 basis points compared to 3.25% in the first quarter of 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

12 / 24 earnings

Positive

+14.8%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-15.5%

Q1 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-5.4%-14.9%-20.1%
Q4 2025+2.4%-6.4%-23.1%
Q3 2025+6.0%+2.3%+25.3%
Q2 2025+0.0%+11.4%+21.8%
Q1 2025-4.7%+8.2%+9.6%
Q4 2024+9.1%+16.1%+1.6%
Q3 2024-10.3%-13.7%-20.6%
Q2 2024+6.5%+13.2%+21.4%
Q1 2024+7.6%+13.1%+12.5%
Q4 2023+5.1%+8.6%+28.5%
Q3 2023+14.8%+8.5%+31.2%
Q2 2023+8.5%+10.4%+2.1%
Q1 2023-2.2%-4.3%-4.2%
Q4 2022+1.9%+9.6%+11.5%
Q3 2022-4.5%-0.6%+27.2%
Q2 2022-2.9%-6.0%-25.7%
Q1 2022-11.9%-3.5%-0.6%
Q4 2021+10.4%+20.8%-6.1%
Q3 2021-2.4%-4.3%-10.9%
Q2 2021+9.4%+2.0%-5.7%
Q1 2021-15.5%-21.5%-12.1%
Q4 2020+7.5%+104.7%+17.7%
Q3 2020-1.8%+1.9%-3.0%
Q2 2020-13.7%-20.0%-25.1%
Q1 2020
Q4 2019
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019

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