NYSE$PKG

Packaging Corp of America · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong first quarter results driven by record box shipments and effective price increases.

Packaging Corporation of America reported a strong first quarter in 2022, with net income of $254 million, or $2.70 per share. Excluding special items, net income was $256 million, or $2.72 per share. Net sales for the quarter reached $2.1 billion, compared to $1.8 billion in the same period last year. The company saw record box shipments and implemented price increases in both Packaging and Paper segments.

  • Set a new all-time record for total box shipments.
  • Achieved new first quarter records for box shipments per day and containerboard volume.
  • Successfully implemented previously announced price increases in both Packaging and Paper segments.
  • Containerboard inventory remained below targeted levels due to strong demand.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.14B

Previous: $1.81B+18.2%
EPS (adj)

$2.72

Previous: $1.77+53.7%
Containerboard Production

1.2M

Previous: 1.2M+3.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$213M

Previous: -$85.1M-150.5%
Free Cash Flow

$41M

Previous: $81.4M-49.6%
Net Income

$254M

Previous: $167M+52.7%
Operating Income

$357M

Previous: $238M+49.6%
Gross Profit

$533M

Previous: $404M+32.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$629M

Previous: $983M-36.1%
Total Assets

$8.14B

Previous: $7.55B+7.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$12.3M

Previous: $11.6M+6.0%

Revenue & EPS history

PCA · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.14B

Q1 2022+18.2%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PCA · $2.12B total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • Packaging
    $1.96B+21.0%
  • Paper
    $154M-6.7%

Forward guidance

The company expects second quarter earnings of $2.83 per share.

Tailwinds

  • Packaging segment demand is expected to remain very strong.
  • The company will continue implementing previously announced price increases in both the Packaging and Paper segments.
  • Recycled fiber prices should be slightly lower.

Headwinds

  • Scheduled outage costs will be higher compared to the first quarter, including an outage at the International Falls mill.
  • The outage at International Falls mill will result in lower Paper segment sales volume.
  • Continued inflation is anticipated with freight and logistics expenses.
  • Continued inflation is anticipated with most operating costs.
  • Special items in the second quarter of 2022 to include accounting charges, fees, and expenses for paper-to-containerboard conversion related activities at the Jackson, AL mill.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

31 / 69 earnings

Positive

+14.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-13.8%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.8%+8.5%+5.1%
Q4 2025-2.5%+0.0%+3.8%
Q3 2025+2.3%-1.2%-5.5%
Q2 2025-1.6%+0.8%+9.5%
Q1 2025-0.9%-0.0%+2.3%
Q4 2024-9.8%-11.4%-10.6%
Q3 2024+4.4%+3.1%+12.0%
Q2 2024-0.1%+2.9%+4.3%
Q1 2024-5.0%-3.9%+0.8%
Q4 2023+3.1%+1.9%+5.4%
Q3 2023+3.1%+3.9%+6.7%
Q2 2023+11.1%+11.3%+5.9%
Q1 2023-6.2%-5.6%-11.0%
Q4 2022+6.6%+6.7%+6.0%
Q3 2022-0.9%+3.2%+14.0%
Q2 2022-3.3%-0.7%-1.2%
Q1 2022-1.1%-0.0%-4.9%
Q4 2021+6.3%+11.6%+10.8%
Q3 2021+1.5%+2.5%-1.4%
Q2 2021+3.3%+5.9%+12.2%
Q1 2021+1.7%+3.7%+4.5%
Q4 2020-5.8%-3.7%-5.6%
Q3 2020-4.4%-4.0%+10.5%
Q2 2020-1.5%-7.2%-1.4%
Q1 2020+14.3%+10.2%+19.2%
Q4 2019-4.6%-6.9%-13.2%
Q3 2019-0.1%+3.6%+2.1%
Q2 2019+0.7%+0.8%-3.1%
Q1 2019-0.6%+0.4%-7.6%
Q4 2018-0.5%+1.9%+2.3%
Q3 2018+2.3%+2.7%+9.9%
Q2 2018-4.6%-4.5%-4.9%
Q1 2018+0.5%-0.9%+3.9%
Q4 2017-0.3%-2.3%-5.9%
Q3 2017-0.0%-2.6%-6.0%
Q2 2017+1.8%+0.8%+1.6%
Q1 2017+6.2%+4.5%+8.3%
Q4 2016-1.5%+0.7%+0.2%
Q3 2016-3.2%-1.3%+4.5%
Q2 2016+0.9%+1.2%+6.3%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015-13.8%
Q3 2015-6.9%
Q2 2015+7.2%
Q1 2015-10.1%
Q4 2014-4.7%
Q3 2014+10.9%
Q2 2014-3.0%
Q1 2014-1.1%
Q4 2013+10.0%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013-1.2%
Q1 2013+5.2%
Q4 2012-1.8%
Q3 2012+3.0%
Q2 2012+3.7%
Q1 2012+1.6%
Q4 2011-1.8%
Q3 2011+2.0%
Q2 2011-9.7%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2008-3.8%
Q4 2010-3.8%
Q3 2009+2.5%
Q3 2010+2.5%
Q2 2009+0.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%
Q4 2009+0.0%

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