NYSE$PKG

Packaging Corp of America · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income of $199 million and net sales of $2.1 billion.

Packaging Corporation of America (PCA) reported second quarter 2024 results, with net income of $199 million, or $2.21 per share. Excluding special items, net income was $199 million, or $2.20 per share. Net sales for the quarter were $2.1 billion, compared to $2.0 billion in the second quarter of 2023. The results were $0.13 above the second quarter guidance of $2.07 per share due to higher volume in the Packaging segment, lower operating and converting costs, and lower freight costs.

  • Corrugated products shipments per day were up 9.2% over last year’s second quarter.
  • Total shipments were up 10.9% with one additional shipping day.
  • Containerboard production reached 1,281,000 tons.
  • Sales volume in the Paper segment was up 12% compared to the second quarter of 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.08B

Previous: $1.95B+6.3%
EPS

$2.21

Previous: $2.31-4.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$322M

Previous: -$239M-34.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$123M

Previous: -$36.1M-240.2%
Net Income

$199M

Previous: $203M-1.9%
Operating Income

$276M

Previous: $284M-3.0%
Gross Profit

$438M

Previous: $445M-1.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$614M

Previous: $477M+28.6%
Total Assets

$8.98B

Previous: $8.11B+10.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.8M

Previous: $9.5M+3.2%

Revenue & EPS history

PCA · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.08B

Q2 2024+6.3%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PCA · $1.92B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Packaging
    $1.76B-9.3%
  • Paper
    $158M-4.5%

Forward guidance

The company expects third quarter earnings of $2.45 per share.

Tailwinds

  • Prices and mix in both Packaging and Paper segments will move higher.
  • Implementation of previously announced increases along with higher containerboard export prices.
  • Shipments-per-day to continue to strengthen, potentially setting a new third quarter record.
  • Higher containerboard volume.
  • Attempt to build some inventory ahead of the scheduled maintenance outage at the Deridder mill in October.

Headwinds

  • There is one less shipping day for the corrugated business.
  • Paper volume will be slightly lower primarily due to the timing of the back-to-school business received in the second quarter.
  • Operating and converting costs should be higher primarily due to seasonal electricity usage and prices.
  • Slightly higher recycled fiber costs.
  • Scheduled outage expenses expected to be slightly lower.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

31 / 69 earnings

Positive

+14.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-13.8%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.8%+8.5%+5.1%
Q4 2025-2.5%+0.0%+3.8%
Q3 2025+2.3%-1.2%-5.5%
Q2 2025-1.6%+0.8%+9.5%
Q1 2025-0.9%-0.0%+2.3%
Q4 2024-9.8%-11.4%-10.6%
Q3 2024+4.4%+3.1%+12.0%
Q2 2024-0.1%+2.9%+4.3%
Q1 2024-5.0%-3.9%+0.8%
Q4 2023+3.1%+1.9%+5.4%
Q3 2023+3.1%+3.9%+6.7%
Q2 2023+11.1%+11.3%+5.9%
Q1 2023-6.2%-5.6%-11.0%
Q4 2022+6.6%+6.7%+6.0%
Q3 2022-0.9%+3.2%+14.0%
Q2 2022-3.3%-0.7%-1.2%
Q1 2022-1.1%-0.0%-4.9%
Q4 2021+6.3%+11.6%+10.8%
Q3 2021+1.5%+2.5%-1.4%
Q2 2021+3.3%+5.9%+12.2%
Q1 2021+1.7%+3.7%+4.5%
Q4 2020-5.8%-3.7%-5.6%
Q3 2020-4.4%-4.0%+10.5%
Q2 2020-1.5%-7.2%-1.4%
Q1 2020+14.3%+10.2%+19.2%
Q4 2019-4.6%-6.9%-13.2%
Q3 2019-0.1%+3.6%+2.1%
Q2 2019+0.7%+0.8%-3.1%
Q1 2019-0.6%+0.4%-7.6%
Q4 2018-0.5%+1.9%+2.3%
Q3 2018+2.3%+2.7%+9.9%
Q2 2018-4.6%-4.5%-4.9%
Q1 2018+0.5%-0.9%+3.9%
Q4 2017-0.3%-2.3%-5.9%
Q3 2017-0.0%-2.6%-6.0%
Q2 2017+1.8%+0.8%+1.6%
Q1 2017+6.2%+4.5%+8.3%
Q4 2016-1.5%+0.7%+0.2%
Q3 2016-3.2%-1.3%+4.5%
Q2 2016+0.9%+1.2%+6.3%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015-13.8%
Q3 2015-6.9%
Q2 2015+7.2%
Q1 2015-10.1%
Q4 2014-4.7%
Q3 2014+10.9%
Q2 2014-3.0%
Q1 2014-1.1%
Q4 2013+10.0%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013-1.2%
Q1 2013+5.2%
Q4 2012-1.8%
Q3 2012+3.0%
Q2 2012+3.7%
Q1 2012+1.6%
Q4 2011-1.8%
Q3 2011+2.0%
Q2 2011-9.7%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2008-3.8%
Q4 2010-3.8%
Q3 2009+2.5%
Q3 2010+2.5%
Q2 2009+0.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%
Q4 2009+0.0%

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