NYSE$NOG
Northern Oil and Gas Inc. · Q4 2022 earnings
Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Northern Oil and Gas reported strong Q4 2022 results, marked by increased production and profitability.
Northern Oil and Gas reported a 34% increase in oil and natural gas sales, reaching $445.6 million. GAAP net income was $133.3 million, or $1.63 per diluted share, and Adjusted EBITDA increased by 51% to $264.8 million.
- Production increased to 78,854 Boe per day, a 23% increase year-over-year.
- GAAP cash flow from operations was $287.4 million.
- Capital expenditures totaled $142.9 million, excluding non-budgeted acquisitions.
- Free Cash Flow increased by 23% to $87.1 million year-over-year.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Northern Oil and Gas · Revenue · Quarterly
$446M
Revenue by segment
Northern Oil and Gas · $130M total across 1 segment · Q1 2020
- Oil and Gas Sales$130M—100.0%
Forward guidance
NOG anticipates approximately 91,000 - 96,000 Boe per day of production in 2023 and total capital spending in the range of $737 - $778 million.
Tailwinds
- Production is expected to increase by approximately 23% at the midpoint from 2022 levels.
- Approximately 46% of the 2023 budget will be spent on the Williston Basin.
- Approximately 53% of the 2023 budget will be spent on the Permian Basin.
- De minimis capital will be spent on the Appalachian and other basins.
- Net wells added to production are expected to be between 80 and 85.
Headwinds
- Production expenses are expected to be $9.25 - $9.50 per Boe.
- Production taxes are estimated at 8.0 - 9.0% of Oil & Gas Sales.
- The average differential to NYMEX WTI is projected at ($3.50) - ($4.50) per Bbl.
- The average realization as a percentage of NYMEX Henry Hub is projected at 75% - 85%.
- Cash G&A, excluding transaction costs, is expected to be $0.80 - $0.90 per Boe.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022
+2.9%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.2%
Avg return
5 days after
+7.1%
Avg return
30 days after
58%
38 / 65 earnings
Positive
+34.4%
Q2 2010
Best reaction
-16.6%
Q3 2010
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +1.4% | -2.8% | -21.1% | |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6% | +6.1% | +16.4% | |
| Q3 2025 | +5.6% | +7.6% | +21.3% | |
| Q1 2025 | -1.9% | -1.9% | +7.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1% | -9.1% | -14.9% | |
| Q3 2024 | +13.4% | +13.0% | +14.6% | |
| Q2 2024 | +7.4% | -4.1% | +0.2% | |
| Q1 2024 | -8.9% | -7.6% | -8.0% | |
| Q4 2023 | -0.9% | +1.7% | +10.5% | |
| Q3 2023 | +0.9% | -1.9% | -1.1% | |
| Q2 2023 | +5.6% | +6.2% | +9.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | +2.7% | +0.7% | +1.3% | |
| Q4 2022 | +5.1% | +1.5% | -7.3% | |
| Q3 2022 | -3.2% | +5.2% | -11.5% | |
| Q2 2022 | -12.2% | -7.2% | +7.7% | |
| Q1 2022 | +4.6% | -6.4% | +20.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | +2.8% | +9.5% | +28.2% | |
| Q3 2021 | +3.4% | -0.8% | -20.9% | |
| Q2 2021 | +8.2% | +9.3% | +9.9% | |
| Q1 2021 | +4.1% | +4.8% | +23.7% | |
| Q4 2020 | -2.8% | -2.1% | -12.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | +19.7% | +27.7% | +124.6% | |
| Q2 2020 | -4.4% | -5.8% | -29.1% | |
| Q1 2020 | +13.8% | +14.5% | +48.7% | |
| Q4 2019 | -1.2% | -18.8% | -12.5% | |
| Q3 2019 | -1.9% | -3.4% | -8.2% | |
| Q2 2019 | -7.4% | +0.0% | +13.6% | |
| Q1 2019 | -1.3% | -4.8% | -12.2% | |
| Q4 2018 | +11.3% | +8.1% | +17.6% | |
| Q3 2018 | -3.5% | -16.5% | -23.5% | |
| Q2 2018 | -2.4% | -17.5% | -7.6% | |
| Q1 2018 | +14.9% | +28.6% | +42.9% | |
| Q4 2017 | +7.3% | +9.9% | -7.3% | |
| Q3 2017 | -7.7% | -9.2% | +24.6% | |
| Q2 2017 | -5.0% | +1.0% | -21.0% | |
| Q1 2017 | +5.1% | +0.0% | -12.8% | |
| Q4 2016 | +1.7% | -5.0% | -13.3% | |
| Q3 2016 | +8.6% | +2.9% | +85.7% | |
| Q2 2016 | +6.6% | +11.3% | -6.9% | |
| Q1 2016 | -4.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +31.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +8.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +6.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -10.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +7.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -6.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -11.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +1.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -3.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -16.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -16.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | +34.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +34.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +34.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +5.6% | — | — |
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