NYSE$NOG

Northern Oil and Gas Inc. · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced third quarter results, achieving record quarterly production and Adjusted EBITDA.

Northern Oil and Gas announced strong Q3 2022 results, with record quarterly production of 79,123 Boe per day, a 37% increase year-over-year. The company reported GAAP net income of $583.5 million, or $6.77 per diluted share, and Adjusted EBITDA of $292.4 million, a 7% increase from the previous quarter. Free Cash Flow was $110.6 million, up 99% from Q3 2021.

  • Record quarterly production of 79,123 Boe per day (57% oil), a 37% increase from Q3 2021.
  • GAAP cash flow from operations was $276.8 million; excluding changes in net working capital, cash flow from operations was $269.3 million, up 7% sequentially from Q2 2022.
  • Capital expenditures were $154.5 million, driven by accelerated activity and Ground Game execution.
  • Free Cash Flow was $110.6 million, a 99% increase from Q3 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$792M

Previous: $132M+502.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.80

Previous: $0.84+114.3%
Total Production

79.1K

Previous: 57.6K+37.3%
Oil Production

45.1K

Previous: 34.0K+32.5%
Adjusted EBITDA

$292M

Previous: $136M+114.8%
Capital Expenditures

$155M

Previous: $63.2M+144.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$247M

Previous: -$352M+30.0%
Net Income

$583M

Previous: $12.6M+4547.6%
Operating Income

$605M

Previous: $27M+2142.4%
Gross Profit

$723M

Previous: $88.3M+719.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$9.13M

Previous: $2.01M+355.1%
Total Assets

$2.47B

Previous: $1.24B+98.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.34M

Previous: $698K+92.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Northern Oil and Gas · Revenue · Quarterly

$792M

Q3 2022+502%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Northern Oil and Gas · $130M total across 1 segment · Q1 2020

  • Oil and Gas Sales
    $130M

Forward guidance

NOG is increasing production, net well completion, and capital expenditure guidance, and adjusting certain other guidance items.

Tailwinds

  • Significant year-to-date Ground Game success
  • Development activity pull-forwards
  • Stronger organic well elections
  • Additional turn-in-lines ahead of schedule
  • Notably better well performance

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+2.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.1%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+34.4%

Q2 2010

Best reaction

-16.6%

Q3 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.4%-2.8%-21.1%
Q4 2025-0.6%+6.1%+16.4%
Q3 2025+5.6%+7.6%+21.3%
Q1 2025-1.9%-1.9%+7.4%
Q4 2024-0.1%-9.1%-14.9%
Q3 2024+13.4%+13.0%+14.6%
Q2 2024+7.4%-4.1%+0.2%
Q1 2024-8.9%-7.6%-8.0%
Q4 2023-0.9%+1.7%+10.5%
Q3 2023+0.9%-1.9%-1.1%
Q2 2023+5.6%+6.2%+9.2%
Q1 2023+2.7%+0.7%+1.3%
Q4 2022+5.1%+1.5%-7.3%
Q3 2022-3.2%+5.2%-11.5%
Q2 2022-12.2%-7.2%+7.7%
Q1 2022+4.6%-6.4%+20.8%
Q4 2021+2.8%+9.5%+28.2%
Q3 2021+3.4%-0.8%-20.9%
Q2 2021+8.2%+9.3%+9.9%
Q1 2021+4.1%+4.8%+23.7%
Q4 2020-2.8%-2.1%-12.4%
Q3 2020+19.7%+27.7%+124.6%
Q2 2020-4.4%-5.8%-29.1%
Q1 2020+13.8%+14.5%+48.7%
Q4 2019-1.2%-18.8%-12.5%
Q3 2019-1.9%-3.4%-8.2%
Q2 2019-7.4%+0.0%+13.6%
Q1 2019-1.3%-4.8%-12.2%
Q4 2018+11.3%+8.1%+17.6%
Q3 2018-3.5%-16.5%-23.5%
Q2 2018-2.4%-17.5%-7.6%
Q1 2018+14.9%+28.6%+42.9%
Q4 2017+7.3%+9.9%-7.3%
Q3 2017-7.7%-9.2%+24.6%
Q2 2017-5.0%+1.0%-21.0%
Q1 2017+5.1%+0.0%-12.8%
Q4 2016+1.7%-5.0%-13.3%
Q3 2016+8.6%+2.9%+85.7%
Q2 2016+6.6%+11.3%-6.9%
Q1 2016-4.8%
Q4 2015+31.8%
Q3 2015+8.0%
Q2 2015+6.1%
Q1 2015-10.8%
Q4 2014+1.7%
Q3 2014+7.5%
Q2 2014+1.7%
Q1 2014-6.3%
Q4 2013-11.5%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q2 2013+2.0%
Q1 2013+0.4%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q3 2012-3.5%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2011-0.3%
Q1 2012+1.4%
Q4 2009-2.6%
Q4 2011-2.6%
Q3 2011-16.6%
Q3 2010-16.6%
Q2 2011+34.4%
Q4 2010+34.4%
Q2 2010+34.4%
Q1 2010+5.6%

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