NYSE$NOG
Northern Oil and Gas Inc. · Q3 2023 earnings
Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Northern Oil and Gas reported record quarterly production and strong financial performance, driven by organic growth and strategic acquisitions.
Northern Oil and Gas announced a strong third quarter with record production of 102,327 Boe per day, a 29% increase year-over-year. The company reported GAAP net income of $26.1 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $385.5 million. Free cash flow was $127.8 million. NOG also completed the Novo acquisition and increased its dividend.
- Achieved record quarterly production of 102,327 Boe per day, a 29% increase year-over-year.
- Reported GAAP net income of $26.1 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $385.5 million.
- Generated $127.8 million of Free Cash Flow.
- Closed on the acquisition of a 33.33% undivided stake in the Novo assets for $468.4 million.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Northern Oil and Gas · Revenue · Quarterly
$314M
Revenue by segment
Northern Oil and Gas · $130M total across 1 segment · Q1 2020
- Oil and Gas Sales$130M—100.0%
Forward guidance
NOG is updating its annual guidance. The increase in budgeted capital expenditures is being driven by accelerated development activity and Ground Game success, which are primarily focused on 2024 turn-in-line activity. Overall, the Company expects its 2023 well spud count to increase to a range of 76 - 79 net wells, compared to expectations of 68 - 71 net wells implied in prior guidance. The Company has also tightened production guidance, with the midpoint unchanged, and modestly improved oil differential and gas realization guidance to reflect year-to-date actuals.
Tailwinds
- Annual Production (Boe per day) is expected between 97,000 - 99,000
- Oil as a Percentage of Production is expected between 62.0% - 63.0%
- Total Budgeted Capital Expenditures (in millions) is expected between $790 - $820
- Net Wells Turned-in-Line (“TIL”) is expected between 75 - 78
- Average Realization as a Percentage of NYMEX Henry Hub (per Mcf) is expected between 95.0% - 105.0%
Headwinds
- Production Expenses (per Boe) is expected between $9.35 - $9.55
- Production Taxes (as a percentage of Oil & Gas Sales) is expected between 8.0% - 9.0%
- DD&A Rate (per Boe) is expected between $13.00 - $13.80
- Average Differential to NYMEX WTI (per Bbl) is expected between ($3.00) - ($3.75)
- General and Administrative Expense (per Boe): Non-Cash is expected between $0.20 - $0.25
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023
+2.9%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.2%
Avg return
5 days after
+7.1%
Avg return
30 days after
58%
38 / 65 earnings
Positive
+34.4%
Q2 2010
Best reaction
-16.6%
Q3 2010
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +1.4% | -2.8% | -21.1% | |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6% | +6.1% | +16.4% | |
| Q3 2025 | +5.6% | +7.6% | +21.3% | |
| Q1 2025 | -1.9% | -1.9% | +7.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1% | -9.1% | -14.9% | |
| Q3 2024 | +13.4% | +13.0% | +14.6% | |
| Q2 2024 | +7.4% | -4.1% | +0.2% | |
| Q1 2024 | -8.9% | -7.6% | -8.0% | |
| Q4 2023 | -0.9% | +1.7% | +10.5% | |
| Q3 2023 | +0.9% | -1.9% | -1.1% | |
| Q2 2023 | +5.6% | +6.2% | +9.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | +2.7% | +0.7% | +1.3% | |
| Q4 2022 | +5.1% | +1.5% | -7.3% | |
| Q3 2022 | -3.2% | +5.2% | -11.5% | |
| Q2 2022 | -12.2% | -7.2% | +7.7% | |
| Q1 2022 | +4.6% | -6.4% | +20.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | +2.8% | +9.5% | +28.2% | |
| Q3 2021 | +3.4% | -0.8% | -20.9% | |
| Q2 2021 | +8.2% | +9.3% | +9.9% | |
| Q1 2021 | +4.1% | +4.8% | +23.7% | |
| Q4 2020 | -2.8% | -2.1% | -12.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | +19.7% | +27.7% | +124.6% | |
| Q2 2020 | -4.4% | -5.8% | -29.1% | |
| Q1 2020 | +13.8% | +14.5% | +48.7% | |
| Q4 2019 | -1.2% | -18.8% | -12.5% | |
| Q3 2019 | -1.9% | -3.4% | -8.2% | |
| Q2 2019 | -7.4% | +0.0% | +13.6% | |
| Q1 2019 | -1.3% | -4.8% | -12.2% | |
| Q4 2018 | +11.3% | +8.1% | +17.6% | |
| Q3 2018 | -3.5% | -16.5% | -23.5% | |
| Q2 2018 | -2.4% | -17.5% | -7.6% | |
| Q1 2018 | +14.9% | +28.6% | +42.9% | |
| Q4 2017 | +7.3% | +9.9% | -7.3% | |
| Q3 2017 | -7.7% | -9.2% | +24.6% | |
| Q2 2017 | -5.0% | +1.0% | -21.0% | |
| Q1 2017 | +5.1% | +0.0% | -12.8% | |
| Q4 2016 | +1.7% | -5.0% | -13.3% | |
| Q3 2016 | +8.6% | +2.9% | +85.7% | |
| Q2 2016 | +6.6% | +11.3% | -6.9% | |
| Q1 2016 | -4.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +31.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +8.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +6.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -10.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +7.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -6.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -11.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +1.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -3.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -16.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -16.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | +34.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +34.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +34.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +5.6% | — | — |
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